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April 13, 2011 Springfield Area Chamber of Commerce Springfield, Missouri Dr. Bill Elder

Missouri Trends and the 2010 Census: Opportunities and Challenges in the Springfield Regional Economic Partnership. April 13, 2011 Springfield Area Chamber of Commerce Springfield, Missouri Dr. Bill Elder. Overview. Big Picture Demographics of U.S. & Mo.

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April 13, 2011 Springfield Area Chamber of Commerce Springfield, Missouri Dr. Bill Elder

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  1. Missouri Trends and the 2010 Census: Opportunities and Challenges in the Springfield Regional Economic Partnership April 13, 2011 Springfield Area Chamber of Commerce Springfield, Missouri Dr. Bill Elder

  2. Overview • Big Picture Demographics of U.S. & Mo. • Aging (implications…national and local) • Greater regional interconnectedness • More Diverse Patterns (economics, culture) • Springfield Regional Economic Partnership • Strong and Continuing Growth… • Evidence of Regional Cooperation… • Sustainability in Challenging, global times. • For Detailed Data Google “OSEDA”

  3. Data Information Knowledge Wisdom OSEDA… Http://WWW.OSEDA.MISSOURI.EDU “The construction of knowledge involves more the orderly loss of information than it’s meaningless accumulation.” -- Kenneth Boulding “..No one of us is as good as all of us…” Dave Steckel

  4. Ozarks Regional Economic Partnership 10% of Mo, 23% of Growth, 2 X State rate

  5. New Census information … World: 6,892,893,953 U.S.: 311,874,651 (9.7%) Missouri: 5,988,927 (7.0%) 2010 Population Count & Percent Change from 2000 Check out new Census tools at census.gov and OSEDA and…. Elsewhere…

  6. New Census information …Complete Count DataAmerican Community Survey (ACS) “Period Estimates by Size” Just Google “Census” or “OSEDA” for More information

  7. Rapid growth and large states Five states account for 17% of U.S. Growth 37 M 18.8 M Six states account for 54% of U.S. Growth not just fast but .. Big 25 M

  8. Diverse Trends: Regions within Regions More Regions of growth near regions of decline

  9. 2010 Missouri “Metro” and “non-Metro” Source: U.S. Census, 2010 Census “Public Law 94 File”

  10. “Urban” and “Rural” Connections

  11. Dots make patterns more apparent

  12. New Pyramids in March Population Pyramids of Missouri Percent of Total Population 2000 2020 Male Female Male Female

  13. Age Structure in the OREP

  14. Senior Report….

  15. Percent Population Over 65 Same Indicator but Different Implications

  16. Aging in Place in the North Percent 85+

  17. Brand New Kids Count Information

  18. Increasing Poverty and Stratification

  19. Foundational Issues--Expectations

  20. Married Couple Families with Children Missouri married couple families with children declined to 19.4% of households in 2009 -- nearly 29,000 fewer than in 2006 (ACS, 2009) • County Estimates from 5-Year ACS Data.

  21. Commuting…. Percent of Working Outside County of Residence, 2005-2009 ACS • County Estimates from 5-Year ACS Data.

  22. Household Income Missouri median household income increase by 5.3% between 2006 and 2009 from $42,841 to $45,229. Meanwhile, U.S. Median household income rose 3.5% from $48,451 to $50,221. Not surprisingly, the five year ACS period estimates show higher incomes associated with urban areas and major transportation routes.

  23. Housing Changes….

  24. Challenging Times….

  25. Challenging Times ... Regional Differences

  26. Bachelor’s Degrees Five-Year period ACS Estimates Shows Missourians with higher education are centered in regional trade and service centers The 2009 ACS reported that nearly a million Missourians 25 and older had completed a bachelor’s degree (25.2%). That is up from 17.8% in 1990 and 21.6% in 2000. The corresponding U.S. number of persons with a bachelor’s degree in 2009 was 53.3 million (27.9%).

  27. From the “Employer” Report:Returns to Bachelor Degrees

  28. Missouri Treads and the 2010 Census: Opportunities and Challenges in the Ozarks Regional Economic Partnership April 13, 2011 Springfield Area Chamber of Commerce Springfield, Missouri Dr. Bill Elder

  29. From the “Employer” Report:Returns to Associate Degrees

  30. High School Completers The ACS five year estimates show relatively lower rates of high school completion in south central Missouri and the “Bootheel.” Regions also associated lower income levels and higher poverty rates. The 2009 ACS reported that 1.3 million Missourians 25 and older had a high school education (32.0%). The corresponding U.S. number is 57.6 million (28.5%).

  31. Married-Couple Families In 2009, married-couple families comprised less than 50% of Missouri households. (Missouri, US Census, 2009 American Community Survey) • County Estimates from 5-Year ACS Data.

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