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Key Technology Trajectories

Key Technology Trajectories. Prague, October 22 nd , 2004. Roberto Saracco roberto.saracco@tilab.com. Key Technology Trajectories. Approach Trajectories Disruptions. Roberto Saracco roberto.saracco@tilab.com. The Web Site. The FOUR LAYERS. Looking into Technologies.

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Key Technology Trajectories

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  1. Key Technology Trajectories Prague, October 22nd, 2004 Roberto Saracco roberto.saracco@tilab.com

  2. Key Technology Trajectories • Approach • Trajectories • Disruptions Roberto Saracco roberto.saracco@tilab.com

  3. The Web Site The FOUR LAYERS

  4. Looking into Technologies • How would a Tech. evolve? • How is it related to the whole?

  5. #n #c #n #c Looking into Technologies

  6. #n #c #n #c Looking into Technologies

  7. Looking into Technologies • How would a Tech. evolve? • How is it related to the whole? • What are the crucial impacts? (passive/active)

  8. Technology Trajectories • Language Understanding • Embedded System • Multimode • Person Identification • Pin Pointing • Printing Atoms • Processing • Profiling • Seamless Ubiquitous Access • Security • Sensing • Shadowing • Storage • Virtual Presence • Terminals/Wearable • 3D Imaging • Artificial Life • Broadband • Communications • Content Creation • Data Capture • Encryption • Gaming Platforms • Gaming Storage • Human Interfacing • Image Recognition • Information Coding • Information Displaying • Information Retrieval • Interactivity

  9. Technology Trajectories Full discussion for Telecom Related Trajectories inHEIDELBERG, Germany – November 9th , 2004 You are invited to join!

  10. Technologies Trajectories Artificial Life • Robotics • Virtual Reality • Self creation: assembling / replicating • Self adaptation: reconfiguration/healing

  11. Artificial Life - Robotics • Production oriented • Towards increased flexibility • Support variety of application fields • Today: Europe, USA, Japan • Tomorrow: Varies depending on appl.field Trajectories

  12. Artificial Life - Robotics • Production oriented • Autonomous • Towards real independence • Support remote exploration, AmI • Today: Japan, USA, Europe • Tomorrow: USA, Japan, ? Trajectories

  13. Artificial Life - Robotics • Production oriented • Autonomous • Symbiotic • Towards closer, spontaneous interactions, seamless integration, smarter robots • Support augmented life, healthcare, prosthetics • Today: USA • Tomorrow: USA, ? Trajectories

  14. Artificial Life - Robotics • Production oriented • Autonomous • Symbiotic • Social • Towards seamless interaction • Entertainment, Education,… • Today: USA • Tomorrow: USA, Japan Trajectories

  15. Artificial Life - Robotics • Production oriented • Autonomous • Symbiotic • Social • MicroRobots • Towards better movement capabilities nanoRobots for health care • Support ambient exploration, sensing • Today: USA (nanoRobots), Europe • Tomorrow: ? Trajectories

  16. Artificial Life - Robotics • Production oriented • Autonomous • Symbiotic • Social • MicroRobots • Swarm (Physical, Sw) • Towards collective autonomous intelligence • Support ambient sensing, Meta-Info harvest • Today: USA • Tomorrow: USA Trajectories

  17. Disruptions: Looking for “x” X Disruption Time

  18. PDA Mainframes PC Tablet PC Mini Time Looking for “x” in processing ? Smart Obj. GRID volume

  19. Looking for “x” in health care Understanding Specificity Symbioses Bio-Substitution Monitoring KH-Focus Drug syntheses Fast Mapping Human Genoma Time Disruptions, signpost

  20. Symbioses Wet Ware Bio Printing Sensors – U.Acc. Hi.Sp. Processing Molecular comp. Bio-Substitution Monitoring Drug syntheses Fast Mapping Human Genoma Looking for “x” in health care KH-Focus Time Disruptions, signpost

  21. Disruptions • Transformation of Products into Services • The Disappearance of the Computer • Ubiquitous seamless connectivity • Changing Traffic Patterns • Infinite Bandwidth • Disposable Products • Autonomous Systems • From Content to Packaging • The emergence of Virtual Infrastructures

  22. From Products to Services

  23. From Products to Services • Technological Enabling Factors • Embedding of communications capabilities • Rising of profiling • Cheaper production processes Tech. Trajectories • Embedded Systems • Seamless Ubiquitotus Access • Communications

  24. From Products to Services • Technological Enabling Factors • Market Driven Factors • Products becoming commodities • Loss of differentiation capabilities • Increased copycat possibilities

  25. From Products to Services • Technological Enabling Factors • Market Driven Factors • Industry Impact • Transformation into service companies • Shortening of products’ life cycle • Strong increase in call centers • Automated customised assistance • Increased globalisation of the market • Restructuring of the value chain

  26. From Products to Services • Technological Enabling Factors • Market Driven Factors • Industry Impact • Market Sectors Affected • Health care • Entertainment • Transportation • Consumer appliances • Education • …

  27. From Products to Services • Technological Enabling Factors • Market Driven Factors • Industry Impact • Market Sectors Affected • Likeliness to happen • Disruption is already occurring • Connectivity bundled as a service feature • Appliance bundled in connectivity

  28. Key Technology Trajectories Prague, October 22nd, 2004 Roberto Saracco roberto.saracco@tilab.com

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