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Join Tim Killeen, Director of NCAR, discussing the impact of global environmental issues on societal discussions and climate predictions. Explore climate models, air quality measurements, and the influence of urban development on environmental factors. Reflect on Thomas Jefferson's words on the intersection of science and politics.
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Electronic Geophysical YearGeneral MeetingMarch 5, 2008Welcome to NCAR! Tim Killeen Director, National Center for Atmospheric Research
Thesis:Global Environmental Issues will dominate many societal discussions over the next decades: So: Are we“Beyond the Science”?
Regional Climate Predictions 1990-2030 9 different climate models (Japan. France, Russia, US) Surface Air Temperature 1990-2030 Heat Waves 1990-2030 Tebaldi, Buja, Arblaster et al
Shanghai Air Quality Measurements Rural Remote Edge of Urban Urban center Urban Chemical Indu
Shanghai is under rapid development Auto 500% Building 350%
Shanghai, Tropospheric Ozone (ppbv) Dependence on precursor chemicals 40 110 40
Are we“Beyond the Science”? Answer: No But now comes the Bad News
Why do we scientists do this? “Nature intended me for the tranquil pursuits of science, by rendering them my supreme delight. But the enormities of the times in which I have lived have forced me to commit myself on the boisterous ocean of political passions.” -Thomas Jefferson, In retirement