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Why’s & How’s of New Product Development. Mercer University Atlanta Dr. James E. Coleman 2005. Innovators (3-5%). Early Adopters (10-15%). Early Majority (34%). Late Majority (34%). Laggards/ Nonadopters (5-16%). 90. First to try new products. Usually the opinion leaders.
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Why’s & How’s ofNew Product Development Mercer University Atlanta Dr. James E. Coleman 2005
Innovators (3-5%) Early Adopters (10-15%) Early Majority (34%) Late Majority (34%) Laggards/ Nonadopters (5-16%) 90 First to try new products Usually theopinionleaders Deliberatewait forothers totry first--avoid risks Suspiciousof new-- like things“the old way” Percent Adoption 50 Very cautiousabout new ideas--only buy afterthey are “proven” 20 5 0 Time Adoption Curve
Development & Introduction Market Growth Market Maturity Sales Decline + Total Industry Sales Total Industry Profit Time - Product Life Cycle $ 0
Opportunities arise by adding features to products And sometimes by eliminating them Product Level • Core benefit • Generic product • Expected product • Augmented product • Potential product
Key Success Criteria • Product fit with market need • Product fit with capabilities • Product superiority • Cross-functional team approach • Clear vision of future market based on customer feedback • Continuous, quality-based process
Key Challenges • Managing trade-offs (cost vs. features) • Dynamics of customer preferences, technologies & competitive products • Details: thousands of minor choices - each with significant cost & customer consequences • Time pressure • Organizational realities: • Lack of team empowerment • Functional allegiances & politics • Inadequate resources
Key Challenges • Managing trade-offs (cost vs. features) • Dynamics of customer preferences, technologies & competitive products • Details: thousands of minor choices - each with significant cost & customer consequences • Time pressure • Organizational realities: • Lack of team empowerment • Functional allegiances & politics • Inadequate resources • Lack of cross-functional representation
Identify Customer Needs New Product Process Screen Product Concepts Establish Target Specifications Generate Product Concepts Many iterations may be required Evaluate & Launch? Refine Specifications
Identify Customer Needs New Product Process Screen Product Concepts Establish Target Specifications Generate Product Concepts Many iterations may be required Evaluate & Launch? Refine Specifications
Identify Customer Needs • Define project scope • brief description of product idea • key business goals • target market(s) • assumptions & constraints • stakeholders
Identify Customer Needs • Define project scope • Gather data from customers • identify lead users • qualitative research • interviews (25-30) • focus groups • observe products in use environment
Identify Customer Needs • Define project scope • Gather data from customers • Interpret customer needs “What” not “How”
Identify Customer Needs • Define project scope • Gather data from customers • Interpret customer needs Be Specific
Identify Customer Needs • Define project scope • Gather data from customers • Determine customer needs • Organize the needs • print need statements on index cards • have lead users group similar needs • conduct quantitative research to determine relative importance of needs
Identify Customer Needs • Define project scope • Gather data from customers • Determine customer needs • Organize the needs • Evaluate the conclusions • Have we missed any important customer groups? • Have we uncovered any new or latent needs? • What areas should be followed up in later research?
Identify Customer Needs New Product Process Screen Product Concepts Establish Target Specifications Generate Product Concepts Many iterations may be required Evaluate & Launch? Refine Specifications
Establish Product Specs • Product specifications • precise description of what the product must do or how it should perform • consists of a metric and a value • example: • average time to assemble (metric) • less than 75 seconds (value)
Target Established just after identifying customer needs. Represent aspirations for the product. Not constrained by current product category technology. Refined Determined after significant product & market analysis. Product expectations that are economically & technologically feasible. Follow hard trade-offs among desirable features. Product Specifications
Establish Product Specs • Prepare needs-metrics matrix • Should be performed by those involved in identifying needs • Determine metric for each significant customer need • Metrics should be practical • Address methods for measuring subjective needs
Establish Product Specs • Prepare needs-metrics matrix • Benchmark competitors • objective measures require purchase, disassembly & analysis • subjective measures require collection of customer perceptions • both are expensive and time consuming, but essential
Establish Product Specs • Prepare needs-metrics matrix • Benchmark competitors • Set ideal & marginally acceptable target values for each metric • ideal represents the best possible result (rarely attained) • marginally acceptable is the value at which the product is just barely commercially viable (minimum)
Tone • Zest 1 3 • Dove • Lever 2000 high moisturizing 2 6 • Coast • Safeguard • Lux heavy deodorant 5 non deodorant 4 7 • Dial • Lava • Lifebuoy 8 1. product perceptions 2. “ideal” products low moisturizing Positioning Illustrated
Establish Product Specs • Prepare needs-metrics matrix • Benchmark competitors • Set ideal & acceptable target values for each metric • Reflect on the results • are project team members “gaming”? • are multiple products/levels needed? • will these specs lead to commercial success?
Identify Customer Needs New Product Process Screen Product Concepts Establish Target Specifications Generate Product Concepts Many iterations may be required Evaluate & Launch? Refine Specifications
Concept Generation • Suspend judgment • If you don’t like an idea, suggest alternatives, don’t criticize • Focus on quantity, not quality • Welcome the infeasible or “boundary stretching” ideas • Use graphical & physical media
Class Exercise • Customer needs: • ability to drink hot coffee while driving to work • drive time is usually 30 minutes, but may be longer in heavy traffic • not fond of hot liquids in lap • wants hands free to talk on phone, adjust radio & send “friendly & helpful” signals to poor drivers
Identify Customer Needs New Product Process Screen Product Concepts Establish Target Specifications Generate Product Concepts Many iterations may be required Evaluate & Launch? Refine Specifications
Screening a quick approx-imate evaluation aimed at producing a few viable alternatives Scoring a more careful analysis of the remaining concepts designed to select the one(s) most likely to be most successful Concept Selection
Concept Selection • point of no return • group consensus is critical • whole product may be different than the sum of the parts • if significant criteria are subjective, seek customer input • verify economic viability
Identify Customer Needs New Product Process Screen Product Concepts Establish Target Specifications Generate Product Concepts Many iterations may be required Evaluate & Launch? Refine Specifications
Refine Specifications • convert acceptable ranges to proposed point estimates • feature trade-offs • smooth ride vs. sporty handling • cost trade-offs • leather seats vs. affordability • competitive mapping may help
Identify Customer Needs New Product Process Screen Product Concepts Establish Target Specifications Generate Product Concepts Many iterations may be required Evaluate & Launch? Refine Specifications
Economic Analysis • Build an NPV model of most likely set of expectations • Perform sensitivity analysis of all key assumptions & variables • Revise trade-off analysis • Consider qualitative factors • Remember: costs to date are SUNK • Market testing
Questions? Please access my web site if you’d like a copy of the presentation. http://ssbea.mercer.edu/coleman