John Kern Chairman, JPO

1. John Kern Chairman, JPO NBAA

2. Securing our Future through Air Transportation

3. Imagine the Possibilities • Traveling without delay, on your schedule, directly between your home or place of business to your destination • Arriving at an airport and walking directly to your aircraft • Flying anywhere in the world and returning the same day • Moving packages and products to any zip code in the nation the day they are ordered, international destinations the next day

4. Imagine the Possibilities (Continued) • Any community, regardless of size, having affordable access to air transportation • A system without fatalities and major injuries • A system so quiet that communities clamor to have an airport in their neighborhoods • Seamless reservations and transition between modes

5. Commission on theFuture of the United States Aerospace Industry Transforming the U.S. air transportation system to meet our civil aviation, national defense, and homeland security needs is a national priority • The Secretary of Transportation shall establish in the FAA a Joint Planning and Development Office • Within a year, the Joint Program Office should present a plan to the Administration and Congress outlining the overall strategy, schedule, and resources needed to develop and deploy the nation’s next generation air transportation system

6. Establish a Joint Planning Office …that sets goals and aligns missions across government to ensure that the United States stays at the forefront of aviation and meets the demand of the future A Roadmap to 2025 and Beyond!

7. 2003 JPO Accomplishments • Coordinated JPO efforts across Government agencies. • House and Senate Science & Technology Committees and the Principles at FAA,TSA, DoD, DOC, NASA and DOT • Coordinated with Industry. • AOPA, ATA, ATCA, ALPA, ACI, AIA, RAA, NBAA, NATA, NASAO, REDAC, RTCA, Boeing, Lockheed Martin, Northrup Grumman, and Raytheon • Participated in ATCA workshop for industry & government

8. Why Transformation? • Drive productivity and enhance economic growth • Deliver capacity to accommodate future demand • Expand flexibility while improving system security • Retain U.S. technological leadership

9. Transformation Strategy • Identify long term national needs • Agree on a shared vision of the future • Make that vision a reality • Adopt a “strategic evolution” process • Define evolutionary pathway that • provides near term benefits • meets long term national needs

10. AGENCIES PARTICIPATION TO DATE Policy Committee • Establish Informal JPO • Partners Work National Plan • Chapters • Chapter REDAC Advisory • Developed Draft National Plan • Developed Framework • Senior Policy Meeting • (Formalized JPO) (Senior Executives) OSTP FAA ADMINISTRATOR FRAMEWORK Partners Agency Stakeholders JPO Principals Staff REDAC Industry Advisory DOD NASA DOT DHS DOC OSTP

11. 2003 Goal Develop a National Plan that includes: • National Vision for 2025 • Socio-Economic Demand Forecast • Goals and Policy • Operational Concepts and Transition Roadmap • Research Requirements/Plan

12. CNSi / ATM System Goals • Safely separate aircraft from each other, hazardous conditions including weather, terrain, other obstacles and ground vehicles • Seamlessly integrate civil, military and homeland security requirements and operations • Substantially increase all system users ability to takeoff, fly enroute, and land at their preference in near all-weather conditions • Minimize the life cycle cost of air traffic service provider and airspace user operations • Maximize convenience for air travelers, cargo customers, and other air transportation system users • Minimize impact of and recover quickly from system failures • Minimize impact of and recover quickly from large external perturbations

13. CNSi / ATM System Goals • Reduce environmental impact of air transportation operations • Increase the ease of use from the airspace system user perspective • Be scalable to varying demand within available resources • Adapt with agility to changes in market forces, policy, technology, defense, and security needs • All air vehicle types can operate while taking advantage of their unique characteristics • Multiple operating capability levels are managed and benefits are maximized for each level of operating capability • Ensure that the system will be globally interoperable

