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India Today. Prof. Atul Tandan Director, MICA. Know India. Population Ownership & Consumption Media Industry Entertainment Industry. Population. 2.5% of the world’s land mass 16% of the world’s population
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India Today Prof. Atul Tandan Director, MICA
Know India Population Ownership & Consumption Media Industry Entertainment Industry
Population • 2.5% of the world’s land mass • 16% of the world’s population • Every sixth person in the world is an Indian and every fourth person in Asia is an Indian • India adds an Australia to its population every year • Population projection for 2011 • For under 15 years: 370 million • For 15-64 years: 747 million • For 65+ years: 58 million • 15% in the age group of 0-6 years
Population • Male and female literacy of 75.85% and 54.16% respectively • Male and female life expectancies of 62.3 years and 65.3 years respectively • Overall literacy rate 65% • Current middle class of around 600 million people • Nearly 40% of the population (402 million) are in the working age • Indian’s urban working population is as much as the total working population of France and Italy Thus India represents a young country full of opportunities
Ownership & Consumption • A market that grows by 30 million consumers every year • 75 million Indian families own a television • 35 million households own two wheelers • Second largest producer of two wheelers, market size valued at $1200 million • Every second urban house hold has a bank account • Consumer finance market grown to $20 billion
Ownership & Consumption • Indian Readers have a choice of 30000 odd magazines and newspapers • Tele-density (cellular and fixed) 11 and growing at an annual rate of 40% against the world average of 15% • 75 million cellular subscribers and still growing at a rate of 35% per annum • 5 personal computers for every 1000 people • Largest producer of Cigarettes
Rural Wallet A fourth of the expense is on Groceries
Media Industry • Cable Television industry • $1.2 billion currently in revenue terms • Growing at approximately 15-20% p.a. • Likely to be $3 billion by year 2010 • Share of print media in ad expenditure • Globally: 45% • India: 55% • Ad. Expenditure to GDP ratio expected to increase to 0.65%, comparable to other developing and emerging countries like Brazil, Indonesia and Thailand. • Television software industry likely to be $3 billion by 2008
Entertainment Industry • Projected size of entertainment industry: $11 billion by 2010 • Exports market size of $700 million; exhibiting a strong growth • Film market • Expected to grow at 25% p.a. in the next three years • Projected size of $4 billion • Music industry will be $500 million in size by 2010
Entertainment Industry • Radio (which receives only 2% of total advertising) • Expected to grow to the international average of 30% by 2010 • Size of market in revenue terms projected to be around $200 million • Live entertainment and event management industry • Growing at a rate of 50% p.a. • Expected to be $300 million by 2010
India: A Statistical View Macro Economic Indicators Engines of Economic Growth Major Market Trends
Selected Macro Economic and Financial Indicators 1980 – 2010
Macro Economic Indicators • Current growth in Real GDP around 7% and expected to grow by 8% by 2007, double digit by 2010 • Industry growth of 12% • Service sector constitutes nearly 52% of GDP • Average Annual Growth potential of service sector in providing employment is 11% oftotal labor force • Rate of Investment is 30% of GDP • Rate of Savings is 30% of GDP
Macro Economic Indicators • Lowest ever bank rate of 6% • Low rate of inflation of 4% offers higher return on investment • Relatively stable exchange rate • Relatively stable stock market offering high return to most Foreign Institutional Investors in the long-run • Foreign Direct Investment of around $45 billion constituting 1% of GDP • Foreign exchange reserve in excess of $160 billion
Macro Economic Indicators • Low growth of 5% in consumer price index offers wide range of choice for purchasing • Per capita income • Currently PPP $ 3300 • Growing at nearly 6% p.a. • Instability - lowest as compared to most Asian economies • Total External Commercial Borrowing approvals during 2005-06 - $40billion • Growth of exports 30% and 12% of GDP • Growth of imports 48% and 18% of GDP
Macro Economic Indicators FDI Inflows August ‘91 – Jan ‘06
Engines of Economic Growth • A thoroughly professional PM • Increased presence in geo-politics • Rapidly rising education levels • Accelerating rates of technological innovation and application • Cheaper and faster communication dissolving physical and social barriers, both within the country and internationally • Information made available in greater quantity and quality than ever before • Opening up of new markets because of globalization
Segmentation of Household (in mln) Source: NCAER
New Consumer Shifts Multi-directional market penetration with new consumer shifts: • From higher income groups to lower income groups • From urban to semi-urban and rural areas • From male to female segments, also reverse is true as in personal care products • From higher age groups to lower age segment: the emergence of kid, young and clever kid
New Consumer Shifts • From functional to convenience goods • From unbranded to branded products • From need-based buying to joy buying • From physical products to concept selling • From low price to high-end products • Spending leisure time on whatever is available in high fashioned entertainment • Increasing consumer awareness on products and product value • Leap-frogging sunrise areas
Major Market Trends • Attributing illusory USPs to brands to gain market penetration • Promotion acquiring increasing value • Emergence of e-business as a major market force while IT, Telecom and Biotechnology continue to invade the market place • From BPO to KPO • Ascendancy of product quality in buyer buying behavior impacting product improvement
Major Market Trends • Increased firm (and brand) mortality leading to fast restructuring of market segmentation, product composition and producer organizations • Volatility of market structures and price, improved delivery systems and customer-service • Up-gradation of delivery systems with perceptible consumer-orientation
Major Market Trends • MNC invasion in a large number of product markets • Markets becoming more competitive and more oligopolistic at the same time • Change from sellers’ market to buyers markets • Driven towards ‘Value for Money’ Approach • Injection of monopolistic power through strategically designed USPs and brand building
Major Market Trends • Shifting Determinants of Development • Manufacturing to Services to Value Added Services • Capital Resource to Knowledge Resources to Intellectual Supremacy
Knowledge Resources • Technology • Organisation • Information • Education • Skills All combined, is the broader framework of IMC industry.
