60 likes | 177 Views
B. A. What if? modelling with CLC/LEAC/CORILIS Attempt at mapping areas prone to agriculture intensification (What if? Agro-fuel scenario) Case of fallow land/set aside 1990-2000 at risk of re-intensification Version 0.01.
E N D
B A What if? modelling with CLC/LEAC/CORILIS Attempt at mapping areas prone to agriculture intensification (What if? Agro-fuel scenario)Case of fallow land/set aside 1990-2000 at risk of re-intensificationVersion 0.01 Corilis is the computation in a regular grid of CLC values in and in the neighbourhood of each cell (in the application: radius of 5km. Ref.: EEA 2006, Land accounts for Europe 1990-2000 • Areas prone to agriculture intensification driven by the agro-fuel demand are assumed to be: • with a minimum of 20% of agriculture potential (~UAA) mountains, urban areas, large forests… are excluded. • with a higher potential for conversion when the 2 agriculture types are balanced (very intensive areas will not intensify any more, very extensive areas result probably from relief and climate conditions which will restrict intensification) • For each grid cell of 1km², the formula retained is therefore: • Conversion Potential = Potential (A-B)* Potential (A+B), when Potential (A+B) > 20. Value normalised to 0 to 100 Several What if? applications have been derived from the methodology (report forthcoming…). Case of fallow land/set aside 1990-2000 at risk of re-intensification, 1st test maps: Areas prone to intensification (in GREY) AND fallow land set aside mapped from LEAC flow lcf41 (in GREEN). Fallow land/set aside at risk of re-intensification are in RED. (RED = GREY+GREEN) At this stage, this is a distribution map, not yet a statistical quantification
What if? modelling with CLC/LEAC/CORILIS Attempt at mapping areas prone to agriculture intensification (What if? Agro-fuel scenario)Case of fallow land/set aside 1990-2000 at risk of re-intensificationVersion 0.01
What if? modelling with CLC/LEAC/CORILIS Attempt at mapping areas prone to agriculture intensification (What if? Agro-fuel scenario)Case of fallow land/set aside 1990-2000 at risk of re-intensificationVersion 0.01
What if? modelling with CLC/LEAC/CORILIS Attempt at mapping areas prone to agriculture intensification (What if? Agro-fuel scenario)Case of fallow land/set aside 1990-2000 at risk of re-intensificationVersion 0.01
What if? modelling with CLC/LEAC/CORILIS Attempt at mapping areas prone to agriculture intensification (What if? Agro-fuel scenario)Case of fallow land/set aside 1990-2000 at risk of re-intensificationVersion 0.01
What if? modelling with CLC/LEAC/CORILIS Attempt at mapping areas prone to agriculture intensification (What if? Agro-fuel scenario)Case of fallow land/set aside 1990-2000 at risk of re-intensificationVersion 0.01