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Managing Peace & Security: Regional & International Conflict.
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Managing Peace & Security: Regional & International Conflict
Nobel Peace Prize- Awarded by the Norwegian Nobel Committee- Barack Obama was awarded for :1. his efforts to strengthen international diplomacy 2. his vision of a world without nuclear weapons3. his work towards restarting the stalled Middle East peace process Obama has given people hope for a better future The Nobel Peace Prize for 2009
Obama’s work towards restarting the stalled Middle East peace process Feb 2009: Obama directed military to plan Iraq drawdown Mar 2009: Obama announced that the US combat mission in Iraq would end by September 2010
Have you ever wondered why are the US troops in Iraq? Mar 2003: George Bush announced war against Iraq based on the following reasons: • Iraq's alleged possession of weapons of mass destruction which posed a threat to US’s security and that of their regional allies 2. Iraq's involvement in transnational terrorism Known as the Iraq War
2 Aug 1990: Iraq invaded Kuwait 17 Jan 1991: US with the involvement of other countries invaded Iraq together (Gulf war) 28 Feb 1991: War ended with Iraq accepting terms of resolution Mar 2003: George Bush announced war against Iraq Feb 2009: Obama directed military to plan Iraq drawdown Mar 2009: Obama announced that the US combat mission in Iraq would end by September 2010
Looking at the conflict between 1990-1991, what are some questions you have regarding it or the countries involved?
Managing Peace and Security: • International Conflict • Transnational Terrorism Impact Regional Conflict • Iraq & Kuwait Causes & Impact
Learning Outcomes At the end of the lesson, you should be able to: A. Explain the causes of conflict between Iraq & Kuwait: 1. Historical Enmity 2. Economic Problems 3. Oil Production 4. Territorial Disputes B. Attempts to Resolve the Problems Between Iraq & Kuwait C. Immediate Causes of Gulf War
Do you still remember what you have learnt in Sec 3 SS about conflicts? Why do countries go to war?
The Middle East • Largest group of people living in the Middle East are the Arabs • Islam is the main religion • One of the most important oil-producing regions in the world • Controls a strategic waterway known as the Suez Canal which links Europe to the Middle East and Asia (important trade route)
Causes of the Gulf War1. Historical Enmity2. Economic Problems 3. Oil Production4. Territorial Disputes
1. Historical Enmity Under the Ottoman Empire in the past Became British colonies and were granted independence from the British in 1961 Do you remember what happened the war between South Korea & North Korea? What do you think happened between Iraq & Kuwait after they had gained independence?
1. Historical Enmity (continued) Iraq refused to recognise Kuwait’s independence as it claimed that Kuwait was historically a part of Iraq and governed under the same territory when they were both under Ottoman rule Iraq had on several occasions claimed sovereignty over Kuwait and even sent troops to claim Kuwait in 1961 However Iraq was stopped by British and other Arab nations’ troops
1. Historical Enmity (continued) How do you think this led to the Gulf War? Iraq never accepted the fact of Kuwait’s independence and Kuwait’s refusal to give in was seen as defiance and a personal attack on Saddam Hussein. Kuwait’s refusal was also a threat to Iraq’s national interest. Therefore Iraq decided to attack Kuwait. Anything that affects the existence, independence, sovereignty, economic development and territorial control of a country In 1963, Iraq gave up its claim on Kuwait after facing pressure from its Arab neighbours and receiving a large sum of money from Kuwait However there were several instances where Iraq used its military power to threaten Kuwait over border disputes
Who is Saddam Hussein? Looking at the cartoon, what kind of person do you think he was? Why do you say so?
Who is Saddam Hussein? • President of Iraq from 16 July 1979 until 9 April 2003 • Always seen himself as a great leader of the Arab world • Ruthless: Did not allow anyone to oppose him • Captured by US forces in 2003 • Convicted of the 1982 killing of 148 Iraqs in 2006 • Sentenced to death and executed in 2006
2. Economic Problems Before the war, Iraq was a prosperous country with about US$35 billion in reserves Impact of Iran-Iraq War (1980 to 1988) on Iraq • Heavy loss of lives • Owed about US$80 billion in debts to its neighbours and • other countries, such as the US and France (supplied food • and war equipment • **Kuwait provided Iraq a loan of US$14 billion • Reconstruction of Iraq required US$230 billion • Prices of basic necessities became very high and people • became unhappy with Saddam Hussein
2. Economic Problems (continued) • How do you think this led to the Gulf War? • War with Iran had drained Iraq’s economy • Therefore Iraq needed to attack Kuwait and gain control • over its resources in order to ease the economic • hardships in Iraq to appease the people
3. Oil Production How do you think Iraq can pay off this massive debt and rebuild the country in another way besides Gaining control over Kuwait’s resources ? By earning more revenue from the sale of oil • However, oil prices were falling due to over-production by some countries • OPEC had put quotas on the amount of oil that countries can produced to prevent decline in oil prices • However Kuwait and the United Arab Emirates ignored the quota set OPEC = Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries
3. Oil Production (continued) • What do you think happened when countries ignored • the quota set and produced oil well above their • assigned limits? • Oil prices fell • Iraq lost revenue (lost US$1 billion from oil sales each • time oil price fell by US$1)
3. Oil Production (continued) • How do you think this led to the Gulf War? • Iraq was unhappy as the action of Kuwait & UAE was • equivalent to waging an economic war on Iraq • (90% of its income came from sale of oil) • This affected its national interest as this hindered its • efforts to repay its debts and rebuild its country • Therefore it led to Iraq’s decision to attack Kuwait
4. Territorial Disputes Do you remember what happened between China & India when India gained its independence from Britain? What do you think happened when Iraq & Kuwait gained independence?
