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A Housing Discussion

A Housing Discussion. A discussion, not a consultation A call for ideas and views Discussion phase largely complete by end of August, but…. …don’t wait until then to contribute Join the discussion today, tomorrow and again next week

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A Housing Discussion

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  1. A Housing Discussion • A discussion, not a consultation • A call for ideas and views • Discussion phase largely complete by end of August, but…. • …don’t wait until then to contribute • Join the discussion today, tomorrow and again next week • Website will be regularly updated to reflect what people are saying

  2. The Economic Downturn has had short-term and long-term impacts Impacts of Recession • Housing both cause & casualty • Mortgages restricted • More repossessions • Reduced capacity of • construction sector Economic Recovery Plan • Accelerated Capital Expenditure • Open Market Shared Equity • Extension • Home Owner Support Fund • Legal Protections Longer-term Implications • Effect on public spending • Need to prioritise public • expenditure on housing • Fundamental questions about • housing in the economy

  3. Scottish Government spending is set to fall dramatically 2022-23 2009-10 13 years £25 billion

  4. The Challenges Ahead • Rising population - 375k more people by 2033 • Smaller households too – overall 19,000 more households per annum • Ageing population • 2012 Homelessness Target • 2015 Housing Quality Target • 2016 Fuel Poverty Target • 2020 Climate Change Target • Quality houses in quality places • Long housing lists • Affordability of housing (e.g. 25% deposits) • Capacity of the construction sector

  5. 5 Key Themes for Discussion Need Affordable Supply Housing Options Quality and Place Performance

  6. Who should we be supporting in what way?

  7. Where should we target our support? A focus on regeneration, homelessness or affordability would lead to very different regional priorities Regeneration % of data zones in LA in SIMD bottom 15% Homelessness pressure to 2012 (Waugh model) Affordability LQ house prices to LQ income

  8. Rank these in order of importance Maximising house building across all tenures More social homes for rent Keeping social rents low More shared equity to support home ownership Reducing carbon emissions Better housing options for disabled people and the infirm

  9. Which existing products offer best vfm?

  10. Which new models have most potential? • New Sources of Finance • EIB • Bond Funding • Institutional Investment • Housing Investment Bank • Equity Release • Cross-Subsidy • Reducing Barriers to Investment • Council House Building • Leverage Models • National Housing Trust • Local Partnership Models • Shared Equity • Co-operative Models • Infrastructure Loan Fund • Planning Agreements • Competitive Bidding • Landlord Actions • Cost reduction • Sharing services and rationalisation • Increasing revenue

  11. Improving Choice: Housing Options More housing products = more choice and complexity Advisory/Options approach - Preventing homelessness (e.g. N Ayrshire) - Tackling housing lists (e.g. Perth and Kinross) - Reviewing housing circumstances ….and we need to continue to make progress on Common Housing Registers and improve the mobility/choice of social tenants……

  12. Preserving social rented stock

  13. Making better use of the existing stock How could we encourage people to downsize when their circumstances change?

  14. Housing and support for independent living How to plan for an 84% increase in people living beyond 75, by 2033? How to deliver better choice and fairer opportunities for disabled people? How to maintain and develop vital support, adaptations and care and repair services? Who pays? What role for volunteers and social enterprises? How to make public services work better together?

  15. Are Rents Fair? And Private Rents are roughly twice as high as social rents

  16. Who is the Social Rented Sector for?Tenure by Income Decile Group Should a tenancy be for life if circumstances change?

  17. Steady progress on housing quality…Number of households Passing and Failing the Scottish Housing Quality Standard

  18. But more needed…particularly in the private sectorNational Home Energy Rating (NHER) by Tenure An estimated £16bn of investment is required to achieve a 42% reduction in CO2 emissions.

  19. Successful Places • Places for communities which will last • Good placemaking key to sustainable lifestyles and good health • What have we learned about mixed-tenure developments and good design? • As part of the Economic Recovery Plan, the Government has acted to ease cashflow pressures on developers. • How do we continue to develop and fund well-designed communities during the downturn?

  20. Initial design After design development Successful Places: Polnoon Exemplar • Designing Streets – Polnoon Exemplar What’s stopping more developments of this quality happening?

  21. We all need to up our game and work together • Government • Landlords (private and social) • Lenders • Institutional Investors • Developers • Households and individuals ……what would you do differently?

  22. How can I join in? • Best way is on-line • You can post comments or tweet at any time • Or you can e-mail or write to us at: housingpolicydiscussion@scotland.gsi.gov.uk OR Housing Policy Debate, Scottish Government, 1H Victoria Quay, Edinburgh, EH6 6QQ

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