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Treaty of Waitangi. UMR Omnibus Results Late November 2011. Background & Methodology.
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Treaty of Waitangi UMR Omnibus Results Late November 2011
Background & Methodology • Results in this report are based upon questions asked in the UMR Research nation-wide omnibus survey. This is a telephone survey of a nationally representative sample of 750 New Zealanders 18 years of age and over. • Fieldwork was conducted from the 25th to 29thNovember 2011 at UMR Research’s national interview facility in Auckland. • The margin of error for a sample size of 750 for a 50% figure at the ‘95% confidence level’ is ± 3.6%. • For the Treaty of Waitangi segment, there is a Maori respondent sub-sample (n=83) which is used in conjunction with the full sample of respondents n=750. As the Maori sub-sample is comparatively small, care should be taken when analysing these figures and should be treated as indicative only. • The margin of error for a sample size of 83 for a 50% figure at the ‘95% confidence level’ is ± 10.8%. • (Please note: There are two sections in this report. The first set of questions relates to the Treaty of Waitangi, focusing on the public’s knowledge and opinion of it. The second set of questions looks at discrimination in society asking respondents what groups of people are most discriminated against in NZ; firstly unprompted and then prompted. • There are a number of questions that have been tracked at irregular intervals back as far as the year 2000. The questions asked in 2011 are a repeat from 2010.)
Treaty of Waitangi- Knowledge - • Respondents were first asked to give a rating of 1 to 5 of their knowledge of the Treaty of Waitangi, human rights and indigenous rights; 1 meaning ‘a lot’ and 5 meaning ‘nothing at all’. Declared knowledge was well up from the 2010 survey and to the highest levels recorded yet. • Half (49%) of the public said they had a good knowledge of the Treaty of Waitangi (‘1’ + ‘2’ of the 1-5 scale), up 10% from November 2010 and 8% from December 2009. One-fifth of respondents (21%) believed they had a poor knowledge (‘4’ + ‘5’ on the 1-5 scale), down 4% from twelve months ago. 30% gave a neutral response (‘3’ or ‘unsure’), down 6% in the same period. • The large rise came predominantly from females; up 14% from 2010 to 52% in 2011. The male demographic increased 5% in the same interval to 45%. • 61% of Maori respondents declared a good knowledge of the Treaty; up 10% from last year, the highest level since the peak in February 2005. • Auckland was the only major demographic to record a drop; down 2% to 42%. • Respondents knowledge of human rights also increased significantly in the twelve month period; up 7% to 50% in 2011. Another 18% declared a limited knowledge (down 2%), while 32% were neutral in their opinion (down 5%). • The Maori demographic had a significant rise; up 12% from 2010 to 49% in 2011. • Provincial residents’ declared knowledge (50%) had increased 12% since 2010. • The 45-59 year old age group was the most informed age cohort; up 11% to 55%. • Declared knowledge of indigenous rights had also increased significantly; up 10% to 36%. A third (32%) said they had little knowledge (down 7%), while the remaining 32% gave a neutral view (down 3%). • The large overall increase was only partly attributed to Maori respondents, up 4% from 2010 to 45% in 2011. • Again, the 45-59 year old age cohort declared the most knowledge; up 15% to 42% in November 2011. • Females (37%) had a large increase in knowledge; up 14%.
Treaty of Waitangi- Knowledge - “Using a scale of 1 to 5, where 1 means a lot and 5 means nothing at all, how much would you say you know about?” The Treaty of Waitangi ALL Maori Human Rights ALL Maori Indigenous Rights ALL Maori
Treaty of Waitangi- Statement Testing - • Again; using a 1-5 scale where 1 means ‘strongly agree’ and 5 means ‘strongly disagree’, respondents were asked to rate how strongly they felt about various statements about the Treaty of Waitangi. The ratings overall were similar to 2010, except for the level of agreement with the Treaty being New Zealand’s founding document. • 55% of New Zealanders agreed that “The Treaty is New Zealand’s founding document” (‘1’ + ‘2’ on a 1-5 scale), down 5% from November 2010 and similar to 2009. 21% disagreed with this statement (‘4’ + ‘5’ on the 1-5 scale); up 1% from last year, nearly a quarter (24%) gave a neutral opinion; up 4%. • The fall mostly came from those under 30 years of age; down 8% to 48%, and those 60 years and over, down 7% to 55%. • Maori respondents were less likely to agree in 2011; down 9% from 2010 to 66%. • A similar proportion to 2010 (50%) agreed with the statement “The Treaty is for all New Zealanders”, virtually unchanged in 2011. Another 30% disagreed (down 3%), while 20% were ‘unsure’ or ‘neutral’; up 4%. • There was also no change in the proportion of Maori respondents (61%) that agreed with this statement from 2010. • The most likely age cohort to agree was those over 60 years of age, up 6% to 56%. • The New Zealand public still remain largely unconvinced “The Treaty relationship between the Crown and Maori is healthy”. A quarter (25%) of respondents agreed with this statement (virtually unchanged), while 36% disagreed and 39% were neutral. • A quarter (25%) of Maori respondents were positive of the Treaty relationship; down 4% from 2010, 7% from 2009 and the lowest rating since the all-time low in 2007. • Those 60 years of age were less likely to agree with the statement in 2011; down 10% to 26%.
Treaty of Waitangi- Statement Testing - “The following statements are about the Treaty of Waitangi. Using a scale of 1 to 5, where 1 means strongly agree and 5 means strongly disagree, how strongly do you agree with the following statements?” “The Treaty is New Zealand’s founding document” ALL Maori “The Treaty is for all New Zealanders” ALL Maori “The Treaty relationship between the crown and Maori is healthy” ALL Maori