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Predictive Services Standard Products & GACC Websites. Report to NMAC/GMAC 2004 November 30, 2004 Boise, Idaho. National Predictive Services Group (NPSG). Overview of Program Goals. NPSG Program Goals.
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Predictive ServicesStandard Products & GACC Websites Report to NMAC/GMAC 2004 November 30, 2004 Boise, Idaho
National Predictive Services Group (NPSG) Overview of Program Goals
NPSG Program Goals • Develop and implement a user assessment process so that user needs are understood and defined. • Identify and implement standardized products and services that satisfy user needs. • Determine organization, resource and programmatic requirements. • Develop and implement performance standards for products and services.
NPSG Program Goals • Enhance the interaction between the Predictive Services functions. • Establish a method for communicating information between Predictive Services internally and externally. • Improve the data infrastructure that supports and facilitates the integration of Predictive Services and the Wildland Fire program • Implement methods to assess and improve the products and services provided by Predictive Services.
Standardization Issues • Weekly and daily products differ from GACC to GACC • Product names, terminology, and display conventions are not consistent • Utilization of outputs • Hard to compare outputs from one area to another (within and between GACCs) • Decreases usability for decision support • Redundancy • Costs us both time and money to develop and maintain non-standard products
Standardization will: • Increase efficiency and usability • Provide products that are consistent and familiar for out-of-area personnel and IMTs • Save money and time…work and improvements can be shared at all GACCs • Lead to better products…better decisions…better SAFETY
Daily Outlook Example Non-standard, but widely used product issued by some GACCs. Only covers day 1 and sometimes day 2.
Weekly Outlooks Weekly outlook issued on Tuesday (updates optional) Discussion… Resources… Currently, one of our standard products
Weekly Outlook Example Problems: Not all GACCS follow same format. Issued once a week (often not updated). Weather/fire danger changes and product becomes outdated
Problems • Products not consistent with NPSG framework and goals for standardized products • Weekly product becomes outdated • Daily product good but only covers day 1-2 • Currently some GACCs only predict fire danger, but all need to forecast “Significant” fire potential • Adherence to standards is lacking
Solutions proposed by NPSG • Utilize input from user assessments to develop and improve standard products • Verify and validate outputs to ensure they are accurate and meaningful • Inform NMAC/GMAC of issues to gain their support • Establish protocols for program direction and accountability
Standard product proposal • Create daily standard product (issued in AM) that covers days 1-7 • Eliminate weekly outlook • Utilize tabular and graphical formats • Include weather, fire potential and resources • Implement by June 2006
Large Fire Potential • Currently issued by Northwest and California GACCs
Tueday August 2, 2004 Monday August 1, 2004 Resources:
GACC Website Issues • No consistent format, look, or feel • Products have different names and are located in different places • Searching for products is confusing and results in wasted time
Web Task Group • Direction from NPSG & Center Managers to create a standard GACC template and centralized server • Jay Ellington (SWCC) web team chair • Completed GACC surveys in 2004 • FAMWEB server (available to all GACCs but not required to use). Access to all GACCs at: gacc.nifc.gov
GACC template www.fs.fed.us/r3/fire/national_web/ 2005 Timeline Jan Distribute implementation guidelines Feb 1 Post national web site May 1 Post GACC sites
Public page: Managed by FIO (Optional) PS: GACC OPERATIONS – Daily, weekly, etc, operation products and linksMeat of site! Mgmt: GA F&IM tools, background, links that make programs work… NOT a complete list Related Links:Area: Websites within GANational: National websites
Thank You ? ? ? Questions ? ? ?