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Acknowledging SATREPS

Acknowledging SATREPS. COP17 theme?. Comparison: 1 km and 200 m February diurnal temperature cycle. Tornado Sunday. Hundreds of homes were destroyed in Ficksburg in the Free State. Another tornado hit the East Rand and caused extensive damage to Duduza , near Nigel. Two children died.

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Acknowledging SATREPS

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  1. Acknowledging SATREPS

  2. COP17 theme?

  3. Comparison: 1 km and 200 m February diurnal temperature cycle

  4. Tornado Sunday Hundreds of homes were destroyed in Ficksburg in the Free State. Another tornado hit the East Rand and caused extensive damage to Duduza, near Nigel. Two children died.

  5. Heat wave: 9-13 November 2011(at my house: 33; 33.5; 31; 32.5; 33.5°C)

  6. Verification of CCAM AMIP: Limpopo

  7. ROC Scores: Coupled vs. 2-tiered systems

  8. New operational approachES Atmospheric ICs Model Output Statistics NCEP/GFS Resolution ~200km Boundary Conditions • 15 km Probabilistic weather forecasts: • Two cloud schemes • LAF updated every 6 hours

  9. To revolutionize numerical weather prediction (NWP) modelling, research and operations • Themes may include: • Optimal model configuration • Process studies • Applications modelling • Model development • Initialization strategies • Parameterization • Atmosphere-ocean coupling • Verification A new Initiative on nwp??

  10. A good book on Wx and CC to get: “Climate is what you expect, but weather is what you get”

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