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Cornwallis IX Stadtschlaining, Austria 5-8 April 2004. E. P. Visco gvisco@bellatlantic.net IAMWG 23 April 2004 Evidence Based Research Vienna, VA. Cornwallis Group: Who, What, Why?. Small gaggle: US & UK Early 1990s: dissatisfaction with conventional symposia (esp. ISMOR & MORS)
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Cornwallis IXStadtschlaining, Austria5-8 April 2004 E. P. Visco gvisco@bellatlantic.net IAMWG 23 April 2004 Evidence Based Research Vienna, VA
Cornwallis Group:Who, What, Why? • Small gaggle: US & UK • Early 1990s: dissatisfaction with conventional symposia (esp. ISMOR & MORS) • Insufficient time • New problems, new approaches • First meeting, April 1996 • Cornwallis I thru VIII at Pearson Peacekeeping Centre, Nova Scotia, Cda • Cornwallis IX designed to attract more Europeans
Proceedings • I. Analytic Approaches to the Study of Future Conflict • II. Analysis for and of the Resolution of Conflict • III. Analysis for Peace Operations • IV. Analysis for Civil-Military Interactions • V. Analysis for Crisis Response and Societal Reconstruction • VI. Analysis for Assessment, Evaluation and Crisis Management • VII. Analysis for Compliance and Peace Building • VIII.Analysis for Governance and Stability
Proceedings Available • Canadian Peacekeeping Press, Pearson Peacekeeping Centre, Cornwallis Park, PO Box 100, Clementsport, NS B0S 1E0, Canada • Tel: 902.638.8611 x161 or 164 • Fascimile: 902.638.3310 • orders@ppc.cdnpeacekeeping.ns.ca • http://www.cdnpeacekeeping.ns.ca
Cornwallis IX Key Notes • Dayton Maxwell: Are We Reaching the Threshold on Overcoming the Obstacles to Effective Civil-Military Cooperation on Mission Achievement? • COL Graf von Strachwitz: On Afghanistan
Peace Analysis • Walter Clark, US: Doing it the hard way: civil-military policies in Iraq and Afghanistan • Ian Mitchell & John Medhurst, UK: Winning the Peace--Scope and Management Implications of Analysis of Stabilization and Counter-Terrorist Operations • Dave Davis, US: Analytic Support to a Civilian Headquarters--The Cornwallis Approach • LTC Christopher J. Holshek, US: Civil-Military and Information Operations in Iraq: Finding Success in Synergy
Peace Analysis (concluded) • Larry Wentz & Michael Baranick, US: Stability and Reconstruction Operations: What we can learn from history • Michael Neighbour, UK: Analysis Capabilities for Peace Support Operations: A personal perspective • COL Richard Cousens & Robert Bailey, UK: Presence in Peace Operations • Scott Feil, US: Application of Metrics to Iraqi Reconstruction
Counter-Terrorism • Cecilia C. Dionco Noble & Dennis Legaspi, PI: Information Operations as a Tool of Stabilization Operations in Counter-Terrorism • Richard Hayes & Margaret Daly Hayes, US: Measuring Terrorism and Insurgency in a 21st Century Context • Manfred Bartha, GE: Homeland Security
Counter-Terrorism (concluded) • A. D. Hossack, et al, UK: The Behaviour of Counter-Terrorist Campaigns: Results from Historical Analysis, including Observations on Current Operations in Iraq • Karl Bertsche, GE: Agent Based Simulation of Terrorist Attacks
Military Analysis • Hugh Richardson, UK: Effects-Based Operations: the Analysis Challenge • George Rose, UK: The Role of the NATO Code of Best Practice for Provision of Analysis Advice in New Operational Scenarios • A. J. Hopkins, UK: Operational Analysis in Support of HQ MND(SE), Basrah, Iraq, 2003
New Tools for Analysis • Lorna Frewer, UK: Agent-Based Modeling • S. Andes Christensson, SW: How do we find robust definitions of feedback indicators signifying stabilities in counter-terrorism operations • Panel (Maxwell, Davis, Rose, & T. Woodcock), US & UK: Modeling and Analysis Requirements to Meet the Challenge of New and Emerging Conflicts
Summation • Attendees • United States: 12 • United Kingdom: 12 • Germany: 4 • Philippine Islands: 2 • Sweden: 2 • Canada: 1 • Presenters: 24 • Papers: • Peace-related: 11 • Counter-terrorism: 5 • Military analysis: 3 • New tools/tasks: 3