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Is AIDS Financing dying in Asia ?. Swarup Sarkar Senior Adviser, UNAIDS, Geneva. ICAAP, Busan, August 2010. In Collaboration with. David Wilson , World Bank Tim Brown, East West Centre, Hawaii Jeanette Olsson, SVETAN, Stockholm Robert Greener, UNAIDS Rifat Atun, Global Fund
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Is AIDS Financing dying in Asia ? Swarup Sarkar Senior Adviser, UNAIDS, Geneva ICAAP, Busan, August 2010
In Collaboration with David Wilson , World Bank Tim Brown, East West Centre, Hawaii Jeanette Olsson, SVETAN, Stockholm Robert Greener, UNAIDS Rifat Atun, Global Fund Ryuichi Komatsu, Global Fund Carlos Avila, UNAIDS Pradeep Kakkattil, UNAIDS Sukontha Kongsin, Mahidol University, Thailand
Current level of Funding Extent of Shortfall Trend of Investment Effective & Efficient use What is the Future What should be done?
Estimated resources available and resource gap in the Asia-Pacific region 3.1 1.1 Available Need (billions USD)
Cost of a Priority Response Average total cost per capita ranges from $0.50 to $1.70, depending on the stage of the epidemic.
Comprehensive interventions Total Program Management $7,000,000 6 B Income generation for widows Orphans and vulnerable children $6,000,000 Total Treatment Community mobilization PEP $5,000,000 Youth in school Mass media Prevention for PLHA $4,000,000 Blood safety 3 B Condom social marketing Special populations $3,000,000 Workplace STI management Youth out of school $2,000,000 Safe Injection Universal precautions Public and commercial condoms $1,000,000 PMTCT VCT $0 MSMs Harm reduction Total Resource Need UNAIDS Method Priority Resource Need- AIDS Commission CSWs and clients
Shortfall 2/3 rd core 5/6th of comprehensive Need
Investment is Plateauing…. USD * *varies between 800 to 1000+ million
Trend • Dramatic increase after UNGASS’01 • Slowing after economic crisis • Less significant increase last 2 yrs • Domestic resources increasing, not enough
Follow same global trend : resources available for AIDS 1986–2010 16 billion 1500 10 billion 1000 c 8.9 billion 9000 Signing of Declaration of Commitment on HIV/AIDS,UNGASS 8000 8.3 billionc 7000 6000 World Bank MAP launch 5000 US$ million 4000 Gates Foundation PEPFAR 3000 UNAIDS Less than US$ 1 million 2000 1623 1000 Global Fund 292 257 212 59 0 2006 2007 1986 1987 1990 1991 1992 1993 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 Follow same global trend of economic boom and recession Source: UNAIDS & WHO unpublished estimates, 2007 7.1
Where is the money gone ? • 8 to 20% of resources only to Most at Risk Population • 2 to 3 % resources to the community organisations • Gate keepers and brokers ….
Where is all the Money Gone ?Three reasons why community don’t see money
In the largest bilateral funding on harm reduction in Asia….. • 50% to 96% resources were consumed by UN, Government and international NGOs • Money left for service was 4 to 50%
Resource go to non priority and not core interventions • Resources go to non effective intervention • Resource goes to non-intervention and sometimes to unwanted interventions
In spite of the AIDS Commission recommendation …. • Time bound hand over to Community organisations • Direct funding to the NGOs through Community organisations
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Conditions Tied to Funding There is no evidence that testing changes behaviour of high risk groups however, GF continues to tie funding for high risk group with number of testing -------
Increase Health Budget, Increase Donor Budget Increase AIDS Budget
1. Asia has the lowest health budget in the world 2. Low impact prevention ( critical enablers) to shift to health budget 3. Cost sharing with other Ministry, a must
Most of Asia are least Funded countries on Health(Health expenditure as % GDP) Commission on AIDS in Asia – Projections and Implications 27
Increase AIDS Budget, Increase Health Budget, Increase Donor Budget 1. Asia has the lowest health budget in the world 2. Low impact prevention ( critical enablers) to shift to health budget 3. Cost sharing with other Ministry
Implications for resource need: more efficient and effective use of resources Total Program Management $7,000,000 6 B Income generation for widows Orphans and vulnerable children $6,000,000 Total Treatment Community mobilization PEP $5,000,000 Youth in school Mass media Prevention for PLHA $4,000,000 Blood safety Condom social marketing Special populations $3,000,000 Workplace STI management Youth out of school $2,000,000 Safe Injection Universal precautions Public and commercial condoms $1,000,000 PMTCT VCT $0 MSMs Harm reduction Total Resource Need UNAIDS Method Priority Resource Need- AIDS Commission CSWs and clients
Impact mitigation:Livelihood sustainability for widows Lifetime cost of $1000 per affected household Positive Partnership‘: micro-financing for affected households ($600 USD loans)
Impact mitigation: care and support for children orphaned by AIDS • Estimated at 100 USD per child per year • 1 million children in Asia lost at least one parent to HIV • Total cost=100m USD
Increase AIDS Budget, Increase Health Budget, Increase Donor Budget 1. Asia has the lowest health budget in the world 2. Low impact prevention ( critical enablers) to shift to health budget 3. Cost sharing with other Ministry 4. Independence from donor funding
Overall International Fund: 53 %from > 90% in 2002* 2004 2010 * Not including Thailand in 2002
Who Should Fund ? • Rhetoric's between donor and recipient countries. • Economic progress does not lead to social equity • Economic Crisis in north can’t be turned into humanitarian crisis in south • Health for marginal people remains a shared responsibility
Summary: where we are • Current HIV resources too low to create impact • Early sign: donor fatigue, funding yet to reverse • Increasing but insufficient domestic budget • Neglected MARP priority • Poor Cost sharing with health and Social sector
"It is no longer our resources that limit our decisions; its our decisions that limit our resources." - U Thant
A resurgent epidemic? Or a contained one?
For Countries of the Region… Action now can save • 5 million new infection • Avert 2 million deaths • Protect 80% of women and children from AIDS impact • USD 2 billion by 2020 – cost of econmic burden to family
No substitute for activism The Future is Ours