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DRR Forum National Dialogue on Mainstreaming DRR into Development Practices and Trends 31 March 2011 Lay Khim A ssistant Country Director and Team Leader, Environment and Energy Unit UNDP Cambodia. Changes in: - Precipitation & soil evaporation - Sea level
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DRR Forum National Dialogue on Mainstreaming DRR into Development Practices and Trends • 31 March 2011 Lay Khim Assistant Country Director and Team Leader, Environment and Energy Unit UNDP Cambodia
Changes in: - Precipitation & soil evaporation - Sea level - Frequency & intensity of extreme events - Ecosystem distribution & composition Rising Temperatures Impacts on: COASTAL SYSTEMS WATER RESOURCES ECOSYSTEM SERVICES PUBLIC HEALTH FORESTRY AGRICULTURE Infectious, respiratory & vector-borne diseases, heat mortality Crop yields, irrigation demand, pest infestations Forest composition, geographical range, health & productivity Loss of habitat & species, diminishing glaciers & coral reefs Water supply, water quality, distribution, competition Erosion, inundation, salinisation, stress on mangroves, marshes, wetlands
Introduction-UNDP Approach to DRR and CCA • CCA and DRR- two sides of the same coin • The coin- reducing hazard vulnerability • Trend: DRR and CCA will be strongly integrated • There are challenges of integration • UNDP in the past 5 years had no DRR stand alone project • DRR has been an integral part of CC portfolio: policy and planning (NAPA), vulnerability assessment and advocacy • New Country Programme 2011-2015 will broaden climate resilient integrating DRR, focusing on building: (1) resilient farming practices and (2) resilient communities
Cambodia: Projection and Implications • Cambodia’s temperature would increase up to 1.35 - 2.50C in 2100 • Annual rainfall would increase between 3 and 35% from current condition; lowland areas seem to be more affected than highland areas (Source: First V&A Assessment: with two Global Circulation Models (GCM) : CCSR & CSIRO, and two emission scenarios: SRESA2 & SRESB1) Cambodia mean annual temperature anomaly Source: Oxford University (2008)
Potential Impacts – floods & drought • Cambodia is vulnerable to floods and droughts. • High dependency on rain-fed farming makes agriculture sector particularly vulnerable. • Floods and drought are recognised as one of the main contributors to poverty. Map of flood-prone communes Map of drought-prone communes Source: WFP (2005)
Achievements & Challenges2006-2010 Challenges Coordination at both technical and policy levels No coherent policy/strategy Limited adaptive capacity of local communities Limited information and however, the available information are note yet capitalized for better planning and decision making to reduce vulnerability. Achievements • Climate Change mainstreaming into NSDP • CC Status Reports (SNC and NHDR) contained updated useful analytic information on CC impacts • Partnership for CC Trust Fund under CCCA • Increased climate change awareness (KAP study) • First NAPA piloted project to promote CC in Agri and Water • Better information on climate change vulnerability
Relevance of Climate Change Portfolio with DRR 2011-2015 (cont.)
Relevance of Climate Change Portfolio with DRR 2011-2015 (cont.)
Recommendation 1: Building Adaptive Capacity Resources of Vulnerable Communities
Recommendation 2: DRR/CCA starts with understanding of vulnerability reduction 1. Current experience of climate change/Disaster? 2. What happens if the situation gets worse? 3. What prevents adaptation/risk reduction at the moment? 4. Project activity sustainability?
Recommendation 3: Applying a harmonized Vulnerability Assest. Tool • Assessing current vulnerability • How vulnerable are you to floods/droughts at the moment? • 2. Assessing future climate risks • If flood/droughts occurred twice as often, what would be the effect on your livelihood? • 3. Formulating an adaptation strategy • What factors prevent you from adapting to existing floods and droughts? • 4. Continuing the adaptation process • Rate your confidence that you will be able to manage measures to reduce your vulnerability and that you will be supported in doing so?