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Learn how to create scatter plots, analyze correlations, and make predictions using least-squares regression lines. Use a graphics calculator to find equations for the lines and estimate values in real-world scenarios.
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Scatter Plots and Least-Squares Lines Objectives: Create a scatter plot and draw an informal inference about any correlation between the variables Use a graphics calculator to find an equation for the least-squares line and use it to make predictions or estimates
Vocabulary • Scatterplot: Is a graph showing two sets of quantitative data on a coordinate plane. • Explanatory Variable (x): is the variable that is trying to explain changes in y. • Response Variable (y): is the value obtained at a specific x-value.
Correlation • The main result of a correlation is called the correlation coefficient (or "r"). It ranges from -1.0 to +1.0. The closer r is to +1 or -1, the more closely the two variables are related. • If r is close to 0, it means there is no linear relationship between the variables. • If r is positive, it means that as one variable gets larger the other gets larger. If r is negative it means that as one gets larger, the other gets smaller
y y y x x x Correlation negative correlation no reliable correlation positive correlation r is close to -1 r is close to 1 r is close to 0
y y y x x x Correlation and Prediction no reliable correlation perfect positive correlation perfect negative correlation r = -1 r = 0 r = 1
10 8 6 4 2 10 6 8 2 4 Least-Squares Regression Line (LSRL) (line that best fits the data) VIDEO TUTORIAL STATCRUNCH
Equation of LSRL Stat Crunch
Example 1 Create a scatter plot for the data shown below. Describe the correlation. Then find and graph an equation for the least-squares line.
Example 2 The table below shows the number of students enrolled in MATH 253 at CCBC in six of the last 7 semesters. The number for the third year has been misplaced. Estimate the number of students enrolled in Math 253 in the third year.
Make prediction for the height at: • 21 months • 28 months • 20 years
Guess the ages of these 4 celebrities Cristiano Ronaldo Dr. Phil Kevin Hart James Patterson
Actual Ages • Dr. Phil (68 years old) • Kevin Hart (39 years old) • Cristiano Ronaldo (33 years old) • James Patterson (71 years old)