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New Hampshire 01 2010 House Race Carol Shea-Porter V. Frank Guinta

New Hampshire 01 2010 House Race Carol Shea-Porter V. Frank Guinta. Presented By: Evign Dodge Junior Political Science Advisor: Dante Scala. Carol Shea-Porter. Democratic Incumbent First elected to the House in 2006 Won election in 2006 by 5,134 votes (5%), 2008 by 20,097 (12%).

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New Hampshire 01 2010 House Race Carol Shea-Porter V. Frank Guinta

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  1. New Hampshire 01 2010 House Race Carol Shea-Porter V. Frank Guinta

  2. Presented By:Evign Dodge Junior Political ScienceAdvisor: Dante Scala

  3. Carol Shea-Porter • Democratic Incumbent • First elected to the House in 2006 • Won election in 2006 by 5,134 votes (5%), 2008 by 20,097 (12%)

  4. Frank Guinta • Former mayor of Manchester • Two time State Representative • Former alderman of Manchester • Long time target of the NRCC

  5. Registered Voters

  6. The Campaign • Guinta faced a crowded primary field • Guinta received 22,237 votes out of 69,676 total ballots cast • Shea-Porter ran unopposed in her primary and received 19,405 votes

  7. Themes and Messages • Shea-Porter did the unthinkable in 2010...She ran on her record • Frank Guinta pushed a simple yet effective theme- “Lower taxes, less spending and smaller government”

  8. Total Expenditures

  9. Frank Guinta Ad • Shea-Porter Ad

  10. Vote Totals2006-2010

  11. Compared to 2006, her margin of victory declined in the key Democratic towns • Guinta picked up 20 towns Shea-Porter won in 2006 including Manchester and Rochester • Guinta was able to increase the GOP margin of victory in key strongholds

  12. Differential 06-08

  13. 2010 NH-01 • New Hampshire proved to be a microcosm of the national political attitude • Guinta and Shea-Porter provided stark differences in ideology, policy and the role of government. The voters of NH-01 responded by supporting Congressman Frank Guinta.

  14. Sources Cited http://www.sos.nh.gov/general2006/congress1%202006.htm http://www.nhpr.org/node/11398 http://www.shea-porter.house.gov/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=63&Itemid=1 http://teamguinta.com/the-candidate.php http://www.realclearpolitics.com/politics_nation/2009/05/in_nh01_manchester_mayor_may_h.html http://www.nrcc.org/default.asp?id=274&newsid=72 http://www.sos.nh.gov/stateprimary%202010/Con1rep.pdf http://quickfacts.census.gov/qfd/states/33000.html Smith, Scala. “Campaigning Against the Uncontrollable” p109-110. Adkins, Dulio. Cases in Congressional Campaigns 2010 http://www.google.com/url?q=http://www.bls.gov/bls/unemployment.htm&sa=D&usg=AFQjCNEVYU5erSsGWyZe2rPSNQ7DnGzIwg http://www.sos.nh.gov/Voters%20on%20the%20Checklist%20by%20Town%20-%20City%20Ward%202010-05-10.pdf http://www.unh.edu/survey-center/news/pdf/gsp2010_spring_congapp42910.pdf http://www.sheaporter.com/blog.asp?thispage=1 http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=o-1211Mv5gw http://sheaporter.com/free_details.asp?id=1 Economix.blogs.nytimes.com/2008/11/17/how-many-jobs-depend-on-the-big-three/ http://video.nhptv.org/video/1602130142/ http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cjEXhBMXlQ0 www.youtube.com/watch?v=A6GPRLjBjzc&reature=related http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Q4T0Kjm6ORo http://video.nhptv.org/video/1602130142/ http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AJpljsoCKtE&feature=related http://www.sheaporter.house.gov/index.php?option=com_content&task=blogcategory&id=24&Itemid=72

  15. Sources Cited http://www.nhpr.org/assessing-frank-guintas-finances http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gq_QcF26fsA&feature=channel James Pindell, Class Discussion http://www.opensecrets.org/races/indexp.php?cycle=2010&id=NH01 http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Hl9GOO-wB_Q&feature=related http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-eRxZCaTka0&feature=related http://www.sos.nh.gov/general%202010/con1.pdf,

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