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Regional Migration Andrew Butt MAV Rural and Regional Conference Inverloch, June 2017

Regional Migration Andrew Butt MAV Rural and Regional Conference Inverloch, June 2017. Regional Migration: Typologies and Visibility. La Trobe University. How can we understand ‘counter-urbanisation’ ‘Typologies’ of migration; push and pull, cohorts and drivers

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Regional Migration Andrew Butt MAV Rural and Regional Conference Inverloch, June 2017

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  1. Regional Migration • Andrew Butt • MAV Rural and Regional Conference • Inverloch, June 2017

  2. Regional Migration: Typologies and Visibility • La Trobe University • How can we understand ‘counter-urbanisation’ • ‘Typologies’ of migration; push and pull, cohorts and drivers • What the census tells us, and doesn’t • Looking for evidence of the regionalisation of multiculturalism • Issues with the census and its alternatives

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  4. How are we experiencing counter-urbanisation in Victoria? • La Trobe University • Long term trends: • tree-change, • affordability, • ‘extreme’ commuting, • retirement migration • Recent observations: • direct international migration, • (im)permanence, seasonality

  5. Counter-urbanisation and its characteristics • La Trobe University • Who is moving; income, age, economic linkages, rural-urban characteristics • 2006-2011 migration data (October 2017 for next data) • Twenty variables for over 100 locations • Dimension reduction and cluster analysis (if you are interested!)

  6. Counter-urbanisation and its characteristics • La Trobe University • Clustering locations - age, income, presumed drivers, links to metropolitan economies. Five clusters: • high incomes, higher growth and the inward movement of professionals (rural gentrification?) • ageing and the inward movement of older (and pre) retirees • inward movement of unemployed and lower incomes (forced relocation?) • low growth and limited socio-economic change (rurality) • urbanisation growth characteristics (exurbia)

  7. Butt, A. (2014) Developing a typology of changing multi-functional regions, Australasian Journal of Regional Studies, 20(2) pp. 233-257

  8. Inverloch-Wonthaggi (age structure 2006-2016) -

  9. Lorne-Anglesea (age structure 2006-2016) -

  10. Maryborough (age structure 2006-2016) -

  11. Leongatha (age structure 2006-2016) -

  12. Bacchus Marsh-Melton (age structure 2006-2016) -

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  14. Rural Retirement Migration • La Trobe University • Winterton & Butt (forthcoming) Local government perspectives on rural retirement migration and social sustainability • Services, the nature (and notion) of participation, expectations of services, diversity of needs • Based on interviews (LG staff and others) in 3 types of local government areas: amenity, peri-urban, agricultural

  15. Diffusion of CALD – what it means in regional Victoria • La Trobe University • Long-standing ‘barrier’ on the metro fringe • Significant ‘suburbanisation’ of migration in recent decades • Is there (yet) evidence of regionalisation beyond some clear pockets – what may prevent us knowing?

  16. Sou Source: The Age 28 June 2017

  17. Source: The Guardian (Australia) 27 June 2017

  18. The challenges for understanding regional migration • La Trobe University • Who is it and… • how do we count it? • Small numbers, and is the census sufficient? • Seasonality, chain migration, permanence and impermanence • Ex-urbanisation, regional skilled migration, seasonal labour force, humanitarian settlement

  19. Robinvale – Place of Birth 2006

  20. Robinvale – Place of Birth 2016

  21. What it means for housing, services, emerging community life • La Trobe University • Who is it and… • how do we count it? • Small numbers, and is the census sufficient? • Seasonality, chain migration, permanence and impermanence • Ex-urbanisation, regional skilled migration, seasonal labour force, humanitarian settlement • Legal status and the census

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