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Assessing Effectiveness of Building Code Provisions. Greg Deierlein & Abbie Liel Stanford University Curt Haselton Chico State University … other contributors (PEER TA I & ATC 63). PEER 2007 Annual Meeting. EDPs: Deformations & Forces. PBEE: Collapse (SAFETY) Assessment. DV: COLLAPSE.
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Assessing Effectiveness of Building Code Provisions Greg Deierlein & Abbie Liel Stanford University Curt Haselton Chico State University … other contributors (PEER TA I & ATC 63) PEER 2007 Annual Meeting
EDPs: Deformations & Forces PBEE: Collapse (SAFETY) Assessment DV: COLLAPSE Decision Variable DM: Loss of Vertical Carrying Capacity (LVCC) Damage Measure Engineering Demand Parameter EDP: Interstory Drift Ratio Intensity Measure IM: Sa(T1) + Ground Motions
Illustration – 4 Story SMF Building • Office occupancy • Los Angeles Basin • Design Code: 2003 IBC / 2002 ACI / ASCE7-02 • Perimeter Frame System • Maximum considered EQ demands: • Ss = 1.5g; S1 = 0.9g • Sa(2% in 50 yr) = 0.82g • Design V/W of 0.094g • Maximum inelastic design drift of 1.9% (2% limit) 8 inch PT slab Typical Perimeter Frame Members Beams: 32” to 40” deep Columns: 24”x28” to 30”x40” Governing Design Parameters - Beams: minimum strength - Column size: joint strength - Column strength: SCWB - Drift: just meets limit
Capacity Stats.: Median = 2.2g σLN = 0.36 0.82g is 2% in 50 year motion Incremental Dynamic Analysis – Collapse Mediancol = 2.2g σLN, col = 0.36g 2% in 50 year = 0.82g IDRcol = 7-12%
Incremental Dynamic Analysis Simulation Results: Collapse Modes 27% of collapses 40% of collapses 17% of collapses **Predicted by Static Pushover 12% of collapses 2% of collapses 5% of collapses
Collapse Fragility Curve Median = 2.2g sLN, Total = 0.36 Incremental Dynamic Analysis
Uncertainty – Plastic Rotation Capacity Mean (m) Plastic Rotation Capacity Reduced (m-s) Plastic Rot. Cap.
Correlation of Model Uncertainties Type A: Parameters within one element Type B: Between parameters of different elements
Margin 2.7x P[collapse |Sa = 0.82g] = 5% 5% 0.82g 2% in 50 yrs Collapse Capacity – with Modeling Uncert. Median = 2.2g sLN, RTR = 0.36 σLN, Total = 0.64 w/mod.
Mean Annual Frequency of Collapse Collapse CDF Collapse Performance • Margin: Sa,collapse = 2.7 MCE • 5% Probability of collapse under design MCE = 5% • MAFcol = 1.0 x 10-4 (0.5% in 50 years) 2.7 5% Hazard Curve 2/50
The 2% in 50 year ground motion • Illustration: • Site dominated by single event (M 6.9, R 14 km) -- return period of 200 years (MAF 25% in 50 yr) • Boore-Joyner (BJ) attenuation function • Sa (25/50) -- median of BJ. At T=1 sec., Sa = 0.28g • Sa (2/50) -- +1.5s of BJ. At T=1 sec., Sa = 0.56g. Mean Annual Freq. = (Probability of Sa > Sa*, given EQ) x (MAF of EQ)
Ground motion selection (+e effect) • Consider the Loma Prieta (11022 record): • Close match to characteristic event [M 6.9, R 14, Sa(T=1) = 0.65g] • Epsilon: +1.7 at T=1 sec; -0.3 at T = 0.45 sec • General trend for +epsilon records to peak at the +e periods and drop off elsewhere
Space Frame 1967 UBC, Zone 4 Design V/W: 0.068 g Member sizes Col. 20x20 to 24x24 Beam depth 20 to 26 No SCWB, no joint check, non-conforming ties 1967 and 2003 Design Comparisons 2003 Design 1967 Design • Perimeter Frame • 2003 UBC/2002 ACI • Design V/W: 0.094 g • Member sizes • Col. 24x28 to 30x40 • Beam depth 32 to 42 • Fully conforming design
