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2013 Emissions Gap Report

2013 Emissions Gap Report. Scientists agree that risks of irreversible damage to the environment would increase significantly should global average temperature rise above 2°C in relation to pre-industrial levels by the end of the century Total global GHG emissions in 2010 were 50.1 GtCO2e

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2013 Emissions Gap Report

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  1. 2013 Emissions Gap Report • Scientists agree that risks of irreversible damage to the environment would increase significantly should global average temperature rise above 2°C in relation to pre-industrial levels by the end of the century • Total global GHG emissions in 2010 were 50.1 GtCO2e • To stay within the 2° C target, emissions should be a ≤ 44 GtCO2e by 2020 • Even if nations meet their current climate pledges, GHG emissions in 2020 are likely to be 8 - 12 GtCO2e above the level that would provide a likely chance of remaining on the least-cost pathway

  2. 2013 Emissions Gap Report • It is still possible to attain the 2020 goal of 44 GtC02e/year through firm and rapid action • The following could bring the global community about halfway to closing the gap: • Tighten up the rules governing pledges in the climate negotiations (1-2 GtCO2e) • Implement the maximum reductions already pledged without conditions (2-3 GtCO2e) • Expand the scope of pledges (2 GtCO2e)

  3. 2013 Emissions Gap Report • Remaining gap could be bridged by further international and national action, including through “international cooperative initiatives” • Energy efficiency (2 GtCO2e) • Renewable energy initiatives (1-3 GtCO2e) • Fossil fuel subsidy reform (0.4 to 2 GtCO2e) • Three categories of initiatives • Global dialogues (e.g. G8, G20, ministerial level, industry, academia, and/or civil society) • Formal multilateral processes (international treaties e.g. Montreal Protocol or sector specific organizations e.g. International Civil Aviation Organization or International Maritime Organization) • Implementation initiatives (technical dialogues e.g. Mitigation and MRV Partnership or the Clean Energy Ministerial, and sector-specific initiatives e.g. Renewable Energy and Energy Efficiency Partnership, CCAC)

  4. 2013 Emissions Gap Report • For international cooperative initiatives to be effective, they must have: • A clearly defined vision & mandate • The right mix of participants appropriate for that mandate, going beyond traditional climate negotiators • Stronger participation from developing country actors • Sufficient funding & an institutional structure that supports implementation & follow-up, but maintains flexibility • Incentives for participants • Transparency & accountability mechanisms

  5. 2013 Emissions Gap Report • Energy efficiency (which includes inter alia buildings’ heating & cooling) is a priority mitigation opportunity • Fluorinated greenhouse gases is frequently listed as priority area for mitigation measures

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