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Why, then should these people pay? HR 6258, like too many other proposals, says that those who caused the economic collapse should walk away free – and those who suffered should pay the cost. This is not political leadership. What would political leadership actually look like? .
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Why, then should these people pay? HR 6258, like too many other proposals, says that those who caused the economic collapse should walk away free – and those who suffered should pay the cost. This is not political leadership. What would political leadership actually look like?
Reframing the Debate: A Revenue, not a Spending, Problem Northern Illinois Jobs with Justice/ Chicago Political Economy Group
Raising Revenue - a Modest Proposal: Speculation Sales Tax (SST) • $1 on contracts traded on Chicago derivative exchanges (CME* and CBOE) • Proposal: both buyer and seller pay $1/ contract • Even on the smallest contracts, this is a $1 fee on a $30,000 contract (less than 0.0033%) • On larger contracts a dollar would represent even less, e.g., on the Eurodollar futures, a $1 fee on a $1,000,000 contract (0.00010% ) • * CME owns the Chicago Board of Trade
What Instruments Would Have an SST? • Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE): • Stock index options (on S&P 500, Dow, NASDAQ, etc); • Exclude options on individual stocks (size and competition) • Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) • Stock index futures and futures options (S&P 500, Dow, NASDAQ, etc.) • Futures and futures options on interest rates products (T-bonds, T-Notes, Eurodollars, etc.) • Futures and futures options on currencies (Euro, UK pound, yen, etc.). • Futures and futures options on commodities (corn, wheat, soybeans, hogs, cattle, etc.)
Counter Arguments • You will be told: • “The CME will move out of state.” • But the CME would not pay any of the tax. • You will be told: • “Traders will take their business elsewhere.” • But where else can you trade these active and liquid contracts? • And, let’s look at the actual arithmetic of the SST.
The Economic Arithmetic of an SST: I • Consider 3 very active futures contracts: • Corn: • Each contract is for 5000 bushels • Smallest price change is $0.0025 = $12.50 • S&P 500: • Each contract is 250 * the index (about $350,000) • Smallest price change is .10 index points = $25 • Eurodollar: • Each contract of for $1 million • Smallest price change is ¼ basis point = $6.25
The Economic Arithmetic of an SST: II • A hedger (e.g., farmer, portfolio manager) or a speculator would give up a fraction of the smallest first and last price change • $1 of $6.50, $12.50, or $25 • Some claim that $1/ contract would drive away trading • If so: • Why hasn’t another exchange already started trading CME & CBOE contracts, waiving their fees and/or subsidizing the commission cost to take business from CME & CBOE?
SST: A Tax for the People, not on the People • What is good tax policy: • A good tax should be small for any single event. • A good tax should fall on those able to bear the tax. • A good tax should tax activity that we want to limit or discourage. • A good tax should further economic or social justice. • A $1/contract SST meets these criteria: • The SST rate is very low for compared to the value of a contract. • The SST would fall primarily on high income individuals and wealthy institutions. • The SST would probably discourage some socially useless short term trading. • An SST taxes the sector that caused the financial crisis that led to the Great Recession. • Willie Sutton philosophy: “Because that’s where the money is”
Who Would Not Pay the Tax? • This point needs repeating constantly: The SST is not a tax on the exchanges (CBOE and CME) . They would not pay any of the tax. • In Australia, Austria, Brazil, France, Hong Kong, Singapore, Switzerland, UK, etc., exchanges do not pay the financial transaction tax that is levied in those countries. • Only individuals and institutions that trade would pay the tax.
Who Would Pay the SST? • The SST is a tax is on the act of trading – like a sales tax for buying clothes, food, a car, etc. • It is on both buying and selling the derivative. • The SST is a very progressive tax because of who trades and thus who would pay the tax : • Institutions such as banks, hedge funds, broker-dealers • High-income individuals • Day traders