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Learn about the implementation plan for WMO's Integrated Global Observing System (WIGOS), including the development of regulatory material and the establishment of a data quality monitoring system. This is crucial for Members to deliver accurate weather, climate, water, and environmental services.
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WMO World Meteorological OrganizationWorking together in weather, climate and water WIGOS – WMO Foundation for Meeting the Observing needs of Weather, Climate, Water and Environment Services --Congratulations to the RA IV WIGOS Workshop --Welcome to all participants and thanks to our local host !! Dr Wenjian Zhang Observing and Information System Department, WMO www.wmo.int/pages/prog/www/wigos/
4.4.10 The Association accordingly adopted Resolution 1 (RA IV-16) – Regional WMO Integrated Global Observing System Implementation Plan. • The Association agreed that the implementation of R-WIP-IV be supported by all the Members of the Region, and be guided, supervised and monitored by the Management Group of RA IV, with periodic reports from appropriate subsidiary bodies in charge of WIGOS. • The Association further agreed that R-WIP-IV be further revised to accommodate new projects which would be submitted by Members and authorized the president to approve the revised R-WIP-IV during the intersessional period in consultation with the Management Group. In this regard, the Association agreed that the regional WIGOS projects should be expandable to include more sub-regional and national projects.
WMO World Meteorological OrganizationWorking together in weather, climate and water --Secretariat role and support in the WIGOS Pre-Operational Phase Dr Wenjian Zhang Observing and Information System Department, WMO www.wmo.int/pages/prog/www/wigos/
WIGOS: Integral part of NMHS and key enabler of their value proposition WIGOS + National societal needs
WIGOS Pre-operational Phase: unique chance ! WMO priorities DRR GFCS Polar Aviation WIGOS Pre-operational Phase National WIGOS implementation Data quality monitoring system Regulatory & Guidance Material Information Resource (WIR) Regional WIGOS Centres WIGOS framework
Implementing WIGOS is critical for Members to serve their nations! WMO INTEGRATED GLOBAL OBSERVING SYSTEM The whole is more than the sum of the parts—Aristotle WIGOS- needs to meet weather, climate, water and related environmental services requirements WMO: Dr Zhang
WIGOS Vision Requires… • Align with WMO priorities and national mandates such as DRR, GFCS and service outcomes • Cultivate & support a culture of compliance • Coordinate & build alliances for interoperable systems & shared data • Addressing, in a cost-effective and sustained manner, the evolving observing requirements of Members in delivering their weather, climate, water and related environmental services; • Coordinated, comprehensive, reliable & trusted observations for WMO and co-sponsors; • Enhanced coordination & cooperation at regional, sub-regional and national levels for the benefit of society.
1. WIGOS Regulatory Material complemented with necessary guidance material to assist Members with the National WIGOS implementation
1. WIGOS Regulatory Material development plan during Pre-operational phase- role of the Secretariat • Develop four-year roadmap (workshops/meetings) supporting the co-leading technical commissions (CBS & CIMO) for developing Phase II Reg Material (AWS, Radar, Wind Profilers, New Gen MetSats, …) • WIGOS are both “Integration & Evolution”, need to move essential part of EGOS-IP into WIGOS Manual • Coordinating Relevant TCs and Steering Committees (Group) for developing further RM sections (CAS/GAW, JCOMM, CHy, CCl, GCW, Polar, etc)
2. Further development of the WIGOS Information Resource (WIR), with special emphasis on the operational deployment of the OSCAR databases
2. Further development of the WIGOS Information Resource (WIR), - four year plan • Within next 2 years the great collaboration between MeteoSwiss & WMO on OSCAR surface will start operational; • The role of Secretariat with take care of Members’ registration & update during the Op phase • Secretariat will also consolidate input for SORT
3. Development and implementation of the WIGOS Data Quality Monitoring System
Current monitoring the Average availability of SYNOP, TEMP and CLIMAT data at MTN centresAGM: example Period 1-15 October (2011 / 2012)