4. Territorial Disputes (continued) Rumaila oilfield • As Iraq and Kuwait had inherited their borders from the British, some were not very well-defined • The unclearly-defined borders between Iraq and Kuwiat had resulted in both sides sharing the profitable Rumaila oilfield
4. Territorial Disputes (continued) In 1990, Iraq accused Kuwait for stealing oil by drilling for oil from the Iraqi side using slant-drilling technology Iraq demanded Kuwait to stop drilling for oil completely and demanded US$2.4 billion in compensation Kuwait refused as it claimed that it had only drilled oil from their side of the oilfield
4. Territorial Disputes (continued) • How do you think this led to the Gulf War? • Iraq was unhappy as Kuwait’s refusal to Iraq’s demands • was seen as defiance and a personal attack on Saddam • Hussein who saw himself as a great leader of the Arab world • Their refusal also affected Iraq’s national interest as Kuwait • was depleting oil from the Rumaila oilfield on Iraqi’s side • which would affect their oil production • Therefore Iraq decided to invade Kuwait
4. Territorial Disputes (continued) Bubiyan and Warbah Islands (inherited from the British) Iraq wanted the islands because: • Kuwait has the potential to block off Iraq’s access to the Persian Gulf which would affect Iraq’s oil transportation • They would help it gain access to the open waters of the Persian Gulf which create better transport possibilities for Iraq • They would enable Iraq to transport oil in greater quantities (Current port, Umm Qasr has shallow waters where big ships cannot dock and has poor port facilities)
Persian Gulf
4. Territorial Disputes (continued) Bubiyan and Warbah Islands (inherited from the British) Iraq did not accept Kuwait’s ownership of these two islands and had attempted to claim ownership of the islands through force in the 1960s and 1970s but failed. From 1978, Iraq wanted to lease the islands from Kuwait, but Kuwait refused because it feared this would open the door for further territorial demands from Iraq.
4. Territorial Disputes (continued) • How do you think this led to the Gulf War? • Iraq was unhappy as Kuwait’s refusal to give up the • islands was seen as defiance and a personal on Saddam • Hussein who saw himself as a great leader of the Arab world • Kuwait’s refusal also affected its national interest as without • access to the Persian Gulf, Iraq would find it difficult to export • oil which would result in the loss of revenue • Therefore Iraq decided to invade Kuwait
Attempts to resolve the problems between Iraq and Kuwait? Mediation by Arab League Complaints made by Iraq against Kuwait over : 1.The alleged oil theft over Rumaila oilfield. 2.Iraq’s request that Kuwait and rest of Arab countries should cancel Iraq’ wartime debt to them. 3.Over- production of oil by Kuwait and UAE (that led to Iraq’a economic problems) 4. Territorial issues (Bubiyan and Warbah islands)
Were these attempts at mediation successful? POSITIVE • Had some successes initially • Iraq managed to get some concessions from Kuwait and other countries • OPEC countries agreed to increase the price of oil from US$ 18 to US$21– Iraq would earn more from the sale of oil • Kuwait promised to write off wartime debts and provide additional US$500 million as a loan to Iraq
NEGATIVE • However, Kuwait refused to concede territory to Iraq nor pay for oil drilled from Rumaila oilfield IRAQ invaded KUWAIT 2nd August 1990
What were the immediate causes of the Iraq-Kuwait conflict? The negotiations talks between Iraq and Kuwait had been progressing well. Iraq’s invasion of Kuwait had come as a surprise move to many. What then, were the immediate causes that led to the invasion by Iraq?
What were the immediate causes of the Iraq-Kuwait conflict? Iraq’s Official Reason • To free Kuwait from the ruling government at the request of revolutionaries Saddam Hussein’s leadership • Kuwait’s repeated refusal to give in on the territorial issues and Rumaila oil theft were seen as a personal insult to Saddam.
What were the immediate causes of the Iraq-Kuwait conflict? Political problems • Hussein had deployed a large number of troops at the border of Kuwait. • The soldiers were getting restless. • Hussein feared that the soldiers would turn against him if he delayed taking action against Kuwait.
What were the immediate causes of the Iraq-Kuwait conflict? Misreading the position of the US • Saddam Hussein believed that US was sympathetic to Iraq’s problems with Kuwait. • And therefore would not help Kuwait in the event of an Iraqi invasion. In 1990, a US Ambassador in Iraq declared that "we have no opinion on the Arab-Arab conflicts." She also said that the U.S. did not intend "to start an economic war against Iraq".
Learning Outcomes At the end of the lesson, you should be able to explain: • Reactions to Iraq’s invasion of Kuwait • Impact of Gulf War • Effectiveness of UN
Reactions to the Iraqi Invasion of Kuwait Reactions from: • The Arab countries • America • United Nations (International response)
Understanding the Gulf War & its Effects Understanding The Players The 4 Stages