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Explore the past, present, and potential future of early education to shape strategies. Identify trends, uncertainties, and priorities. Embrace change and innovation as futurists.
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Let Teachers Think Like Futurists Katie King and Jessica Millstone January 24, 2017
0 Define the Domain Priorities Early Education
Priorities in Early Education What outcomes did/do/might we seek? In what did/do/might we invest resources? How did/do/might we make decisions?
Look back, around, ahead Look back: What’s happened in the past? Look around: What’s happening now? Look ahead: What might happen next?
Look back, around, ahead Look back: What’s happened in the past? Look around: What’s happening now? Look ahead: What might happen next?
1 Look Back Pasts of Early Education
You must look for the turns, not the straightaways, and thus you must peer far enough into the past to identify patterns. It’s been written that “history doesn’t repeat itself, but sometimes it rhymes.” …So when you look back for parallels, always look back at least twice as far as you are looking forward. -Paul Saffo
Definitions Events - change at once Trends – change over time (more X, less X, increasing X, decreasing X) Uncertainties: issues or questions with meaningful implications (How might we handle…? Will we X or Y? What if…)
Look Back What major events shaped early education? What trends? What were major uncertainties, issues, or dilemmas? Consider events, trends, and issues in society (culture/demographics), technology, economics, the environment, and politics
What were the defining events, trends, uncertainties? • What were the priorities of the era (outcomes, resources, decisions)? • What would you call the era? Where are the eras? v What patterns do you notice? What have been the drivers of era shifts?
2 Look Around Today’s Early Education Era
Look back, around, ahead Look back: What’s happened in the past? Look around: What’s happening now? Look ahead: What might happen next?
What might be defining events, trends, uncertainties? • What are the priorities of this era (outcomes, resources, decisions)? • What would you call this era? What’s the current era? v As a group, choose the 3-4 trends and the 2 uncertainties you think have the greatest potential to impact our priorities in early education in the future.
3 Look Ahead Possibilities for Early Education
Look back, around, ahead Look back: What’s happened in the past? Look around: What’s happening now? Look ahead: What might happen next?
The Baseline Future Trends continue
This is a future in which… • Compound effects of continuing trends • What are our priorities in early education in this future? Outcomes? Resources? Decisions? • Consider the details! What is life and education like in this future?
This is a future in which… I pull up our digital citizenship curriculum, remembering back to when everything was standardized (before the Common Core was eliminated) The information seems so quaint; my students don’t even use these tools anymore. I know everyone is doing the best they can, but we can’t keep up with the expansion of the tech companies. I shake my head, close the curriculum, and decide to go it alone.
Rather than deny or project our troubles on the wrong ‘causes’ or hide our uncertainties, we must use them vigorously… -Donald M. Michael
Two Key Uncertainties How will digital citizenship efforts be funded? Top-down OR Bottom-up Who will be responsible for promoting digital citizenship Shared responsibility OR Individual responsibility
2x2 Scenario Matrix Shared Responsibility Individual Responsibility
2x2 Scenario Matrix Uncertainty 2, Outcome 1 Uncertainty 2, Outcome 2
4 Question What does this mean for us today?
Ask Yourself… What insights came up for you today? Which possible future (or feature of one possible future) is the one you might most like to enable? To prevent? What actions can you take or questions should you continue to ask to enable to prevent those futures?
We really don’t know where we are on this matter or what will work for sure. We must discover and rediscover what questions are useful to ask and what approaches we might experiment with. -Donald M. Michael
THANKS! Get in touch. Twitter: @katiebking Email: katie@katiebishopking.com Web: katiebishopking.com Twitter: Email: jessicam@brainpop.com Web: brainpop.com