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As We May Think By Vannevar Bush July 1945

As We May Think By Vannevar Bush July 1945. Presented by Steve Hookway 9/6/05. Too Much Information. Then “..there is increased evidence that we are being bogged down today as specialization extends” “publication has extended far beyond our present ability to make real use of the record”

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As We May Think By Vannevar Bush July 1945

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  1. As We May ThinkBy Vannevar BushJuly 1945 Presented by Steve Hookway 9/6/05

  2. Too Much Information • Then • “..there is increased evidence that we are being bogged down today as specialization extends” • “publication has extended far beyond our present ability to make real use of the record” • Now • In July 2000 more than 2 billion pages[1] • 4 billion estimated in 2001[1] • In 2002 over 9,040,000 Web Sites[2] • Sizing the Internet, Cyveillance White Paper Prepared by Brian H. Murray, Cyveillance, Inc. • OCLC: Online Computer Library Center

  3. Creating a Record: Photography • Then • Faster, dry development • Smaller cameras • Reduce the size of the image without loss of quality - microfilm • Now • Polaroid Cameras • Digital Cameras • Electronic imaging a vast improvement over microfilm[1,2] 1. DocFinity: http://www.docfinity.com/ 2. Captiva: http://www.captivasoftware.com/index.asp

  4. Creating a Record:Written • Then • Synthesize speech – Voder • Record speech – Vocoder, Stenotype • Early voice recognition • Early character recognition - adding • Now • Voice and Text Recognition Software[1] • Philips 9450 VC Pocket Memo[2] • ART: Speech and Handwriting Interfaces for Mobil Devices • Phillips: 9450 VC Pocket Memo

  5. Advanced Mathematics • Then • Some machines to solve differential and integral equations • Predicted a machine able to reason with mathematical data • Now • Handheld calculators to solve differential and integral equations • IBM’s Blue Gene/Lite capable of 360 teraflops – trillions of calculations per second used to study interactions between atmospheric chemistry and pollution[1] 1. Blue Gene/L

  6. Information Selection • Then • Simple Selection (Card Reader) • Examines each piece in turn • Problems indexing • Now • Existing web search techniques • Content/Link analysis

  7. Information Selection • Then • Conventional Indexing is Inconvenient • The Memex • Large Storage • Easy retrieval • Now • Conventional Indexing Made Easier • The Personal PC • Dell’s Base Model comes with an 80GB hard drive [1] 1. Dell: Dimension Desktops

  8. Associative Indexing • Then • Memex documents linked via code word and photocell dots • Memex links are easily created and traversed • Now • HTML anchors link web content together • Able to navigate forwards and backwards through links (with help of crawler)

  9. Beyond the Memex • Then • Information observed/recorded via senses (mechanical) • Now • Able to convert thought to mechanical output [1] • Not so far off from being able to observe, record, and access information simply by thinking about it 1. Monkey controls robotic arm using brain signals sent over the Internet: Elizabeth A. Thomson, News Office December 6, 2000

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