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A State perspective on the value of forests and woodlands ~ ~ ~ Scott Hunt, State Forester

October 3, 2013 __________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________.

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A State perspective on the value of forests and woodlands ~ ~ ~ Scott Hunt, State Forester

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  1. October 3, 2013__________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ A State perspective on the value of forests and woodlands ~ ~ ~ Scott Hunt, State Forester Arizona State Forestry Division

  2. Arizona’s Forests in the 21st CenturyLooking Forward __________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ • In the year 2033 Arizona’s population is estimated to be 8.5 to 10 million people • How will this impact our forests? • What will our forestlands look like? • How healthy will the forests be? • Will they be economically viable? • Will our forested watersheds be protected? • How will our citizenry make connections to the land and the resources?

  3. Arizona Forests 101_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ • 13.4 million acres Pinyon Juniper • 4 million acres Ponderosa Pine • 1.8 million acres Pine-Oak • 450K acres Mixed Conifer • 328K acres Riparian • 111K acres Aspen

  4. Aspen and Mixed Conifer Type (Flagstaff) Ponderosa Pine Type (Flagstaff State Trust Land) Riparian Type (San Pedro River SE Arizona) Pine –Oak Type Catalina Mtns Tucson Pinyon-Juniper Type (Prescott Area)

  5. AZ Forest Industry Economics _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ • From 2009 figures, statewide employment in sawmills and other wood processing businesses was 2,000 individuals • In 2012, the value of wood product exports from Arizona, to other countries, accounted for $40M; the highest since 2008 • In 2011, Arizona’s wood product manufacturers accounted for $162M of the states Gross Domestic Product • 2010 data shows that the average annual salary of an individual employed in the forest industries sector was $41,2833 [1] Office of Trade & Industry Information, U.S. Department of Commerce [2] Bureau of Economic Analysis, U.S. Department of Commerce [3] Headwaters Economics. Economic Profile System-Human Dimensions Toolkit

  6. Forest Economics _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ $50 Million per day in Direct Travel Spending in Arizona Source: Az State Parks 2013 SCORP Report

  7. Habitat and Economics _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ • Hunt & Fish Jobs: 5013 • Hunt & Fish Expenditures: $301,600,000 Forested Counties: Apache, Greenlee, Navajo, Gila, Coconino, Yavapai • Source: Az Game & Fish “Economic data on fishing and hunting for the State of Arizona and for each Arizona County “ 2001

  8. Arizona Forest Watersheds _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ • Forested lands in Arizona contribute nearly 90% of the total streamflow in the state, much of which comes during spring snowmelt (Ffolliot 1975). • Ponderosa pine forests, in particular, are the source for a large portion of the state’s water. While occupying only 20% of the total land surface of the Salt and Verde River basins, ponderosa pine forests are estimated to provide almost half of the total water yield (Barr 1956). Erosion/Sediment from Pumpkin Fire (Kaibab NF) *

  9. Arizona Forests 128 years ago_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ “We can’t See the Forest because too many trees are in our way” • Ponderosa Pine Forests: ~ 95% under 16 inches in diameter, 86% under 13 inches in diameter, 58% under 7 inches *2011 Forest Inventory Analysis

  10. Large Fires_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

  11. Real Fire Costs_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ • 2002 Rodeo Chediski Fire • Suppression Costs: $46.5 Million • Total Costs: $308 Million Western Forestry Leadership Coalition Report “The True Cost of Wildfire in the Western U.S.” April 2010 • 2010 Schultz Fire • Suppression Costs: $10 Million • Total Costs: $133 - $147 Million NAU Ecological Restoration Institute 2013 “A Full Cost Accounting of the 2010 Schultz Fire” May 2013

  12. Fire Aftermath 2010 Schultz Fire Erosion Damage Exposed major waterline that feeds City of Flagstaff 2010 Schultz Flooding in Timberline Area (NE Of Flagstaff) Photo: Mark Shiery Photo: Summit Fire District J Tongen

  13. Insect Outbreaks Invasive Plants Habitat Loss Drought – Climate Change Watershed Degradation

  14. Arizona Wood Utilization Capacity_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ Total Capacity ~ 150 to 200 million board feet or about 1.2 million green tons 9 Sawmills ~ 135 million bd feet/year 3 Biomass Industries: ~35 million bd feet/year (270,000 green tons) 4 Niche Industries (Firewood, Shavings) ~24 million bd feet

  15. Arizona’s Forests in the 21st CenturyLooking Forward __________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ • In the year 2033 Arizona’s population is estimated to be 8.5 to 10 million people • What percentage of our forests will be healthy? • Will we have adequate markets and utilization? • Will our forests yield adequate water to our burgeoning population? • Will my grandkids enjoy the benefits of our forests?

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