Current Monitoring Status and Major shortcomings • Only use two weeks of statistics of the whole year • Only for registered RBSN/RBCN in Volume A, no other components of WIGOS • Only at Six Regions and Antarctic (no details) • Only taking care of data availability (no quality monitoring function) • Only communicate the outcome of data availability at EC session (Web info can be searched)
WIGOS Monitoring System Development plan (Pre-Op Phase) • Will use who year statistics of the data availability • Will start with registered RBSNs/RBCNs, but will steadily inclusion of other components of WIGOS • Will detail at National level for data availability (target at EC 2017, with much details) • Will monitoring data quality based upon major NWP outcomes • Will communicate the outcome of data availability & data quality at least monthly and accumulating (Web info NRT) • Role of secretariat: organizing workshop & co-development with major NWP Centers
Progress so far • Meeting TT-WQM-1 at WMO, 17-20 June 2014: • Update of Terms of Reference, • Concept of the WIGOS Workshop on Observational Data Monitoring, • Future Work Programme and Action Plan • A WQM workshop Nov. 2014 decided to initiate a GOS QM Pilots (SG-QM) • Pilot (2015 - ECMWF, NCEP, others) [R.Grumbine, D.Richardson] • Participating NWP centers to agree on: • Information to exchange; • Format for exchange; • Feasiblity and commencement. • Second workshop isschedulesatDec. 17-18 in Geneva
WDQMS 2b – Existing GOS Monitoring Monthly Monitoring Centres: ECMWF; RSMC Exeter; WMC Melbourne; RSMC Montreal; RSMC Offenbach; RSMC Tokyo & RSMC Toulouse Lead Centre Monitoring: WMC Washington (aircraft and satellite); ECMWF (upper air); RSMC Exeter (surface marine); RSMC Nairobi (RAI); RSMC Tokyo (RAII); RSMC Buenos Aires (RAIII); RSMC Montreal (RAIV); WMO Melbourne (RAV) & RSMC Offenbach (RAVI) Regular reports produced by many Monitoring Centres but follow up actions are variable A number of effective monitoring functions are in place for other observational programmes, for example the CBS Lead Centres for GCOS monitoring; GAW monitoring etc Important to learn from the experiences of these groups
WDQMS 2d – expected results WDQMS will allow Members to: rapidly detect problems with the observational data being exchanged (or not being exchanged) quickly identify actions that can solve any issues highlighted (more than monitoring) This in turn will lead to increased availability and improved quality of observational data being made available to users
Deliverables Long term: (-2020) • The WIGOS Quality Monitoring System (WQMS) established with: • WMO Lead Centres, Monitoring Centres and Regional Centres • A fault management system/ reporting system for QM Short to medium term: (-2017/18) • A quality monitoring and fault management system in connection with ECMWF and perhaps other global NWP centres for GOS starting from selected pilots.
4. Concept development and initial establishment of Regional WIGOS Centres (facilities)
Major Role of the Regional WIGOS Centres (RWC) • The overall purpose of the RWCs is to provide support and assistance to Members and Regions for their national and regional WIGOS implementation. • During the Pre-Operational Phase, the RWCs will provide a link between the WIGOS Project Office in the WMO Secretariat and the individual WMO Members, and it will be able to support the implementation efforts of the Members far more effectively and efficiently that it could be done centrally from the Secretariat.
Regional WIGOS Centers & WQM practices Feedback loops are recommended between: • Observational data quality monitoring systems and data providers: • (Near) real time, • identify problems and take corrective actions, • provide guidance material (“lessons learned”) • Observational data providers and the user community: • In case, user expectations are not met, • Make solutions available from members for members • ICG-WIGOS should consider a recommendation about adding functionality for this area to the WIR.
responsibilities of the RWCs • The views expressed during ICG-WIGOS-4 (Final Report, ICG-WIGOS-4, Annex II to para 9.2) were that: • A basic function of RWC must be regional coordination and support of WIGOS implementation and operational activities at regional/national level. (day-to-day level of activities)
MANDATORY functionalities – full functional centers • Work with data providers to facilitate WIGOS data and metadata collection, transmission & update (implementation and input to OSCAR/Surface) • Regional performance monitoring of WIGOS networks (data availability, timeliness, quality) • Feedback to data providers, i.e. follow-up with data providers in case of data availability or data quality problems.
