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Analysis Tools for Protection

Analysis Tools for Protection. Frameworks for Analysis Risk Factors analysis tool. Analysis Models. Models are ways of organising information They help us be rigorous, avoid prejudgments We may see things we might have missed Models complement and strengthen judgment and intuition

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Analysis Tools for Protection

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  1. Analysis Tools for Protection Frameworks for Analysis Risk Factors analysis tool

  2. Analysis Models • Models are ways of organising information • They help us be rigorous, avoid prejudgments • We may see things we might have missed • Models complement and strengthen judgment and intuition • Many different models available • No single model is best • Worth the trouble to experiment • Risk Equation is one…

  3. RISK FACTORS THREAT, VULNERABILITY, CAPACITY Reduce Threats Reduce Vulnerabilities Increase Capacities

  4. How to apply the Risk Equation • Consider a specific violation or damage • With a causal agent • a perpetrator, or a decision-maker whose actions lead to the violation. • We should think of our protection impact as something incremental to: • reduce the severity or level of damage; • reduce the frequency or number of people affected; • reduce the probability of the violation affecting a certain group.

  5. Identify Threats • What is the violation/abuse? • Who is responsible? • perpetrators • decision-makers • Who influences/supports them? • Why are they doing it? • Intentions, motivations, attitudes • What do they gain?

  6. Reduce Threats • Change the abuser’s mind/behavior • Persuasion • Change the cost/benefit of the attack • Coercion • Alliances – demonstrating power

  7. What makes someone vulnerable to this threat • Their work? Their organization? • Their location? • Their routes of movement? • Their relationships? • Their identity (gender, ethnic, etc.)?

  8. Reduce Vulnerabilities • Get out of the way • Change your behavior – reduce activities that might motivate the threat • Comply with an abuser’s demands

  9. Recognising Existing Capacities • Most of the time communities use their own resources: • Community strength; unity; leadership • Contingency plans • Political capacity to react quickly • Alliances • Communication and ability to persuade • Access to justice – state capacity to protect • Ability to defend oneself

  10. Increase capacities • Facilitate alliances • Support access to justice • Support community organizing/mobilization • Leadership training • Other…

  11. Example: Women being raped while collecting firewood Reduce threats? Reduce vulnerability? Increase Capacity? Action which changes the motivation or capacity of rapists: sensitization campaigns, prosecutions, community pressure, etc. Reducing the need or frequency of collecting firewood; changing patterns or routes; etc. Going out in groups; accompaniment of firewood collection by someone whose presence would deter attack.

  12. Risk Factors interact • Reducing threats might reduce capacity • Reducing vulnerability might reduce capacity • Increasing capacity could increase threat • Reducing one kind of risk can create new risks.

  13. Exercise Issue 1 Threat Threat Vul. Factors Vul. Factors Capacities Capacities Issue 2 Issue 3

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