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HOUSING AND PLANNING: THE WAY FORWARD

HOUSING AND PLANNING: THE WAY FORWARD. Professor Sir Peter Hall HBF Responding to Barker London Thursday 23 February 2006. What’s the Problem? Depends on where you are…. In the South: Not enough new homes Too many flats/too few houses Infrastructure problem In the North:

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HOUSING AND PLANNING: THE WAY FORWARD

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  1. HOUSING AND PLANNING:THE WAY FORWARD Professor Sir Peter Hall HBF Responding to Barker London Thursday 23 February 2006

  2. What’s the Problem?Depends on where you are… • In the South: • Not enough new homes • Too many flats/too few houses • Infrastructure problem • In the North: • Too many homes – wrong sort? • Too many flats/too few family homes • Infrastructure problem

  3. South East England:Global Mega-City-Region

  4. The South: Policy Issues • Growth corridors v. rest? • Strategic frameworks: MK/SM yes, TG promised, but M11? • Big infrastructure gap – even in growth areas • Are RPBs playing fair?

  5. The North: Managed Decline? • The great Pathfinder row • How much to keep? How much to demolish? • Are incentives perverse? • YES: SAVE Britain’s Heritage • NO: ODPM • Family-Friendly Housing in Cities • How much Greenfield? • Issues: VAT, Infrastructure (Manchester, Leeds, Liverpool)

  6. Housing Completions: 1999, 2004

  7. Changes 1999-2004: By Region

  8. Housebuilding: Houses v Flats1999, 2004

  9. Land Lying Idle… • EU Set-Aside: June 2004, 476,000 hectares, almost 5.0% of England • Greater SE: 100,270 hectares, 8.6% • Essex 10.7% • Hampshire 9.1% • Oxfordshire 11.4% • Bedfordshire 11.6% • Far in excess of most generous estimates of land needed for housing!

  10. Good and Bad Arguments • Bad: we must save farmland • Good: we should give people choice of access to public transport, shops, schools • By public transport as well as car • So: concentrate growth around transport interchanges • And: raise densities there (“pyramids of density”)

  11. What do people want? • Home Alone (Hooper et al 1998): only 10% want a flat; 33% won’t consider a flat • CPRE (Champion et al 1998): people want to live in/near country • Hedges and Clemens (q. Breheny 1997): city dwellers least satisfied • Conclusion: we hate cities!

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