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NASA’s Short-term Prediction and Research Transition (SPoRT) Center

NASA’s Short-term Prediction and Research Transition (SPoRT) Center. Overview and Accomplishments Dr. Gary Jedlovec, NASA/MSFC Earth Science Office

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NASA’s Short-term Prediction and Research Transition (SPoRT) Center

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  1. NASA’s Short-term Prediction and Research Transition (SPoRT) Center Overview and Accomplishments Dr. Gary Jedlovec, NASA/MSFC Earth Science Office Mission of the SPoRT Center: Apply NASA measurement systems and unique Earth science research to improve the accuracy of short-term (0-24 hr) weather prediction at the regional and local scale http://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/sport Presentation at Joint NASA / NWS SPoRT SOO Workshop -- July 11-13, 2006

  2. Collaborative Research Area Problem Data Solutions How We do Business • Plan strategic objectives at the agency / organization level • Match data to end user needs • foster research leading to operational applications • link data / products to forecast problems • development and testing of new • products for operations • integrate capabilities into operational • decision support systems and verify / • validate performance • develop / conduct training • user feedback / interaction • benchmark products and applications

  3. Unique NASA Data to Operations EOS satellite data provided in near real-time to 6 WFOs (HTX since 2/2003) to address specific forecast issues convective initiation, morning minimum temperatures, fog and low cloud detection, sea/land breeze convection/temperatures, off-coast precipitation mapping, and coastal processes • MODIS high resolution visible/infrared imagery – derived products • 4 times / day – 15-30 minutes latency, full resolution • 8-10 channels available simulating NPOESS and GOES-R capabilities • TPW, LST/SST, cloud and fog products, composite imagery for smoke/haze detection, surface vegetation patterns and snow cover • AMSR-E products to coastal offices (Miami and Mobile) • 15-20 minute latency, rain rate – off-shore precipitation mapping Nowcasting products • convective initiation products for thunderstorm development • flash density of total lightning (LMA) – relation to severe weather Unique GOES aviation products in advance of AWIPS builds

  4. Unique Modeling / Assimilation to Operations • Transitioned regional model products to WFOs • twice daily WRF runs provide supplemental information to NWS at 12km with focus over Southeastern US – 0-48hr suite of products • Initialized with MODIS 1km composite SSTs since Fall 2005 • benchmarked performance in several WFOs – positive impact of QPF as supplemental product • Future transitional activities • testing assimilation of AIRS profiles of temperature and humidity within ADAS / WRF – impact of data in void regions on forecast • conducting high resolution simulations to assess impact of MODIS SST composites – Project Columbia / MAP06 • coastal circulations • oceanic clouds and precipitation • hurricane forecasts – near real-time as part of MAP06

  5. Interactions with WFOs • Huntsville (HTX) - development and transition hub, all MODIS, AMSR-E, and LMA data / products, WRF, and CI products, training, and product assessments • Nashville (OHX) - all MODIS and LMA data / products • Morristown (MRX) – operational WRF • Birmingham (BMX) – all MODIS data • Miami (AMX) - all MODIS data and • AMSR-E products • Mobile (MOB) – all MODIS data, • AMSR-E products, operational WRF – • product evaluation and case studies • Great Falls (TFX) – all MODIS products, • high resolution snow cover • map and assessment

  6. SPoRT Accomplishments • Developed a working paradigm for a research-to-operations (R2O) capability in support of NASA’s weather focus area • Enhanced scientific understanding – • developed/refined EOS data assimilation strategies for regional forecast models • demonstrated synergistic value of total lightning measurements to serve weather forecasting • Transition to operations – • integrated state of the art observing, modeling, and nowcasting capabilities into forecast operations • refine and documented procedures to bring outside data and products into AWIPS to support needs of WFOs • Outreach – • enhanced collaborations between research and operations communities • developed a variety of training modules for the NWS forecaster community • Other – • leveraged SPoRT developed capabilities to enhance NASA spaceflight activities • LMA extension to additional WFOs and metro DC area

  7. Next Steps for WFO Interactions? • A workshop outcome is to identify weather forecast areas of common interest and establish methodologies to effectively transition results of NASA Earth science research associated with advanced observing, modeling, and data assimilation capabilities to NWS Forecast Offices and associated decision makers • Broaden dissemination data and model output • Forecast problems / issues ?? • WFOs in ever-broadening mission – air quality, • marine forecasts, etc. • WFO – SPoRT partnerships in topical areas

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