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US Hardwood Exports : A Global Perspective. Growing Importance of US Hardwood Exports: Exports as a % of US Production. Source: Hardwood Review, Oct 2004. U.S. Hardwood Exports 1986-2004. $ Million. AHEC Formed. Top 10 Markets for Hardwood Lumber: 1990 & 2004. Source: USDA.
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Growing Importance of US Hardwood Exports:Exports as a % of US Production Source: Hardwood Review, Oct 2004
U.S. Hardwood Exports1986-2004 $ Million AHEC Formed
Top 10 Markets for Hardwood Lumber: 1990 & 2004 Source: USDA
US Hardwood Exports 2004% Change from previous year Source: USDA-FAS
Most Active Major Markets 2004(Growth Rates by Value 2003/2004) % Change: Lumber USDA-FAS:
Value of Hardwood Lumber Exports to Mexico1996-2004 ($ Thousands F.A.S. value) Source: US Census Bureau
Mexico: Hardwood Import Market Share Source: Global Trade Index
Mexico • US exporters are facing stronger competition • Canada doubled exports to Mexico up to 6,000 m3 in 2004 • Peru, Bolivia and Brazil are exporting tropical lumber • More choices than 5 years ago • Promotion programs similar to AHEC in smaller scale from other countries
US Hardwood Lumber Exports to China ($ Thousands FAS value)
China: Hardwood Import Market Share Source: Global Trade Index
Top Lumber Species Exported to China ($ Thousands FAS value)
US Hardwood Log Exports to China: 1997-2004(Thousands of Cubic Meters) Source: USDA-FAS
World’s Leading Hardwood Log Importers Source: Global Trade Atlas
China: Hardwood LogImports 2003 % Market Share Seneca Creek/WRI 2004:
Greater China: Property Development • Approximately 700 million square meters of finished construction each year • Flooring demand to hit 2.5 billion square meters by 2008 • Door and window market to hit 500 million units by 2008 Source: ITTO, August 2004
Chinese Domestic Market • China Accounted for 20% of Global Economic Growth 2000-2004 • Automobile Market Exceeds Germany • Largest Mobile Phone Market in the World • Estimated 10% of Population with “Middle Class” Purchasing Power. Represents 130 million consumers and growing!
Greater China: Furniture Sector 35.4% growth! Furniture Production/Export in China Billion US$
Greater China: Furniture Sector Chinese Furniture Export by Province 2003 (Million US$) Province Guangdong province accounts For over 50% of China furniture exports.
Greater China: Furniture Sector Export Markets for Chinese Furniture in 2004 Exports to US is still ranked number 1 in the first three months of 2004 valued at $ 1.48 billion, increased 23.6% despite the anti-dumping chaos.
Trouble on the Horizon? • Is the Economy Overheating? • Real Estate Bubble? • Undervalued Currency? • Political Stability?
Other Markets to Watch • Southeast Asia/Vietnam • Middle East • Latin America • India • Caribbean • **The EU**
US Hardwood Lumber Exports by Volume - 2004 (m3)Under-promoted Markets Source: US Census Bureau
S.E. Asia: Market Overview Million US$
VIETNAM U.S. Hardwood Log, Lumber & Veneer to VIETNAM 137% Increase! Million US$
2 1 3 4 5 6 7 8 Establishment (company – enterprise) Picture of wood processing factories in VN Source: Ministry of Agriculture & Rural development (2003)
South America • Emerging Furniture Industries • 13,000 Brazilian manufacturers • U.S. exports of promoted products doubled • Brazil—12th largest market for veneer • Opportunity • High end furniture AHEC/AF&PA Korea Office September 2002
Brazilian Furniture Exports($million US) Source: Global Trade Atlas
Brazilian Furniture Exports(Main Importing Nations, 2004) ($Million US) Source: Global Trade Atlas
INDIA • Tariffs on Sawn Timber have Fallen from 60% to 20% • Population of 1 Billion • Opportunities • Small Furniture Manufacturers • High End Housing • Commercial Real Estate • Challenges • Almost no experience with American hardwoods AHEC/AF&PA Korea Office September 2002
World’s Leading Hardwood Lumber Importers Source: Global Trade Atlas
Hardwood Lumber Exports by Volume - 2004 (m3) Source: US Census Bureau
US Hardwood Lumber Exports by Value 2004 ($1,000) Source: US Census Bureau
EU Hardwood Lumber Imports(Billions of Euros) Source: EUROSTAT
EU Imports of Temperate Hardwood Lumber: 2004 (Millions of Euros))
EU 15 Wood Furniture Imports(Millions of Euros) Source: EUROSTAT
EU Wood Furniture Imports:Eastern Europe(Millions of Euros) Source: EUROSTAT
EU Wood Furniture Imports: Asia(Millions of Euros) Source: EUROSTAT
For additional information contact: AHEC Headquarters 1111 19th Street, NW, Suite 800 Washington, DC 20036 Phone: 202/463-2720 Fax: 202/463-2787 www.ahec.org