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Analyzing market trends, product segments, and regional sales of circuit breakers for equipment sales in various sectors including building, mining, and commercial/utilities. Insights on growth forecasts, industry investments, and regional market demands.
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Helmuth FischerCBI 6 June 2006
Assembly Plants Thaboqwa Hyqwa Lesotho 1 Hylesedi Lesotho 2
Circuit Breakers for Equipment • Regional Markets • First World, in the main around industrial hubs. • Developing countries do contract manufacturing. • In these cases First World determines standards, designs, specifications. • Products • Technology of our products provides benefits to customers. • Due to this some standard products are used in CBE applications. • Typical CBE products allow a multitude of variations.
GDFI Forecast: Growth Building Industry (%)(Source: Bureau for Economic Research) 06.06.2006
Business Confidence Building Industry(Source: Bureau for Economic Research)
Market Trends - Residential • 2005 vs 2004: • Increase in completed building plans of 50% in Flats and Town Houses • Decrease in dwellings <80m² • Real growth 11,8% p.a. in 2000-2005 • Forecast 8% p.a. in 2006-2011 • ESKOM rate of electrification has slowed down • Capital spend • Electricity spend ESKOM and Municipalities R50bn to 2010 • Housing National and Provincial R32bn to 2010 • Example • N2 Gateway project (W/Cape): 22 000 houses, so far only 770 complete, all with CBI products • W/Cape MEC stated by Dec 2006 16000 houses and 22000 serviced sites will be complete
Market Trends – Mining • Local • Commodity prices up • Rand exchange rate positive • Inflation remaining low • Capital spend • Anglo American R36bn by 2009 • Anglo Platinum R20bn by 2007 • Impala Platinum R5bn by 2007 • Export • More mining activities accessible in Africa • Ghana, Namibia, Angola, Zambia
Market Trends – Commercial/Utilities • Local • Real growth 2000-2005 3,9% p.a. • forecast 2006-2011 8,2% p.a. • Capital spend until 2010 • Examples • Gautrain R20bn • Sasol R12bn • Midrand expansion R11bn • Mittal R8bn • ACSA R5bn • Export • Congo Basin Hydro Electric Scheme 800MWatt 2012
Lighting Typical Electrification Project Mini Sub-station Switchgear Power Cable Power Cable Power Cable Power Transformer Distribution Transformer Kiosk Switchgear Kiosk Switchgear Kiosk Switchgear Power Cable Distribution Board Residential Products Electricity Meter Prepayment/ Conventional Service Entry Switchgear Service Entry Switchgear Service Entry Switchgear Wiring Accessories House Wire Residential Dwelling
(MAR - FEB) 36 33 30 27 24 21 18 15 12 9 6 3 0 Yearly Imports Comparison% China Germany France Italy Japan 2004/2005 2005/2006