Selected High Employment Potential Sectors • Telecommunication • E – business and Outsourcing • Entertainment • Banking and Insurance • Electronic and Information Technology • Marketing Communications • Education • Retail Trade • Fashion Industry • Hospitality Industry • Healthcare and fitness Thus a greater scope exists in IMC industry.
Telecommunication • 8th largest network in the world & 3rd largest among the emerging economies (after China and Korea) • 250 million line basic telephone network • 75 million cellular mobile network • Average annual growth rate • 30% for basic services • More than 100% for cellular and internet services
Telecommunication • Projections for number of connections • 175 million connection by 2008 • Investment opportunity of • Approximately $80 billion by 2008 • $120 billion by 2010 • Move towards Value Added Services
E-business & Outsourcing • Total e-commerce revenue in India expected to be around $10 billion by 2007 • By the year 2007 • 40 million internet connections • 100 million internet users
Entertainment Industry • Milestones and Achievements • From two state run channel in 1990 to close to 340 channels currently • 54 million cable and satellite homes which translates to 270 million viewers • More than 1000 movies produced in a year • Granted an Industry status
Entertainment industry • Requirement of at least 20000 screens in India as against 12548 currently • 1500 new multiplexes screens expected to be set up in the next 2-3 years • 100% FDI in the film industry permitted • Industry raised $40 billion from capital market during the year 2005 • Accounts for 20% of worldwide $40 billion animation business due to inherent advantages like IT skills and cost competitiveness
Banking Insurance and Financial Markets • 290 commercial banks including 40 odd foreign banks • Over 70000 branches throughout the country • Roughly 40 million shareholders • India has the third largest investor base in the world next to USA and Japan • Assets under management with the Indian Mutual Fund Industry in excess of $70 billion • Cumulative net investment by FIIs in Indian securities more than $30 billion • Size of Life Insurance Business $350 billion • Size of Non life insurance $175 billion
Electronics and Information Technology • Software sector growing at a rate of 58% p.a. • Software exports expected to grow to $100 billion by 2010. • Around 200 out of the Fortune 500 companies outsource their software requirements to Indian software companies • Expected to generate revenue to the tune of $130 billion by 2010 • IT enabled services sector will generate $25 billion by 2010 • Leading companies like GE, American Express, HSBC Royal and Sun Alliance, Le Meridian have set up their call centres in India
Indian Retail Scenario: Salient Features • Contributions to GDP: 13% • Employment Generation: 11% of total work force • Current size of the industry: US $ 6 bln. • Addition of half a million dollar every year to organised retailing • Organized retailing : 3% of total sector • 13 million retail outlet • Recognised as a potential sector but yet to receive the industry status • FDI retailing - Actively under consideration
Indian Retail Industry * Projected Figures
Fashion and Lifestyle * Projected Figures
Some Examples….. • Moser-Baer: World's third largest optical media manufacturer & the lowest-cost CD-Recorder producer • Hero Honda: Largest motorcycle manufacturer in the world. • Component Suppliers to 15 leading automobile giants
Even Automobiles… • Rover is marketing 0.5 mln. Indica cars of Tata in Europe • Aston Martin contracted prototyping latest luxury sports car to an Indian-based designer. • Suzuki & Hyundai India set to make India global small car hub • Ford presented Gold World Excellence Award to India's Cooper Tyres.
Success is Infectious… World Largest: • Bharat Forge - single-location forging facility • Hindustan Inks - single stream fully integrated ink plant • Essel Propack - laminated tube manufacturer And many more……..