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STAG Allocation Analysis – Background to Discussion of Monitoring Aspects. Monitoring Steering Committee June 21-22, 2007 Washington, DC Phil Lorang, OAQPS. Process to Date. AA approval Get contractor on board Workgroup formation Principles discussions (internal)
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STAG Allocation Analysis – Background to Discussion of Monitoring Aspects Monitoring Steering Committee June 21-22, 2007 Washington, DC Phil Lorang, OAQPS
Process to Date • AA approval • Get contractor on board • Workgroup formation • Principles discussions (internal) • Joint discussions with NACAA • Identification/organization of possibly useful data elements and factors • Census population, air quality numbers, etc. • Specific candidate allocation frameworks (internal) • Impact assessment (internal) • Workgroup recommendations (internal) • Develop implementation strategy with NACAA • AA approval
Data Elements • 48 data elements selected for possible use. • Population, air quality status, air stressors (e.g., emissions, VMT), workload, fiscal indicators. • We have only limited information on costs of running an air program. • Monitoring cost are the most concrete, because OAQPS estimates them routinely. • No one has put forth estimates of labor hours per rule, per inventory, etc.
Turning the Crank • Contractor is ready to run scenarios to be defined by EPA workgroup • Assign available funds to national “pots”. • Define pots by pollutant or functional activity, for example. • Could be used to reflect national priorities, etc. • Allocate each pot among states based on any (or any combination of) the data elements. • E.g., allocate ozone pot in proportion to each state’s share of population-hours-ppb of ozone. • Display results using maps and charts.
Graphics / Maps Will combine analysis w/ graphic results for clearer explanation.
Implementation Subgroup • Subgroup of internal EPA workgroup. • Will consider input from NACAA. • Deal with issues of • Timing • Equity and Balance • National vs. Regional/Local Concerns • Other Implementation Policy Issues • Earliest possible affected year is now FY2009. • Presumption is that implementation would be phased in, not all at once.
Next Steps / Prospective Schedule • Allocation framework and analysis – June/July • Impact assessment – Aug • Working session for selection – Aug/Sept • Recommendation to OAR – Sept • Implementation subgroup – Sept/Jan • Recommendation to AA – Oct • AA determination – Oct/Nov • Outreach with NACAA and others – Nov/Jan
How Does Monitoring Fit In? • No definite workgroup plan or intention so far. • Obvious ideas: • Set aside a pot explicitly for monitoring. • Bottom-up based on air quality, requirements of regulations, etc.? • Top-down? • Don’t do this, but do check at the end for how much of each State’s allocation under a candidate scheme would be consumed by required and/or desirable monitoring. • Schemes that give very disparate results among States need to be re-thought.