14. CNSi / ATM Operational Concepts Central Assumptions - Common Issues • Open architecture and common information as a fundamental enabler for the future CNSi / ATM system • Precise, accurate (and of known probability), timely and integrated information is the heart of the system – Navigation, Surveillance, Weather, Location of terrain, ground infrastructure and vehicles • More dependence on distributed assets • Cockpit / Aircraft is a node in the system that both accepts and provides information • Collaborative decision-making in a probabilistic context • Airspace management will recognize and manage to the objectives of multiple stakeholders • Airspace management and procedures will recognize the probabilistic nature of information (such as weather forecasts) • Automation and human decision making will be optimized to the function - especially in separation assurance and planning • Many unique issues are associated with specific operational concepts - goal-driven trade studies supported by research, advanced modeling and simulation required

15. R&D Themes and Challenges

16. Major R&D Themes Transformational Operations Advanced Capabilities Develop and Evaluate Operational Concept Options and Enable the Procedures, Services and Policies that Achieve the Goals Develop and Evaluate Architecture Optionsand Enable the Systems to Ensure the Accuracy, Availability and Timeliness of Informationis Not a Constraint Affordability Transition Management Reduce the Time and Cost to Developand Certify CNSi and ATMSystems and Software Develop the Tools/Processes to Assess Cost/Benefits, Efficacy of Change, Manage Risk, Develop Policy and Support Decision-Making System Evaluation & Engineering Develop the models, simulations, processes and integrate the tool-sets to support the other R&D Themes

17. Transformational OperationsR&D Challenges • Develop and evaluate total operational concept options (procedures, services, automation, etc.) that meet the CNSi/ATM System Goals • Explore new concepts that are unconstrained by current operational paradigms (“think out of the box”) • Perform alternative analyses utilizing the most challenging operational scenarios • Conduct simulations, lab evaluations, operational demonstrations, and limited deployments of new operational concepts • Develop concepts / capabilities to maximize the capacity of landing/take-off facilities • Minimize capacity limitations imposed by low-visibility, wake vortex spacing, closely spaced runways, and runway occupancy • Explore new airport configuration and operating options • Enable higher capacity in metropolitan regions through integrated operations at multiple airports

18. Transformational OperationsR&D Challenges, Continued • Develop capability to understand the robustness and resilience of air transportation networks and how to manage disruptions for minimum impact • Explore system optimization techniques and decision-making under uncertainty • Include multiple cost functions, including environmental impact minimization; centralized and distributed optimization scenarios • Understand human performance capabilities and limitations • Develop human performance models to ensure the development of adequate training, procedures, and system interfaces • Conduct Human-in-the-Loop simulations to calibrate models

19. Transformational OperationsR&D Challenges, Continued • Optimize the integration of human operators/user into future automated CNSi/ATM systems • Develop techniques to minimize impact of aircraft noise on local communities • Develop security operations for unconstrained passenger flow through airports • Integrate airline and security information and operations into a gate-to-gate ATM system

20. National Plan will include: • Associated policies, technology, processes • Overall operational concepts • Supporting research • Implementation strategies • Policy and implementation commitments

21. Framework for National Plan Outcomes with strategies and policy issues Balance Critical National Priorities Ensure Human & System Security Enhance Aviation Safety Reduce Impacts of Aircraft Noise & Noxious Emissions Support Defense Readiness . Affordable for More Americans Promote Competition Reduce Taxes & Government Fees Reduce Operation Cost (Expanding Capacity) More Cost Effective Aircraft Fast, Efficient & Reliable Air Transportation Reduce Airport Terminal Transit Time Reduce Aircraft Transit Time Improve On-time Performance Flexible & Accessible Air Transportation Capacity Scalable to Market Demand Expand Air Service to More Communities Ensure Access for All Services Globally Interoperable

22. Goals • Goals discussion to be built about five categories of service value: • Speed and Efficiency • Flexible and Reliable • Quality and Affordable • Safety and Security • Quiet and Clean

