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Approaching Safe and Secure Environments: Some Ideas Tom Moore, Ph.D. a nd Jon Czarnecki, Ph.D. Naval War College Monterey For The Peace and Stability Operations Training and Education Workshop George Mason University Arlington Campus 25 March 2014.
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Approaching Safe and Secure Environments: Some Ideas Tom Moore, Ph.D. and Jon Czarnecki, Ph.D. Naval War College Monterey For The Peace and Stability Operations Training and Education Workshop George Mason University Arlington Campus 25 March 2014
Overarching Questions for the Safe and Secure Environments Sessions • What constitutes a safe and secure environment (SSE)? • In what arenas and at what variables must we look to evaluate the safety and security of a given environment? • What is the relative importance of perception vs reality in establishing a SSE? • What arenas are most important for improving the safety and security of an environment? • On what time scales should we focus?
Self Actualization Self Esteem Love and Belonging Safety and Security Physiological needs Our Theoretical Foundation Must solve lower Needs first! Maslow’s Hierarchy of Needs
Must SSEs be Predictable? • Humans generally want predictability in their environment. • This implies that humans want variability (or perceived variability) to be below a threshold. • In addition, the mean of important security variables must be above other thresholds.
How we differ from the mainstream literature on SSE • We include SSE issues arising from HA/DR crises • SSE challenges occur earlier in crisis timeline • Think of USMC “Three Block” War doctrine • SSE is more than SSR and DDR • Includes conflict termination (stop the shooting) issues • SSE not dependent on ideal liberal state aspects • Sometimes dealing with sub-state actors is necessary and correct but distasteful • Western views on SSE are inapplicable in some places • SSE includes crises that involve foreign and indigenous capabilities • How indigenous SSE capabilities can help themselves
The Nested Layers of Security Planetary National Provincial/State Community Neighborhood Self
Security Arenas vs. Layers Planetary National Environmental Security Economic Security Provincial/State Logistical Security Community Commo Security Neighborhood Cultural Security Self Social Security Physical Security Political Security Religious Security Human Security Governmental Security
Security Providers vs. Layers Planetary National Government (non-military) Provincial/State Military Militias Community Police Neighborhood Leaders Self Populace
Police State Other Sectors High Level of State Effort Successful Intervention Low Failing State 0 1 2 3 4 5 Operational Phase (US Doctrine) Illustrative Possible SSE Progression across Time
High Level of PopulaceEffort Low 0 1 2 3 4 5 Operational Phase (US Doctrine)