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§ 1.1 Preference Ballots and Preference Schedules. Example: .
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Example: • Starting in the early ‘90s, the Henson production company started to pay the Muppets with stock options rather than a straight salary. Quietly, the Muppets, as a group, gained a controlling interest in Henson productions. In a move that shocked the world, the Muppets decided to elect one of their own as the CEO of the company.
Example: • Suppose the ballots broke down as follows: We could also represent this information with a table: Ballot1st Piggy2nd Kermit3rd Gonzo4th Fozzie Ballot1st Gonzo2nd Kermit3rd Fozzie4th Piggy Ballot1st Fozzie2nd Gonzo3rd Kermit4th Piggy Ballot1st Kermit2nd Fozzie3rd Gonzo4th Piggy 21 15 12 7
Example: (cont’d) • This kind of ballot, in which the voters rank candidates in order of preference is called a preferenceballot. • If ties are disallowed then we have a linear ballot. • The table we used is an example of a preference schedule for the election.
Transitivity and Candidate Elimination • Voter preferences are transitive--that is if a voter prefers candidate A to candidate B and prefers B over candidate C then the voter prefers A to C. • This means that if we want to see which candidate someone would vote for in a two person election all we need to check is which candidate is placed higher on the ballot.
Transitivity and Candidate Elimination • Now suppose a candidate drops out of the race. In such a case, the relative preferences of a voter are not affected.
§ 1.2 The Plurality Method Kent: Senator Dole, why should people vote for you instead of President Clinton?Kang/Dole: It makes no difference which one of us you vote for. Either way, your planet is doomed. DOOMED!Kent: Well, a refreshingly frank response there from senator Bob Dole. - The Simpsons, Treehouse of Horror VII
The Plurality Method • The plurality method says that the candidate (or candidates) with the most first-place votes wins a given election. • This method is an extension of the concept of majority rule, which states that in an election between two candidates one with the majority of votes wins.
The Majority Criterion • If a choice receives a majority of first-place votes in an election, then that choice should be the winner of the election.
The Majority Criterion • If a choice receives a majority of first-place votes, but does not win then we have a violation of the majority criterion. • Does the plurality method satisfy the Majority Criterion?
The Majority Criterion • If a choice receives a majority of first-place votes, but does not win then we have a violation of the majority criterion. • Does the plurality method satisfy the Majority Criterion? • Yes! (Since a candidate with a majority of first-place votes would automatically have a plurality as well.)
The Plurality Method • What’s wrong with the plurality method?
Example: Let’s look at the Muppet example again.
The Condorcet Criterion • If there is a choice that in a head-to-head comparison is preferred by the voters over each of the other choices, then that choice should be the winner of the election. • A candidate that wins in every head-to-head comparison against each of the other candidates is called the Condorcet candidate.
The Plurality Method • What’s wrong with the plurality method? • It violates the Condorcet Criterion.
Insincere Voting • Insincere voting occurs when a voter changes his or her true preferences on the ballot in an effort to influence the election against a certain candidate. ``Don`t blame me - I voted for Kodos.`` - Homer Simpson, Treehouse of Horror VII
The Borda Count Method • The Idea: Assign points to each ranking on the ballot--the candidate with the highest total wins. This method produces the best compromise candidate. • If we have an election with N candidates we will give 1 point for last place, 2 points for second to last, . . . , and N points for first place. The candidate with the highest total number of points is the winner.
Example: Let’s look at the Muppet example again. If we tally up the points we find: Piggy gets 21(4) + 15(1) + 12(1) +7(1) = 118Kermit gets 21(3) + 15(3) + 12(2) + 7(4) = 160Gonzo gets 21(2) + 15(4) + 12(3) + 7(2) = 152Fozzie gets 21(1) + 15(2) + 12(4) + 7(3) = 120
The Borda Count Method • What’s wrong with this method?
Example: The Springfield Republican primary Krusty the Clown, Sideshow Bob, Dracula and Mr. Burns are running in theprimary to be Springfield’s congressional representative. Suppose the vote breaks down like this:
The Borda Count Method • What’s wrong with this method? • It violates theMajority Criterion. . .
The Borda Count Method • What’s wrong with this method? • It violates theMajority Criterion. . . • . . .and the Condorcet Criterion.