23. SCOPE The Air Transportation System • The system that allows vehicles, both manned and unmanned, to operate safely, securely, and efficiently in the National Airspace System (NAS), including U.S. airports • This system must: • Provide for mobility of people and goods • Be affordable and environmentally responsible • Support global interoperability • Meet the needs for defense and homeland security • Adapt to the demands of the free market • Fairly allocate scarce resources where necessary

24. Scope National Plan(Transformation)

25. Scope: Long-term Transformation Airline to ATM Collaboration ADS-B Aircraft – Ground Datalink Aircraft Surveillance & Situational Awareness Capability More Runways WAAS SWIM Enhanced Weather Capability Near All-Weather Capability Infrastructure End to End Seamless Operations Changing Roles Performance Based Services Consolidated Transportation Network OEP Evolution Environmental Management Airport Planning Low Wake/ Quiet Jets UAV Sense & Avoid Small Airport Package Transparent Screening Greater On Demand Service Route Sense & Avoid Transformation

26. What’s Different About This Approach? • Transformation not Modernization • Gov’t and industry wide requirements (efficiency, safety, capacity, security, defense) • Inter-agency plan approved by high level policy board • Has a body that provides for continuous inter-agency coordination and oversight • Driven by operations concept that is globally interoperable

27. Transformation Strategy Future Concepts Transition Steps Transition space Capability Current NAS Time

28. Path to the Future 2003-07 2008-15 2016-20+ • System wide data sharing • User driven choices • Aircraft drive procedures • Reduced Infrastructure burden • New services • Full Options Analysis • Management not Control of Airspace • Control by Exception • Near all-weather capability • Interagency Joint Research Programs • Collaborate on Joint Plans • Performance tailored procedures • Small Airport Package

29. Inter-Agency Synergy is Working“Early Victories” • Routine use UAVs • Common Information Network • National Weather Strategy • Near-term Surveillance Data Network • Small Community Air Mobility Package • Inter-Agency Research

30. Relation to Other Plans Implementation Plan for Capacity Efficiency NAS Architecture National Plan for the Transformation of Air Transportation National Plan for the Transformation of Air Transportation OEP Runway Development Industry Road Map and Business Plan FAA Strategic Plan 2010 2015 2020 2025 2003 Aircraft • Equipage • Safety & Certification Investment Portfolio • CNS Technologies • Air Traffic Mgt. • Airspace Design Airspace Management Organizational Excellence Global Harmonization • IT Security • Airport Surface Operations • Airport Terminal Operations Airports Business Plan for the whole FAA • Physical Security • Environment

31. Major Activities and Anticipated FY 2004 Accomplishments • Formally establish the Joint Program Office • Establish a Senior Policy Committee for the purpose of addressing legislative and policy issues • Establish an Advisory Committee for the purpose of coordinating industry and stakeholder input • Develop 1st Edition of the National Plan

32. Coordination Schedule July 2 Agency Leaders met with colleagues July 14 Transition to formal Principals & Partners, with kickoff meeting July 16 Preliminary framework draft to agencies and advisory committee July 22 ATCA Workshop Aug-Sept Establish Working Groups (include industry) Aug 15 Comments due on DRAFT framework draft to JPO Sept 10 Policy Committee Pre-brief Sept 15 Close coordination of draft Framework Sept 26 S-1 conducts Sr. level Policy Committee meeting Dec 17 ??

33. An Air Transportation Vision for America • Moving Anyone and Anything • Anywhere, Anytime, On time • Report to the • Air Transportation System Joint Program Office • Washington, D.C. • July 2003 • Table of Contents • Executive Summary • Section 1: Defining the Air Transportation Vision • Section 2: Key Observations • Section 3: Potential Public Policy Issues • Section 4: Definition of the Air Transportation System • Section 5: Proposed Air Transportation Vision for America • Appendices • List of Major Vision and Planning Documents Relevant to Air Thank You Appendix D: Summary of Major Air Transportation Vision and Planning Documents (Part 1) (Legend for Goals: E – Explicit, I – Implicit, * - Technology Demonstration) Appendix E An Air Transportation Vision for America (Presentation) [1] James C.