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Distillate Workshop 21.05.07

Distillate Workshop 21.05.07. DfT Thoughts. There’s a lot going on (even more than usual) There’s a lot I’m not directly involved in I’ll try to take quick questions But may need to follow up after. Issues covered today. Modelling / Appraisal developments in DfT Recent, current, upcoming

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Distillate Workshop 21.05.07

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  1. Distillate Workshop21.05.07 DfT Thoughts

  2. There’s a lot going on (even more than usual) • There’s a lot I’m not directly involved in • I’ll try to take quick questions • But may need to follow up after

  3. Issues covered today • Modelling / Appraisal developments in DfT • Recent, current, upcoming • Current concerns / interests • Any specific role for Distillate?

  4. Things happening NATA “refresh” announced 21st May, will include • Much revised format • Review shape of guidance, easier to use • Review cross modal consistency • Include something for maintenance schemes • Proportionality (size / cost of scheme) • Review vfm guidance, eg in light of Eddington – wider economic benefits, social inclusion / distribution, environment) • Update 2002 base year

  5. Can we also incorporate? • Streamlining? What we require at Programme Entry versus CA, and how we ask for it. • Role for “lite” models? (Going beyond Major Scheme Appraisal) Circumstances where clear conclusions can be reached much easier? Option development etc?

  6. Recent Webtag revisions • External costs of Rail use (April) • Walking and Cycling Schemes (March) • Speed / flow relationships (March) • Values of time and operating costs (minor changes) (February) • Option values and non-use values (Feb) • Modelling and appraisal of road pricing schemes (still under consultation) (Feb) • Oct 2006: Greenhouse gases, vot and op cost, estimation and treatment of scheme costs

  7. Forthcoming developments(In part in response to Eddington – more later) • Reliability • Freight values • New Major Project Guidance (building on consultation on DfT site, including delivery, cost sharing and incentives) • Developments dependent on transport schemes (clarify current guidance, later produce improved methodology) • Review consistency of appraisal approaches across Departments, transport related and wider

  8. Other current interests (1) • Eftec work on landscape valuation New landscape valuation: 3 phases • Typologies for landscape and schemes • Develop and test valuation methods • Elicit and test values Aim to bring landscape impacts into the monetised vfm assessment. In time add more monetised impacts?

  9. Other current interests (2) • Wider Eddington / Stern repercussions • Is a major shaping factor behind current and longer term NATA revisions • Requires new look at incorporating wider economic benefits (competition, agglomeration, globally mobile resources), social inclusion / distribution, environment. • Review compatibility of vfm methodology across modes

  10. Other current interests (3) • Eddington implications / context • We anticipate a second regional prioritisation exercise next year • Eddington recommendations have consequences re how regional priorities are determined (their objectives, overall consequences, how regions consider vfm) among transport schemes and against other expenditures. • Need for good strategic analysis tools: option generation, testing / sifting, appropriate vfm methods, combined / strategic impact

  11. TIF • Actual scheme bids expected mid year • Strategic modelling clearly relevant again • Modelling and appraisal guidance directly relevant to TIF in response to requests from promoters (Forecasting, and uncertainty, using transport models, fares assumptions, road pricing modelling) • TIF and Eddington: might there be an opportunity for further “Eddington” schemes alongside TIF, and if so how to sift, prioritise, assess?

  12. Strategic modelling and analysis has featured a lot • What might Distillate do to aid developments here?

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