Comparison of 1967 vs. 2003 Designs Column Hinge Backbone Parameters Qp,cap : 1967 = 0.02 rad (COV 50%) 2003 = 0.06 rad Kc/Ke: 1967 = -0.22 (COV 60%) 2003 = -0.08 Static Pushover Response Wu : 1967 = 2.4 2003 = 2.7 Du: 1967 = 1.5% roof drift ratio 2003 = 5.0% FEMA 356 Qp limits: 1967 = 0.006 rad 2003 = 0.015 rad
Incremental Dynamic Analysis, Controlling Component, 1967 Analysis Model 2.5 2 1.5 Sa (T=1.0s) [g] 1 0.5 0 0 0.05 0.1 0.15 Maximum Interstory Drift Ratio Incremental Dynamic Analysis – Sidesway Collapse Median Sa = 2.2g Median Sa = 1.0 g = col 0 g IDRcol = 7-12% IDRcol = 3-6% 1967 Design Strength: Median Sa = 1.0g, COV = 30% Deformation: IDRmax = 3 to 6% 2003 Design Strength: Median Sa = 2.2g, COV = 36% Deformation: IDRmax = 7 to 12%
50% 2.7 1.0 4% Simulated (sidesway) collapse fragility: 4-story building • FACTORS CONSIDERED • Beams & Cols: flexure-shear • B-C Joints: shear/bond • Modeling Uncertainty • Spectral Shape (e) • Margins (mcollapse/MCE) • 2003: 2.7 • 1967: 1.0 • P[C/MCE] • 2003: 4% • 1967: 50%
1967 Sidesway and Vertical Collapse (4-story) Total Collapse Probability Sidesway Collapse Probability at IMi Probability of LVCC (given drift ratio) Probability of No SS Collapse at IMi = + X • Per Elwood/Moehle & Aslani/Miranda: • Column Shear Failure: • Column IDR = 0.024 (mean) • Column Axial Failure: • Column IDR = 0.056 (mean) Shear failure reduces median capacity by about 15% Recall – Sidesway collapse occurs at peak drift ratios of 0.03 to 0.06.
RC Building Archetype Study • Archetype Design Space & Parameters • heights & configurations • seismic design shears • capacity design/detailing • Archetype Analysis Model • 3-Bay Multistory • Interior/Exterior Joints • Deterioration, P-D • Archetype Index Buildings • Heights: 1, 4, 8, 12, 20 • Space & Perimeter Space Frame (Atrib/Atotal = 1.0) Perimeter Frame (Atrib/Atotal = 0.16)
Effects of Codes (’67 vs ’03) and Building Heights 1967: 8 – 12 – 4 stories 2003: 12 – 8 – 4 stories Normalized Sidesway Collapse Fragilities
1967 Sidesway and Vertical Collapse: 8-story Total Collapse Probability Sidesway Collapse Probability at IMi Probability of LVCC (given drift ratio) Probability of No SS Collapse at IMi = + X • From Elwood/Moehle & Aslani/Miranda: • Column Shear Failure: • Column IDR = 0.022 (avg.) • = 0.014 (1st-story) • Column Axial Failure: • Column IDR = 0.050 (avg) • = 0.025 (1st-story) AXIAL collapse reduces median by ~ 40% Sidesway collapse occurs at peak (median) drift ratio of 0.038.
SUMMARY – Key Collapse Results Simulated Sidesway Collapse Statistics 10 to 30x 5 to 12x • Including Shear-to-Axial Column Failure for 1967 Designs: • 4-story building: little change • 8-story building: significant change (column IDR = 0.025) • MAF,collapse = 190 x 10-4 c/yr (35x rate of 2003 design)
Comments on Collapse Assessment • Accuracy of Assessment Procedure • stiffness/strength degrading models • characterization of ground hazard (spectral shape effect) • modeling uncertainties .. • Comparison of 1960-70’s versus modern frames • “regular” frames have 10 to 30x collapse risk • what about irregular frames? • validation & corroboration of results • appropriate level of safety? • Interpretations and Implications • communicating risks in consistent & meaningful ways • providing tools and engineering solutions (new buildings & retrofit) • action/implementation strategies