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Comparative Analysis of Shale Gas Innovation between China and US. Mier Zhang Dalian University of Technology Dalian, China. OUTLINE. Why/How Big Data Analytical Tools Data Analysis Conclusion. Why /How. China is becoming the largest oil importer in the world. (by million tons).
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Comparative Analysis of Shale Gas Innovation between China and US Mier Zhang Dalian University of Technology Dalian, China
OUTLINE • Why/How • Big Data • Analytical Tools • Data Analysis • Conclusion
Why/How • China is becoming the largest oil importer in the world. (by million tons) Oil Consumption and Net Import in China
Why/How • PV Industry: China is the leader of products manufacturing in the world. (%) China’s Share of the World
Why/How • Wind Power: China has been the largest installation market since 2009. (by MW) Annual Installation
Why/How • But the production of shale gas in China is Zero! Why? • US has made great progress in shale gas and thanks to shale gas, she has become the leader in natural gas.
Why/How • Both China and US own abundant shale gas reserve. So is the difference because of technology? • To explore the reason, choose patents in each country as technology indicators. • In the era of big data, it is efficient to choose data mining to get the patent information we need. • By comparative analysis, try to figure out the difference between China and US.
Big Data • Data Source: Derwent Innovation Index • DII is a database which contains the most comprehensive international patent information, including Derwent World Patents Index and Patents Citation Index. • DII covers over 14.3 million basic inventions from 40 worldwide patent-issuing authorities and updates twice a week with more than 20 thousand patents. The data in it can track 50 years back to 1963.
Analytical Tools • TDA (Thomson Data Analyzer) • A powerful data mining software • Analyzing data with a variety of tools effectively and creating various custom reports • Extracting business-critical insights through data processing • TI (Thomson Innovation) • A leading IP intelligence and collaboration platform • Combining together the industry’s powerful intellectual property (IP) analysis tools. • Analyzing data through citation map, clustering analysis, patent map and so on
Data Analysis • Trend Analysis • Patents in US • Patents in China
Data Analysis • As we know, the key technologies of shale gas industry are fracturing and horizontal well. Data Details • With keywords above, we mine patent data from big data by TDA.
Analysis: Trend Analysis Patents in China and US
Analysis: Patent Map • Big data is like ocean of data, which is extremely boring and makes it difficult to find something useful, and this is why we choose patent map. • The patent map is developed to identify patent theme and present the result with a graphical model by data mining as well as clustering analysis. • This model is based on contour map, on which a dot is a patent, high peaks indicate density of documents, contour lines enclose a set of documents. • It enables us to identify technology evolution, analyze patent distribution in a particular technology space, and verify the characteristics of the patents.
Analysis: Patent Map (The US) • Blue dot: Holders are from US. • Yellow dot: Holders are from other countries. Patents in US by the End of 1979
Analysis: Patent Map (The US) • Blue dot: Holders are from US. • Yellow dot: Holders are from other countries. Patents in US by the End of 1989
Analysis: Patent Map (The US) • Blue dot: holders are from US. • Yellow dot: holders are from other countries. Patents in US by the End of 1999
Analysis: Patent Map (The US) • Blue dot: Holders are from US. • Yellow dot: Holders are from other countries. Patents in US by the End of 2012
Analysis:Top 10 patentees in the U.S. • Except for Shell Oil, all of them are American enterprises. Top 10 Patentees in the US
Analysis: The US • Technology complexity and accumulation are technical characteristics of the exploitation. • After over 40 years, the exploitation of shale gas in the US has formed an integrated technical system. • More and more patents of shale gas are granted in US and the major patent holders are American enterprises.
Analysis: Patent Map (China) • Yellow dot: Holders are from China. • Blue dot: Holders are from US. Patents in China by the End of 1989
Analysis: Patent Map (China) • Yellow dot: Holders are from China. • Blue dot: Holders are from US. Patents in China by the End of 1999
Analysis: Patent Map (China) • Yellow dot: Holders are from China. • Blue dot: Holders are from US. Patents in China by the End of 2012
Analysis:Top 10 Patentees in China • The NO.1 patent holder is PetroChina. • China Petrochemical, China Petroleum University, China National Offshore Oil and Southwest Petroleum University also hold a large part of patents in China. • Schlumberger, 3M, Halliburton and Exxonmobil are all American company. Top 10 Patentees in China
Analysis: China • China began the research on shale gas exploitation in 1980s and there is lack of accumulation. • Though more and more patents have been granted in China recently, there are still some technical gaps in the field. • Meanwhile, American enterprises have applied for many patents of shale gas in China and become important holders.
Conclusion • The technologies of shale gas exploitation is of high complexity and need decades of technology accumulation. • China has made progress in exploitation technology, but there are still some technical gaps. • There is abundant shale gas reserve in China and American firms have more and more patents here, it will be a win-win situation to seek Sino-US cooperation.
Thanks! Welcome to Dalian! Mier Zhang, Professor Dalian University of Technology E-mail: ZHMILL@dlut.edu.cn