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Visualization of first Modelled Trends (1990-2000-2010 ) Model - to - Model

Explore modeled trends from 1990 to 2010 through a tool for trend analysis, covering gases, pollutants, and depositions across Europe. This tool provides detailed shape files and allows for trend regression analysis. Deliverables include trend calculations and 2D maps for various pollutants.

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Visualization of first Modelled Trends (1990-2000-2010 ) Model - to - Model

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  1. Visualization of first Modelled Trends (1990-2000-2010) Model - to - Model (Model - to– Observations/Emissions) TFMM-Trends, Kraków, 5-8 May 2015 - C. Cuvelier, ex European Commission JRC - EuroDelta Trend Modelling Teams Based on contributions from EMEP, CHIM, MINNI, POLR Support from Concawe

  2. Objectives The Tool • Tool for Trend Analysis • Multi – Model (model intercomparison) • Multi - Pollutant • Gases, PM, Depositions • Multi – Geo (zooming) • Europe (Land, Sea), Countries (39), • Regions (428), Cities (477), Stations • Detailed Shape files (polygons of lon-lat) • Add Observational and Emission trends

  3. EuroDelta3 Model Model Model Read-only Database Model results: Example ED_MODEL#MxxByyEzz_EDT_O3_DL.nc (nx,ny,ntime) Meteo: KZ, PBL, RAIN, T2M, U10, USTAR (H D) Gas: APINEN, H2O2, HCHO, HNO3, ISOP, NH3, NO, NO2, O3, PAN, SO2, VOC (H,D) PM: PM25, [ASOA, BSOA, DUST, EC, NA, NH4, NO3, OPOM, OPPM, POMS2, SO4, TPOM]-25 (D) PM10, [ASOA, BSOA, DUST, EC, NA, NH4, NO3, OPOM, OPPM, POMS2, SO4, TPOM]-10 (D) Dep: DNHx, DNOx, DSOx, WNHx, WNOx, WSOx (M) • Trend Analysis TOOL • All pollutants • Zoom: Country, region, City, Station • Indicators (e.g. O3excD, O3somo35, PM10excD, • NO2excD, … etc) • Regression: Linear, Exp, Sen, … etc • Add Observational data • Add Emission data

  4. Deliverables EMEP: Y90, Y00, Y10, Y10f, Y10fe, M10B10E00, M10B10E90 CHIM: Y90, Y00, Y10, Y10e, M10B10E00, M10B10E90 MINNI: Y90, Y00, Y10, Y10e POLR: Y10e f = ‘f’orest Fires e = ‘e’MEP emission inventory, otherwise GAINS Total = 64 Gb 20 years, 5 models => 350 Gb

  5. Models intercomparison Y90 => EMEP, CHIM, MINNI Y00 => … Y10 => … Y10e => CHIM, MINNI, POLR Y10-Y90 => EMEP, CHIM, MINNI Y10-Y00 => … Y10 – Y10e => CHIM, MINNI M10B10E10 – M10B10E00 => EMEP, CHIM M10B10E10 – M10B10E90=> … O3, NO2, PM10 O3hr8max, O3hr8Exc60 Trends

  6. O3 Y10

  7. O3 Y10 – Y90

  8. NO2 Y10

  9. NO2 Y10-Y90

  10. PM10 Y10

  11. PM10 Y10-Y00 PM10 Y10-Y90

  12. O3hr8max Y10 – Y90

  13. O3hr8Exc60 Y10 – Y90

  14. Multi-Geo

  15. EU Year Selection, Multi-Species

  16. First Results Trend Calculations

  17. EU Trend Europe (Land), O3

  18. EU Trend FRA, O3

  19. EU Trend O3 [ug/m3/year]

  20. EU Trend O3hr8max [ug/m3/year]

  21. EU Trend O3hr8Exc60 [days/year]

  22. EU Trend NO2 [ug/m3/year]

  23. EU Trend PM10 [ug/m3/year]

  24. EU Trend SO2 [ug/m3/year]

  25. EU 2d map Trend O3 [ug/m3/year]

  26. EU 2d map Trend O3 [ug/m3/year]

  27. EU 2d map Trend NO2 [ug/m3/year]

  28. EU 2d map Trend NO2 [ug/m3/year]

  29. EU 2d map Trend PM10 [ug/m3/year]

  30. EU 2d map Trend PM10 [ug/m3/year]

  31. EU 2d map Trend SO2 [ug/m3/year]

  32. EU 2d map Trend SO2 [ug/m3/year]

  33. EU 2d map Trend O3hr8Exc60 [days/year]

  34. EU 2d map Trend O3hr8Exc60 [days/year]

  35. Final Remarks • 1 preliminary conclusion • 3 Models seem to agree on trends • To complete • 1990/2000/2010 => intermediate years • Add Observational trends (validation) • Add Emission trends • Visualization/Analysis Tool • Easy to install; Easy to use • Acting directly on Model output (MBE folder) • Fast – handle large amounts of data • PC and Linux

  36. koniec

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