Theory of Supply and Demand Presentation by Said Cherkaoui, Ph.D.

1. Theory of Supply and DemandPresentation by Said Cherkaoui, Ph.D.

2. Overview • Market (who, what, how) • Supply and demand is an economic model • Designed to explain how prices are determined in certain types of markets • What you will learn in this chapter • How the model of supply and demand works and how to use it • The law of demand • The law of supply • The determination of market equilibrium • Factors shifting demand or supply curves

3. Summaries • Through the study of the chapter, you will be able to • Characterize a market. • Use a demand schedule and a demand curve to demonstrate the law of demand. • Explain the difference between a change in demand (shift of the curve) and a change in quantity demanded (movement along the curve). • List the factors that will lead to a change in demand, and give examples of each. • Similar analysis for supply side. • Explain how equilibrium price and quantity are determined in a competitive market. • Explain what will happen in a competitive market after a shift in the supply curve, the demand curve, or both. • Describe the three steps economists take to answer almost any question about the economy.

4. Markets • In economics, a market is not a place but rather a group of buyers and sellers with the potential to trade with each other • Market is defined not by its location but by its participants • First step in an economic analysis is to define and characterize the market or collection of markets to analyze • Economists think of the economy as a collection of individual markets

5. How Broadly Should We Define The Market • Defining the market often requires economists to group things together • Aggregation is the combining of a group of distinct things into a single whole • Markets can be defined broadly or narrowly, depending on our purpose • How broadly or narrowly markets are defined is one of the most important differences between Macroeconomics and Microeconomics

6. Defining Macroeconomic Markets • Goods and services are aggregated to the highest levels • Macro models lump all consumer goods into the single category “consumption goods” • Macro models will also analyze all capital goods as one market • Macroeconomists take an overall view of the economy without getting bogged down in details

7. Defining Microeconomic Markets • Markets are defined narrowly • Focus on models that define much more specific commodities • Always involves some aggregation • But stops it reaches the highest level of generality that macroeconomics investigates

8. Buyers and Sellers • Buyers and sellers in a market can be • Households • Business firms • Government agencies • All three can be both buyers and sellers in the same market, but are not always • For purposes of simplification this text will usually follow these guidelines • In markets for consumer goods, we’ll view business firms as the only sellers, and households as only buyers • In most of our discussions, we’ll be leaving out the “middleman”

9. Competition in Markets • In imperfectly competitive markets, individual buyers or sellers can influence the price of the product • In perfectly competitive markets (or just competitive markets), each buyer and seller takes the market price as a given • What makes some markets imperfectly competitive and others perfectly competitive? • Perfectly competitive markets have many small buyers and sellers • Each is a small part of the market, and the product is standardized • Imperfectly competitive markets have just a few large buyers and sellers • Or else the product of each seller is unique in some way

10. Using Supply and Demand • Supply and demand model is designed to explain how prices are determined in perfectly competitive markets • Perfect competition is rare but many markets come reasonably close • Perfect competition is a matter of degree rather than an all or nothing characteristic • Supply and demand is one of the most versatile and widely used models in the economist’s tool kit

11. Demand • A household’s quantity demanded of a good • Specific amount household would choose to buy over some time period, given • A particular price that must be paid for the good • All other constraints on the household • Market quantity demanded (or quantity demanded) is the specific amount of a good that all buyers in the market would choose to buy over some time period, given • A particular price they must pay for the good • All other constraints on households

12. Quantity Demanded • Implies a choice • How much households would like to buy when they take into account the opportunity cost of their decisions? • Is hypothetical • Makes no assumptions about availability of the good • How much would households want to buy, at a specific price, given real-world limits on their spending power? • Stresses price • Price of the good is one variable among many that influences quantity demanded • We’ll assume that all other influences on demand are held constant, so we can explore the relationship between price and quantity demanded

13. The Law of Demand • The price of a good rises and everything else remains the same, the quantity of the good demanded will fall • The words, “everything else remains the same” are important • In the real world many variables change simultaneously • However, in order to understand the economy we must first understand each variable separately • Thus we assume that, “everything else remains the same,” in order to understand how demand reacts to price

14. The Demand Schedule • Demand schedule • A list showing the quantity of a good that consumers would choose to purchase at different prices, with all other variables held constant • Demand V.S. Quantities demanded - demand is the entire relationship between price and quantity - quantities demanded are specific amount of goods buyers want to buy

15. The Demand Curve • The market demand curve (or just demand curve) shows the relationship between the price of a good and the quantity demanded , holding constant all other variables that influence demand • Each point on the curve shows the total buyers would choose to buy at a specific price • Law of demand tells us that demand curves virtually always slope downward

16. Price per Bottle When the price is $4.00 per bottle, 40,000 bottles are demanded (point A). At $2.00 per bottle, 60,000 bottles are demanded (point B). Number of Bottles per Month Figure 1: The Demand Curve A $4.00 B 2.00 D 40,000 60,000

