Texas Demographics and Destiny

1. Texas Demographics and Destiny New Politics Forum November 12, 2010 Austin, TX Lloyd B. Potter

2. 25 Million Reasons to be Proud of Texas (among a few more) Demographic Highlights TEXAS is: big.  The population of Texas is the second largest in the United States, approaching 25 million people (estimated population of 24.8 million people in 2009).7 young.  Approximately 28% of Texas’ population is under 18 and only 10% of the population is older than 65 years.1  Webb County in Texas, has the youngest population in the U.S. with children younger than 5 comprising 12.8% of the population.7 embracing of culture and diversity.  Approximately 9 million or 38% of Texans are of Hispanic descent,  2.8 million or 12% are African Americans, and 1 million or 4% are other (non-Anglo mainly of Asian descent).1  In about a decade, it is expected that Texas’ population will have more persons of Hispanic descent than any other racial or ethnic group.4 a desired place to live and work.  Net in-migration to Texas accounts for almost half of the population growth in recent years.1 More than 171,900 college graduates moved into Texas each year between 2006 and 2008, placing Texas as 2nd in the Nation by this measure. Data sources: 1. Texas State Data Center, Population Estimates; 2.  U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey; 3. U.S. Census Bureau, 2000 Census; 4. Texas State Data Center, Population Projections; 5. U.S. Census Bureau,  Metropolitan Statistical Area Estimates; 6. U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics; 7. U.S. Census Bureau, Population Estimates

3. TEXASis (continued): urban. Texas has three of the top 10 largest cities in the Nation.3 Several of the metropolitan areas in Texas are among the most rapidly growing in the Nation.5 rural. Texas is the second largest state in the Nation in terms of square miles (268,601) and approximately 17% of the population lives in rural areas.1 a working state. Texas has a civilian labor force of more than twelve million workers and an unemployment rate lower than in most States.6 family oriented.  Texas ranks 3rd among states for the percent of households which are married-couple families with children (24.4%).2 multigenerational.  Texas ranks 3rd among states for percent of households which are multigenerational (4.5%).2 growing – fast.   Texas gained more population than any other state in the last estimate year (between July 1, 2008 and July 1, 2009), adding 478,000 people.7Among cities over 100,000 population in the U.S., 4 of the 10 fastest growing areas are in Texas (2007-2008 change).7 Data sources: 1. Texas State Data Center, Population Estimates; 2.  U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey; 3. U.S. Census Bureau, 2000 Census; 4. Texas State Data Center, Population Projections; 5. U.S. Census Bureau,  Metropolitan Statistical Area Estimates; 6. U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics; 7. U.S. Census Bureau, Population Estimates

4. Texas Demography Growth, Diversity, Distribution

5. Fastest Growing States, 2000-2009

6. Total Population and Components of Population Change in Texas, 1950-2009

7. Estimated Number and Percent of Migrants to Texas between 2000 and 2009 by Race and Ethnicity Sources: Percentages of domestic and international migrants by race and ethnicity derived from the 2006-2008 American Community Survey. Total numbers of domestic and international migrants between 2000-2009 are from Table 4. Cumulative Estimates of the Components of Resident Population Change for the United States, Regions, States, and Puerto Rico: April 1, 2000 to July 1, 2009, U.S. Census Bureau

8. Estimated Unauthorized Immigrant Population by State of Residence: January 2009 and 2000 Source: U.S. Department of Homeland Security.

9. Texas Racial and Ethnic Composition, • 2000 and 2009 Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2000 Census count and 2009 Population Estimate

10. Geographic Patterns

11. Total Population in Texas Counties, 2009 Source: U.S. Census Bureau Population Estimates

12. Estimate percent non-Hispanic Anglo and Hispanic by County, 2009 Hispanic non-Hispanic Anglo Source: U.S. Census Bureau Population Estimates

13. Number of Texas Counties by Percent Race/Ethnicity, 2000 and 2009

14. Percent Change of Total Population in Texas Counties, 2000-2009 Population increase for Texas was almost 19% during this period Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2000 Census Count and 2009 Population Estimates

15. Projected Population Growth in Texas, 2000-2040 Year Source: Texas State Data Center 2008 Population Projections

16. Percent of Population Growth and Projected Population Growth by Race/Ethnicity, Texas Source: U.S. Census Counts, and Texas State Data Center 2008 Population Projections, 0.5 Scenario

17. Projected Racial and Ethnic Percent, Texas, 2000-2040 Source: Texas State Data Center 2008 Population Projections , 2000-2007 Migration Scenario

18. Texas economy 2nd largest in the nation 15th largest in the world Source: CNBC.com

19. Percent of U.S. high school graduates from selected states, 2006-2007 SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, Common Core of Data (CCD), "NCES Common Core of Data State Dropout and Completion Data File

20. Averaged freshman graduation rate (percent) for public high school students, for the U.S. and selected states: 2006–07 Texas Ranked 37th of 50 States SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, Common Core of Data (CCD), "NCES Common Core of Data State Dropout and Completion Data File," school year 2006-07

21. Educational attainment of persons 25+ years of age by ethnicity, Texas, 2009 Source: American Community Survey, 2009

22. Projected Percent of Labor Force (ages 18-64) by Educational Attainment in Texas, 2000 and 2040

23. Projected Texas Population Pyramids, 2010 and 2020 2010 2020 Source: Texas State Data Center 2008 Population Projections , 2000-2007 Migration Scenario

24. Demographics and Destiny

25. Contact Office: 512-463-7659 Email: Lloyd.Potter@utsa.edu TXSDC.UTSA.edu Lloyd Potter, Ph.D.