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HEDGEHOGS. Stefan Lange Kate McPherson Zach Sheltra Allison Wicks DECEMBER 8, 2010. STRATEGY. Beta Neutral Dollar Neutral $100,000 Initial Investment Hedged Asset Class Diversification. PORTFOLIO CONSTRUCTION. HEDGED PAIRS BY ASSET CLASS. MARKET
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HEDGEHOGS Stefan Lange Kate McPherson Zach Sheltra Allison Wicks DECEMBER 8, 2010
STRATEGY Beta Neutral Dollar Neutral $100,000 Initial Investment Hedged Asset Class Diversification
PORTFOLIO CONSTRUCTION HEDGED PAIRS BY ASSET CLASS MARKET Long EEM (iShares MSCI Emerging Markets Index) Short SPY (SPDR S&P 500) FINANCIAL SECTOR Long BRK-B (Berkshire Hathaway, Inc.) Short XLF (Financial Select SPDR) RETAIL SECTOR Long AMZN (Amazon, Inc.) Long NFLX (Netflix, Inc.) Short XLY (Consumer Discreet Select Sector SPDR) BONDS Long TLT(iShares Barclays 20+ Year Treasury Bond) Short IEF(iShares Lehman 7-10 Year Treasury Bond) CURRENCY Long FXE (Euro Currency) Short FXY (Yen Currency) REAL ESTATE Long IYR (iShares Dow Jones U.S. Real Estate) Short XHB (SPDR S&P Homebuilders) COMMODITY Long GLD (SPDR Gold Trust)
INVESTMENTS $50,212.80 Long $49,119.00 Short $99,331.80 Total Investment $1,094 Net Exposure
PORTFOLIO BETA LONG WEIGHTED BETA 1.42 SHORT WEIGHTED BETA 1.3662
CORRELATIONS Ideally, investments within pairs will be highly correlated while investments between pairs will have low correlation.
CONCLUSION AVOID CONFIRMATION BIAS AND AFFECT AND AVAILABILITY HEURISTICS • Research multiple sites for all information, favorable and unfavorable • Rely on information instead of emotion • Keep searching CALCULATE OUR OWN BETAS • To ensure: • Accuracy • Appropriate weighting • Correct beta neutrality
CONCLUSION MEASURE ETF LIQUIDITY THROUGH FIVE FACTORS • Determine market efficiency CALCULATE ACTUAL RETURN • Avoid reliance on returns given on finance websites
CONCLUSION DON’T LOOK AT “HOT” STOCKS NO“CHARTISM” USE A STOCK SCREENER
Conclusion USE A PORTFOLIO INSTANT X-RAY EXPLORE SECURITIES OUTSIDE THE U.S. UTILIZE VALUE LINE’S TIMELINESS & SAFETY RANKS