17. “Shifts” vs. “Movements Along” The Demand Curve • Move along the demand curve • From a change in the price of the good we analyze • In maple syrup example, Figure 1 • A fall in price would cause a movement to the right along the demand curve (point A to B) • See figure 3(a)

18. Price Price increase moves us leftward alongdemand curve Price increase moves us rightwardalongdemand curve Quantity Figure 3(a): Movements Along and Shifts of The Demand Curve P2 P1 P3 Q2 Q1 Q3

19. “Shifts” vs. “Movements Along” The Demand Curve • Shift of demand curve • a change in other things than price of the good causes a shift in the demand curve itself, for example, income • In Figure 2 • Demand curve has shifted to the right of the old curve (from Figure 1) as income has risen • A change in any variable that affects demand—except for the good’s price—causes the demand curve to shift

20. An increase in income shifts the demand curve for maple syrup from D1 to D2. At each price, more bottles are demanded after the shift Price per Bottle D2 D1 Number of Bottles per Month Figure 2: A Shift of The Demand Curve B C $2.00 60,000 80,000

21. “Change in Quantity Demanded” vs. “Change in Demand” • Language is important when discussing demand • “Quantity demanded” means • A particular amount that buyers would choose to buy at a specific price • It is a number represented by a single point on a demand curve • When a change in the price of a good moves us along a demand curve, it is a change in quantity demand • The term demand means • The entire relationship between price and quantity demanded—and represented by the entire demand curve • When something other than price changes, causing the entire demand curve to shift, it is a change in demand

22. Income: Factors That Shift The Demand Curve • An increase in income has effect of shifting demand for normal goods to the right • However, a rise in income shifts demand for inferior goods to the left • A rise in income will increase the demand for a normal good, and decrease the demand for an inferior good • Normal good and inferior good are defined by the relation between demand and income

23. Wealth: Factors That Shift The Demand Curve • Your wealth—at any point in time—is the total value of everything you own minus the total dollar amount you owe - Example • An increase in wealth will • Increase demand (shift the curve rightward) for a normal good • Decrease demand (shift the curve leftward) for an inferior good

24. Prices of Related Goods: Factors that Shift the Demand Curve • Substitute—good that can be used in place of some other good and that fulfills more or less the same purpose • Example • A rise in the price of a substitute increases the demand for a good, shifting the demand curve to the right • Complement—used together with the good we are interested in • Example • A rise in the price of a complement decreases the demand for a good, shifting the demand curve to the left

25. Other Factors That Shift the Demand Curve • Population • As the population increases in an area • Number of buyers will ordinarily increase • Demand for a good will increase • Expected Price • An expectation that price will rise (fall) in the future shifts the current demand curve rightward (leftward) • Tastes • Combination of all the personal factors that go into determining how a buyer feels about a good • When tastes change toward a good, demand increases, and the demand curve shifts to the right • When tastes change away from a good, demand decreases, and the demand curve shifts to the left

26. Small Summary -- Factors Affecting Demand • Income (depends on good’s nature: normal or inferior) • Wealth (depends on good’s nature) • Prices ofsubstitutes (positively related) • Prices of complements (negatively related) • Population (positively related) • Expected price (positively related) • Tastes (positively related)

27. Price Quantity Figure 3(b): Movements Along and Shifts of The Demand Curve • Entire demand curve shifts rightward when: • income or wealth ↑ • price of substitute ↑ • price of complement ↓ • population ↑ • expected price ↑ • tastes shift toward good D2 D1

28. Price Quantity Figure 3(c): Movements Along and Shifts of The Demand Curve • Entire demand curve shifts leftward when: • income or wealth ↓ • price of substitute ↓ • price of complement ↑ • population ↓ • expected price ↓ • tastes shift toward good D1 D2

29. Supply • A firm’s quantity supplied of a good is the specific amount its managers would choose to sell over some time period, given • A particular price for the good • All other constraints on the firm • Market quantity supplied (or quantity supplied) is the specific amount of a good that all sellers in the market would choose to sell over some time period, given • A particular price for the good • All other constraints on firms

30. Quantity Supplied • Implies a choice • Quantity that gives firms the highest possible profits when they take account of the constraints presented to them by the real world • Is hypothetical • Does not make assumptions about firms’ ability to sell the good • How much would firms’ managers want to sell, given the price of the good and all other constraints they must consider? • Stresses price • The price of the good is just one variable among many that influences quantity supplied • We’ll assume that all other influences on supply are held constant, so we can explore the relationship between price and quantity supplied

31. The Law of Supply • States that when the price of a good rises and everything else remains the same, the quantity of the good supplied will rise • The words, “everything else remains the same” are important • In the real world many variables change simultaneously • However, in order to understand the economy we must first understand each variable separately • We assume “everything else remains the same” in order to understand how supply reacts to price

32. The Supply Schedule and The Supply Curve • Supply schedule—shows quantities of a good or service firms would choose to produce and sell at different prices, with all other variables held constant • Supply curve—graphical depiction of a supply schedule • Shows quantity of a good or service supplied at various prices, with all other variables held constant

