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Promoting Green Power: Solar Resource Potential in Atlantic Canada

Promoting Green Power: Solar Resource Potential in Atlantic Canada. Green Power Labs Inc. Presentation to the Green Power Strategy for Atlantic Canada Workshop September 19, 2005. Overview. Secondary Energy Use in Atlantic Canada Solar Energy: “Sunny Days Ahead”

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Promoting Green Power: Solar Resource Potential in Atlantic Canada

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  1. Promoting Green Power: Solar Resource Potential in Atlantic Canada Green Power Labs Inc. Presentation to the Green Power Strategy for Atlantic Canada Workshop September 19, 2005

  2. Overview • Secondary Energy Use in Atlantic Canada • Solar Energy: “Sunny Days Ahead” • Natural Solar Resource Potential • Technically Feasible Solar Potential • Socioeconomic Solar Potential

  3. How We Use Energy in Canada Source: Natural Resources Canada

  4. Atlantic Canada’s Energy Use:Residential Sector (1) Source: Natural Resources Canada

  5. Atlantic Canada’s Energy Use:Residential Sector (2) Source: Natural Resources Canada

  6. Atlantic Canada’s Energy Use:Commercial/Institutional Sector (1) Source: Natural Resources Canada

  7. Atlantic Canada’s Energy Use:Commercial/Institutional Sector (2) Source: Natural Resources Canada

  8. Solar Energy:Three Technologies – One Source • Solar Electricity • Solar Thermal • Passive Solar

  9. Solar Power, Solar Heat or Solar Energy? • Green heat and green power are both important • Load displacement is just as important as new generation • All solar technologies are part of the solution

  10. “Net Zero Energy Home” Concept Net Zero Energy Home Current Home Source: CanSIA

  11. CanSIA: “Sunny Days Ahead”

  12. Benefits of the CanSIA’s “25 by 25” Program • A minimum of 25 million megawatt-hoursper year of renewable solar electrical andthermal energy. • $30 to $40 billion of economic activity forCanadians. • 60,000 – 70,000 high quality jobs in thesolar industry. • 120,000 – 210,000 other jobs as a directresult of solar activities. • 15 –30 million tonnes of greenhouse gasemission reductions annually.

  13. PV Technology: Efficiency Trends Source: US Department of Energy, 2005.

  14. PV Module Production and YearlyModule Production Capacity (MW) Source: IEA-PVPS T1-13:2004

  15. Canada: PV Modules Price Trend Source: IEA-PVPS T1-13:2004

  16. Government Funding of PV (2003) Note: Germany ($13.41) & Holland ($7.53) are not shown !!! Source: IEA 2003

  17. Solar Resource Potential Levels Source: IEA-PVPS T7-06:2002

  18. Solar Energy: Global Natural Potential Based on NASA Surface Meteorology and Solar Energy: Global Data from July 1983 to June 1993

  19. Solar Energy Resource in Atlantic Canada Cities* (kWh/m2) *Average daily solar irradiation on tilted surface

  20. Comparison of solar irradiation* in Moncton and Miami *for latitude-tilted surface

  21. Solar Energy Resource in Atlantic Canada

  22. Solar Map of Nova Scotia Distribution of solar energy (kWh/m2) is based on model predictions spatially adjusted by empirical observations

  23. Green Power Labs Inc. – Solar Calculator* * Based on solar energy model for high resolution digital mapping of solar resources

  24. Technical Potential Assessment Methodology Source: IEA PVPS T7-4: 2002

  25. Technical PV Potential in Atlantic Canada Annual Solar Yield on an individual house roof (MWh) Total Annual Solar Yield (TWh)

  26. Annual PV Power Production Potential per Household in Atlantic Canada MWh

  27. Annual Electricity Use: PV Coverage Share MWh Source: Natural Resources Canada Basic PV System: 3 kWp installed

  28. Prince Edward Island: Residential Energy Use

  29. Technical PV Generation Potential in Atlantic Canada: Today and Tomorrow Residential only Residential and Commercial

  30. Energy Savings:Solar Domestic Hot Water Calculations made at 60 USD/barrel of oil

  31. Solar Energy Variability

  32. Solar Climatology for Any Location

  33. Terrain Assessment

  34. Solar Gain at a Site: Key Factors Fraction of maximum energy received at given angle and aspect of roof

  35. Municipal Level AssessmentOceanview Dr., Bedford, Nova Scotia

  36. 3D GIS-Based Modeling

  37. Solar Site Assessment Aerial view of a gas station

  38. June 21 20:00 5:00 September 21 16:00 8:00 12:00 October 21 December 21 Solar Site Assessment

  39. Socioeconomic Potential • Barriers • Policies • Strategies

  40. Socioeconomic Potential:Barriers for Customers • Bad economic performance: high investment costs are the most visible barrier to PV • There is a lack of proper financing opportunities • Architectural design and simple standardised systems are not available • Uncertainty on the technical performance • Lack of information on the benefits of PV Source: IEA-PVPS T7-06:2002

  41. Socioeconomic Potential:Barriers for Society • Environmental benefits are not rewarded • Lack of awareness with respect to scarce fossil and nuclear resources • Customers willingness to pay is not exhausted • Low social acceptance • Distortions in public education Source: IEA-PVPS T7-06:2002

  42. Socioeconomic Potential:Barriers for Solar Industries • The PV suppliers do not know the potential market and they do not know how to reach the market • There is lack of proper marketing strategies and a lack of adequate infrastructure for successfully marketing PV systems • Communication problems between different actors in the market (e.g. between architects, building companies and PV retailers) do still widely exist Source: IEA-PVPS T7-06:2002

  43. Socioeconomic Potential:Policies • Net Metering • Feed-in Tariffs (Energy-Based Production Incentives) • Long Term Financing • Purchase/Installation Incentives

  44. Socioeconomic Potential : Costs • Solar as a distributed energy source is unique • Costs of Central Power Plants are amortized over 20-40 years • Other nations level the playing field by offering long term loans with interest rate subsidies • (In the US – over 80 solar loan programs in place)

  45. Socioeconomic Potential: Marketing Strategies CanSIA’s Standard Offers Contract for PV ProgramObjectives • To demonstrate government support for solar at a meaningful level (it will bring new private investment into the solar industry). • To help bridge the inequality of government support for other energy sources with its support for solar. • To stimulate the market for “grid-connected” PV in a manner that allows the industry to grow sustainably.

  46. The Early Adopter PV Market in Atlantic Canada Market Segment Size Deployment Targets for a Standard Offers Contract Program Grand Total 2015: Systems Installed – 5,832 Total Installed Capacity -16,1 MWp Annual Electricity Generated - 18.8 GWh

  47. Residential solar potential of Atlantic Canada in 2015 Technically Feasible: 12.8 TWh Market Target: 18.8 GWh Good perspectives to grow!!!

  48. Thank You www.greenpowerlabs.com

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