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The Automobile Era By the Numbers. Norman W. Garrick Lecture 3.1 Sustainable Transportation. 1915 Model T. http://www.seriouswheels.com/pics-1800-1919/1915-Ford-Model-T-b-nf.jpg.
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The Automobile EraBy the Numbers Norman W. Garrick Lecture 3.1 Sustainable Transportation
1915 Model T http://www.seriouswheels.com/pics-1800-1919/1915-Ford-Model-T-b-nf.jpg Henry Ford did not invent the automobile or the assembly line. He did, however, change the world by using an assembly line technique to produce cars which could be afforded by everyone. From 1909 to 1927, the Ford Motor Company built more than 15 million Model T cars. Without a doubt, Henry Ford transformed the economic and social fabric of the 20th century. http://www.modelt.ca/background.html
http://www.uniquecarsandparts.com.au/images/car_info/large/ford_model_t_ad.jpghttp://www.uniquecarsandparts.com.au/images/car_info/large/ford_model_t_ad.jpg
What Issues of Sustainability are Associated with Increased VMT?
Vehicle Miles Traveled orThe World After the Model T 1930s The Great Depression 1940-45 World War II 1956 Highway Bill 1973 First Oil Crisis 1992 ISTEA 1908 The Model T 1949 Housing Act Post 2005 ??? 1979 Second Oil Crisis Ref for VMT ---- http://www.fhwa.dot.gov/policyinformation/statistics/2007/vmt421.cfm
Before-the-WarAfter-the-War Ref for VMT ---- http://www.fhwa.dot.gov/policyinformation/statistics/2007/vmt421.cfm
3,000,000,000,000 miles per year 3 Trillion Miles How much fuel? At average fleet efficiency rate of 20 mpg we use 150,000,000,000 gallons of gasoline per year
150,000,000,000 gallons of gasoline per year What is the retail cost this gasoline? At an average cost of $4:00 per gallon We spend $600,000,000,000 on gasoline per year
$15,000,000,000,000 Gross Domestic Product of the USA Retail gasoline cost as a fraction of USA GDP? 4 out of every $100 4 %
% of GDP spent on Housing 24 %Healthcare 16 % Food 12 %Transportation 11%Education 7 %
VMT/day/capita Ref for VMT ---- http://www.fhwa.dot.gov/policyinformation/statistics/2007/vmt421.cfm Ref for Vehicle Data ---- http://www1.eere.energy.gov/vehiclesandfuels/facts/2007_fcvt_fotw474.html
VMT/capita in USA • Peaked at 27.9 miles per day per capita in 2004 • Deceased by 1.4 miles per day in 2008 – largest one year decrease ever in absolute terms • In 1942 and 1943, VMT/capita decreased by over 20% in consecutive years • In contrast the decrease in 2008 was only 5% • The only times VMT/capita decreased was during • The great depression of the 1930s, • World War II • The Oil Crisis of the 1970s, and • The recession of the early 1980s • Now
VMT/capita versus GDP Ref: Millard-Ball, A and Schipper, L ‘Are We Reaching a Plateau or “Peak” Travel? Trends in Passenger Transportation in Six Industrialized Countries’, TRB Meeting 2010
Motor Vehicles/1000 in USA Central and South America China 2005 Africa 2005 Western Europe China 1995 Ref for VMT ---- http://www.fhwa.dot.gov/policyinformation/statistics/2007/vmt421.cfm Ref for Vehicle Data ---- http://www1.eere.energy.gov/vehiclesandfuels/facts/2007_fcvt_fotw474.html
Motor Vehicles/1000 USA versus China 2007 240 million vehicles in USA 28 million vehicles in China
Motor Vehicles per 1000 The result of supply driven transportation in Zürich?
Total Number of Vehicles versus Population in USA1900 to 2005 Ref for VMT ---- http://www.fhwa.dot.gov/policyinformation/statistics/2007/vmt421.cfm Ref for Vehicle Data ---- http://www1.eere.energy.gov/vehiclesandfuels/facts/2007_fcvt_fotw474.html
Vehicles versus VMT in USA1900 to 2005 Ref for VMT ---- http://www.fhwa.dot.gov/policyinformation/statistics/2007/vmt421.cfm Ref for Vehicle Data ---- http://www1.eere.energy.gov/vehiclesandfuels/facts/2007_fcvt_fotw474.html
VMT per Vehicle in USA1900 to 2005 Ref for VMT ---- http://www.fhwa.dot.gov/policyinformation/statistics/2007/vmt421.cfm Ref for Vehicle Data ---- http://www1.eere.energy.gov/vehiclesandfuels/facts/2007_fcvt_fotw474.html
Creating Automobility VMT/capita/day Vehicle per 1000 How did we go from 5 to 200 vehicles per 1000 in less that 20 years? This change required an enormous shift in how we lived and the structure of our cities. One battle ground in this revolution was our city streets.
Before the advent of the automobile, the users of city streets were diverse and included children at play and pedestrians at large. By 1930, most streets were primarily motor thoroughfares where pedestrians were condemned as ‘jaywalkers.’ In Fighting Traffic, Peter Norton argues that to accommodate automobiles, the American city required not only a physical change but also a social one: before the city could be reconstructed for the sake of motorists, its streets had to be socially reconstructed as places where motorists belonged. It was not an evolution, but a bloody and sometimes violent revolution.