33. Price per Bottle When the price is $2.00 per bottle, 40,000 bottles are supplied (point F). At $4.00 per bottle, quantity supplied is 60,000 bottles(pointG). Number of Bottles per Month Figure 4: The Supply Curve S $4.00 G 2.00 F 40,000 60,000

34. Shifts vs. Movements Along the Supply Curve • A change in the price of a good causes a movement along the supply curve • In Figure 4 • A rise (fall) in price would cause a rightward (leftward) movement along the supply curve • A drop in transportation costs will cause a shift in the supply curve itself • In Figure 5 • Supply curve has shifted to the right of the old curve (from Figure 4) as transportation costs have dropped • A change in any variable that affects supply—except for the good’s price—causes the supply curve to shift

35. A decrease in transportation costs shifts the supply curve for maple syrup from S1 to S2. Price per Bottle At each price, more bottles are supplied after the shift Number of Bottles per Month Figure 5: A Shift of The Supply Curve S1 S2 $4.00 J G 60,000 80,000

36. Factors That Shift the Supply Curve • Input prices • A fall (rise) in the price of an input causes an increase (decrease) in supply, shifting the supply curve to the right (left) • Price of Related Goods • When the price of an alternate good rises (falls), the supply curve for the good in question shifts leftward (rightward) • Technology • Cost-saving technological advances increase the supply of a good, shifting the supply curve to the right

37. Factors That Shift the Supply Curve • Number of Firms • An increase (decrease) in the number of sellers—with no other changes—shifts the supply curve to the right (left) • Expected Price • An expectation of a future price increase (decrease) shifts the current supply curve to the left (right)

38. Factors That Shift the Supply Curve • Changes in weather • Favorable weather • Increases crop yields • Causes a rightward shift of the supply curve for that crop • Unfavorable weather • Destroys crops • Shrinks yields • Shifts the supply curve leftward • Other unfavorable natural events may effect all firms in an area • Causing a leftward shift in the supply curve

39. Price Price increase moves us rightward alongsupply curve Price increase moves us leftwardalongsupply curve Quantity Figure 6(a): Changes in Supply and in Quantity Supplied S P2 P1 P3 Q3 Q1 Q2

40. Price Quantity Figure 6(b): Changes in Supply and in Quantity Supplied S1 • Entire supply curve shifts rightward when: • price of input↓ • price of alternate good ↓ • number of firms ↑ • expected price ↑ • technological advance • favorable weather S2

41. Price Quantity Figure 6(c): Changes in Supply and in Quantity Supplied S2 • Entire supply curve shifts rightward when: • price of input↑ • price of alternate good ↑ • number of firms ↓ • expected price ↑ • unfavorable weather S1

42. Summary: Factors That Shift The Supply Curve • The short list of shift-variables for supply that we have discussed is far from exhaustive • In some cases, even the threat of such events can cause serious effects on production • Basic principle is always the same • Anything that makes sellers want to sell more or less of a good at any given price will shift supply curve

43. 2. causes the price to rise . . . 3. shrinking the excess demand . . . Price per Bottle 4. until price reaches its equilibrium value of $3.00 . Number of Bottles per Month 1. At a price of $1.00 per bottle an excess demand of 50,000 bottles . . . Figure 7: Market Equilibrium S E $3.00 H J 1.00 Excess Demand D 25,000 50,000 75,000

44. Excess Demand • Excess demand • At a given price, the excess of quantity demanded over quantity supplied • Price of the good will rise as buyers compete with each other to get more of the good than is available

45. 1. At a price of $5.00 per bottle an excess supply of 30,000 bottles . . . Price per Bottle 3. shrinking the excess supply . . . 2. causes the price to drop, 4. until price reaches its equilibrium value of $3.00. Number of Bottles per Month Figure 8: Excess Supply and Price Adjustment Excess Supply at $5.00 S $5.00 L K E 3.00 D 35,000 50,000 65,000

46. Excess Supply • Excess Supply • At a given price, the excess of quantity supplied over quantity demanded • Price of the good will fall as sellers compete with each other to sell more of the good than buyers want

47. 3. to a new equilibrium. 4. Equilibrium price increases Price per Bottle 2. moves us along the supply curve . . . 1. An increase in demand . . . Number of Bottles of Maple Syrup per Period 5. and equilibrium quantity increases too. Figure 9 S F' $4.00 E 3.00 D2 D1 50,000 60,000

48. An Ice Storm Hits: What Happens When Things Change • An ice storm causes a decrease in supply • Weather is a shift variable for supply curve • Any change that shifts the supply curve leftward in a market will increase the equilibrium price • And decrease the equilibrium quantity in that market

49. Price per Bottle Number of Bottles Figure 10: A Shift of Supply and A New Equilibrium S2 S1 E' $5.00 3.00 E D 35,000 50,000

50. Using Supply and Demand: The Invasion of Kuwait • Why did Iraq’s invasion of Kuwait cause the price of oil to rise? • Immediately after the invasion, United States led a worldwide embargo on oil from both Iraq and Kuwait • A significant decrease in the oil industry’s productive capacity caused a shift in the supply curve to the left • Price of oil increased