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The Experience of An ABS Graduate

The Experience of An ABS Graduate. Chris McKendry Australian Bureau of Statistics ABS-SSAI Careers Night 12 April 2012. My Background. Bachelor of Science at UNSW Honours in Statistics Thesis on Time Series ABS Cadetship Work Experience in Time Series between semesters

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The Experience of An ABS Graduate

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  1. The Experience of An ABS Graduate Chris McKendry Australian Bureau of Statistics ABS-SSAI Careers Night 12 April 2012

  2. My Background • Bachelor of Science at UNSW • Honours in Statistics • Thesis on Time Series • ABS Cadetship • Work Experience in Time Series between semesters • Study support for Honours • Graduate Program (Jan 2011) • 13 months in Time Series • Recently moved to Survey Methodology

  3. Perks I Experienced at the ABS • Consistent extra-curricular activities • Trivia, tennis, soccer, basketball, touch footy, board games • Access to training • SAS, Project Management, Economic Statistics, Statistical Reporting, Time Series, Survey Methods • Networking and Travel • Interstate travel is completely normal • Represent your section / division / organisation in various forums / events

  4. Perks of the ABS • FLEXITIME (!!!!) • Like to start late and finish late??? • Like to start early and finish early??? • Wish to coordinate work hours with other studies??? • Have kids to pick up from school??? • Like to combine public holidays with flexi-hours??? • Colleagues with similar talents and interests • Programming, Maths, Statistics, Econometrics

  5. Graduate Year in MDMD • Rotations Scheme • Rotate at 10 months and 18 months • Develop >= 3 disciplines in the first 2.5 years • Sections of work • Data Confidentialisation, Data-Linking, Operation Research, Sampling, CPI estimation, Time Series, Econometrics • Corporate Responsibilities • Coordinating social activities • Participate in MDMD seminars

  6. Projects assigned to 2011 Grads

  7. My Grad Project • Is a pretty good example of an output useful to the business / policy / research community • Not meant to be Earth shattering • But demonstrates what kind of technical skills are useful within MDMD

  8. My Grad Project Background in Seasonal Adjustment Monthly Hours Worked In Australia (Original) • Original Data • Seasonality • Moving Public Holidays • Moving School Holidays

  9. My Grad Project Background in Seasonal Adjustment Monthly Hours Worked In Australia (Seasonally Adjusted) • Seasonally Adjusted • Less volatile • Comparable Months • Complimentary to Unemployment Rate

  10. My Grad Project Background to ABS Hours Worked Series • Relevance • Key economic indicator • Effects of Policy • Natural Disasters • Economic Trends / Shocks • Users • RBA • Treasury • ABS • DEEWR Cross-Sectional Splits Sex State Part/Full time Age

  11. My Grad Project Reconciliation • Publish SA HW in Sex by Status splits BUT • Seasonally adjustment not linear • Sum of SA Components SA Adjusted Aggregate Job Status

  12. My Grad Project Reconciliation • Solution • Time series reconciliation • 6 constraints to meet for each time (easy and standard) Job Status

  13. My Grad Project Reconciliation: 3D Aggregation Structure State • 3D Aggregation Structure • Sex by Status by State • 63 constraints PER OBSERVATION • Quality Concerns • Meet constraints • Maintain Level • Maintain Temporal Movements Sex F/P- time

  14. My Grad Project You wanted maths at work right?

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