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Explore the dynamic relationship between public attitudes and social policies regarding poverty, social security, and more since 1997, examining key features and shifts in government strategies.
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Following or leading public opinion? Policy, poverty, social security and public attitudes since 1997 John Hills ESRC Research Centre for Analysis of Social Exclusion Institute for Fiscal Studies 22 May 2002
Key features of policy since 1997 • Selective universalism and a patchwork assault on poverty • No across-the-board benefit increases • Social security as ‘spending on failure’ • No use of ‘redistribution’; pledge not to raise income tax rates • Lack of concern over inequality at the top • Work-based strategy for unemployed • Child poverty abolition target – in relative terms until 2003-4, at least
More generous mix of means-testing, universal benefits and affluence testing for families with children • Cuts in some disability benefits and for some lone parents • Conditionality for benefits: e.g. work-focussed interviews • Tax cuts for low paid • Minimum wage and wage top-ups for low paid with children (and without from 2003) • Increases in Income Support (MIG) for pensioners with Pension Credit to come. Reluctance to raise basic pension.
The tax/spending trade-off Source: British Social Attitudes Survey
Priorities within social benefits Source: British Social Attitudes survey
Would you like to see more or less government spending on benefits for... Source: CASE/BritishSocialAttitudes Survey, 1998
Inequality and public attitudes Sources: Goodman and Webb (1994) , DWP (2001); British Social Attitudes Survey
On the whole should it be the government’s responsibility to reduce income differences between the rich and poor…..? Source: CASE/BritishSocialAttitudes Survey, 1998
Government should spend more on welfare benefits for the poor (%) Note: Horizontal scale uneven Source: British Social Attitudes survey
Government should redistribute income to the less well-off (%) Note:Horizontal scale uneven Source: British Social Attitudes survey
Some people say there is very little real poverty in Britain today. Others say there is quite a lot. Which comes closest to your view? Source: British Social Attitudes Survey
What has happened to poverty in Britain over the past ten years?
Trends in concerns about fraud in the welfare system (% agreeing with each statement)
Trends in concerns around disincentives (% agreeing with each statement)
Government’s responsibility to provide a job for everyone who wants one? Definitely 39 Probably 37 Probably 12 Definitely not 6 Very / fairly easy 15 Neither 14 Very / fairly difficult 67 Source: British Social Attitudes Survey, 2000
Benefits for a very high earner compared to a very low earner should be *Very high income versus very low income Source: British Social Attitudes Survey, 1998
Wage top-ups from government? Source: British Social Attitudes Survey
Benefit Sanctions if Fail to Attend Interview Source: British Social Attitudes Survey, 2000
Government’s responsibility to provide a decent standard of living for the elderly? (%) Definitely 80 Probably 16 Probably not 1 Definitely not - Very / fairly easy 45 Neither 13 Very / fairly difficult 38 Source: British Social Attitudes Survey, 2000
Adequacy of state pension Very low 51 A bit on low side 32 Reasonable 16 On the high side Zero Source: British Social Attitudes Survey, 2000
Policy in line with/following public attitudes • Priority to health and education, not social security • Selectivity in benefit increases • Concerns about fraud / disincentives • Conditionality in benefit payments • Aim to reduce poverty (and seen in relative terms?) • Minimum wage • Work-based strategy for unemployed • Wage top-ups for low paid with children • Higher child credits if low income / affluence-testing • Redistribution by stealth
Policy catching up with public attitudes? • Real increases in basic pension (temporary) • Some tax increases to pay for higher health spending • Reversal of ‘purse to wallet’ switch for Child Tax Credit from 2003
Policy leading public attitudes? • Balance of concerns over adequacy / disincentives from benefits for unemployed (but not concerns themselves) • Avoidance of talk of ‘redistribution’
Policy out of line with (may lead) public attitudes? • Cuts in disability benefits • Means-tested not flat rate (or more generous) pensions • Wage top-ups where no children • Lack of measures for carers • Lack of concern for overall inequality?