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BIOMASS FUTURES:

BIOMASS FUTURES: Bioenergy Use in the EU Member States – Cumulative Projections from the NREAPs and the associated implications Bogdan ATANASIU batanasiu@ieep.eu www.ieep.eu. EIE/08/ 653/ June 2009- December 2011. EU final energy consumption in 2020. -20%. 120%. renewable energy target.

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BIOMASS FUTURES:

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  1. BIOMASS FUTURES: Bioenergy Use in the EU Member States – Cumulative Projections from the NREAPs and the associated implications Bogdan ATANASIU batanasiu@ieep.eu www.ieep.eu EIE/08/ 653/ June 2009- December 2011

  2. EU final energy consumption in 2020 -20% 120% renewable energy target 80% energy efficiency target 20% BaU 2020 Target 2020 Climate Change and Energy: EU 2020 targets EU GHG: 20% reduction Renewable Energy: 20% renewable energy in final gross energy consumption Renewable in transport: 10% renewable energy Energy Efficiency: 20% less energy than BaU

  3. RES Directive and NREAPs • 20% share of RES in gross final consumption • 10% share of RES in transport Renewable Energy Directive 2009/28/EC (RES Directive) June 2009- December 2011- EIE/08/653 30/4/2010 3

  4. RES Directive and NREAPs Renewable Energy Directive 2009/28/EC (RES Directive): • Indirect energy efficiency reporting • GHG emission reduction (tbd) • Article 4: Compulsory NREAPs (tbd until 30 June 2010) • Roadmaps on H&C, electricity and transport • Progress monitoring (every 2 yrs.) June 2009- December 2011- EIE/08/653 30/4/2010

  5. NREAPs: state of play Only 23 NREAPs sent by the end of Oct. 2010 (missing Pl, Hu, Es, Be) Some NREAPs still under improvement (i.e. UK, Ireland) Not all of them translated in English Several of them incomplete or lacking in providing enough details (i.e. Ro, Fi) Discrepancies between general RES trajectories and the declarations in the detailed tables (tables 10-12) June 2009- December 2011- EIE/08/653 30/4/2010 5

  6. Bioenergy in NREAPs The main contributor to the 2020 target: 54.5% of the RES target (124.5Mtoe) by 2020from59% of RES (76.3Mtoe) in 2010 Complex issue raising questions on their sustainability and on their potential in reducing the GHG emissions. The contribution of biofuels produced from wastes, residues, non-food cellulosic material, and ligno-cellulosic material count twice that other biofuels June 2009- December 2011- EIE/08/653 30/4/2010 6

  7. Bioenergy: a complex problem June 2009- December 2011- EIE/08/653 30/4/2010 7

  8. RES roadmaps 23 NREAPs reported energy efficiency improvements: 9.72% by 2020 June 2009- December 2011- EIE/08/653 30/4/2010 8

  9. Efforts in meeting the RES target June 2009- December 2011- EIE/08/653 30/4/2010 June 2009- December 2011- EIE/08/653 30/4/2010 9

  10. Bioenergy share in RES target June 2009- December 2011- EIE/08/653 30/4/2010 June 2009- December 2011- EIE/08/653 30/4/2010 10 10

  11. Bioenergy in RES electricity June 2009- December 2011- EIE/08/653 30/4/2010 June 2009- December 2011- EIE/08/653 30/4/2010 June 2009- December 2011- EIE/08/653 30/4/2010 11 11 11

  12. Bioenergy in RES H&C June 2009- December 2011- EIE/08/653 30/4/2010 June 2009- December 2011- EIE/08/653 30/4/2010 12 12 12

  13. Bioenergy in RES Transport June 2009- December 2011- EIE/08/653 30/4/2010 June 2009- December 2011- EIE/08/653 30/4/2010 13 13 13

  14. Biofuels article 21.2 and RES-T June 2009- December 2011- EIE/08/653 30/4/2010 June 2009- December 2011- EIE/08/653 30/4/2010 14 14 14 14

  15. Bioenergy feedstock: 2005 -2020 June 2009- December 2011- EIE/08/653 30/4/2010 June 2009- December 2011- EIE/08/653 30/4/2010 15 15 15 15

  16. Bioenergy & NREAPs: conclusions • For some countries the effort in reaching the RES target will be significant • Bio-energy is determinant in reaching the 2020 RES target: 54.4% (17.7% in RES-E, 80% in RES-H&C, 90% in RES-T) • Solid biomass: the main contributor (36% in RES), decreasing in share but increasing in absolute value – question on sustainability in some cases (i.e. forest wood burning for household heating) • CHP not enough considered by several countries (also in relation with DHC); little development by 2020 in EU: 17.7% CHP and 15.5% DHC • RES-T target falling short for some countries (Bg, Cy, Mt.) • Biofuels art. 21.2 are not properly declared by all the MSs; anticipate important role in meeting the RES-T target • Estimated biofuel imports: 42% June 2009- December 2011- EIE/08/653 30/4/2010 June 2009- December 2011- EIE/08/653 30/4/2010 16 16 16 16

  17. Thank you! batanasiu@ieep.eu www.ieep.eu IEEP is an independent not for profit institute dedicated to advancing an environmentally sustainable Europe through policy analysis, development and dissemination. June 2009- December 2011- EIE/08/653 30/4/2010 June 2009- December 2011- EIE/08/653 30/4/2010 17 17 17 17

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