OPTIONAL functionalities could include: • Assistance in the coordination of regional/sub-regional WIGOS projects • Advice to Members on the requirements for the regional network design. • All areas of support listed above are expected to be covered in all WMO Regions. However, this may be accomplished via several RWCs with complementary areas of expertise rather than through a single RWC covering all areas.
The RWCs will also work closely with their respective WMO Regional Office and other Regional centers to ensure efficient and effective implementation of WIGOS PO RA MG WMO RO technical support support, CD governance RIC RCC etc liaison RWC RTC WIS Member/s
Technical support to regional WIGOS projects (virtual home of RA VI WIGOS WG) Briefing to MG on WIGOS Progress & Issues for support & guidance Supporting regional Members wrt technical solutions on WQM Input to WIGOS OSCAR WIGOS Centers (RA WIGOS Teco Arm) Monitoring regional data quality & availability (with info from WIGOS PO)
Global 5. National WIGOS Implementation Regional National
Approach to National WIGOS Implementation • For the WIGOS Implementation, All countries are different • Each NMHS shall Set goals & objectives for WIGOS according to national needs • Critical analysis of capabilities and gaps of current services vs national social economic development, with a Vision for 2025 • Clear view on the reliance on national WIGOS, observing gaps and overall plan and roadmap • Focus plan on priority areas, with achievable projects and phases • Establish governance within NMHSs and Coordination mechanism with key partners & key relationships • Apply WIGOS tools and guidance – this is a biggie … test footer
The role WMO Secretariat Support to Members – my views Members may face both challenges for implementing WIGOS which needs WMO Secretariat Support: • Political/governance & administration support • National WIGOS Coordination Mechanism – enpower NMHSs • Data Policies, share and exchange information and data in NRT • Convincing national budget authorities for resources • Role of Secretariat: • SG and high level officers should approach responsible national ministers, at the request of PR or attending high level events, to convince nations to execute UN resolutions • Secretariat will further enhance communications on the social economic benefit of WIGOS to value-add Met Services test footer
Organizational WIGOS Governance/working Structure CONGRESS ExecutiveCouncil 6 Regional Associations 8 Technical Commissions Inter-Commission Group -WIGOS RA WGs/TT on WIGOS Technical Commission Inter-Program ETs ICG Task Teams Secretary-General Secretariat oversight board WMO/OMM
Technical aspect of National WIGOS ImplementationExample: WDQMS – Context Throughout the new WIGOS Regulatory Material there are references to the observational data quality expectations placed on members: Technical Regulations Vol.1 2.4.3 Performance 2.4.3.1 Members shall continuously monitor the performance of their observing systems. 2.4.4 Quality Control 2.4.4.1 Members shall implement quality control for all observations for which they are responsible. Manual on WIGOS 2.4.3 Quality Control 2.4.3.1 Members shall ensure observations provided through their WIGOS component observing systems are quality controlled. 2.4.3.2 Members shall implement real-time quality control prior to exchange of observations via the WMO Information System.
Communicating WIGOS Benefits are critical for Successful WIGOS Implementation !
Global Societal Needs !The global total economic losses by decade and by hazard type in USD billions adjusted to 2011 • The warmer planet, leading to more frequent extreme Weather & Climate events • Global population above 9 billion in 2050, with growing settlements in costal regions & megacities (50%72%) • 780 million have no access to clean water • 7 million premature death due to air pollution • Increase of vunerability & greater loses !!! WMO: Dr Zhang
The plenat will be warmer, leading to more frequent extreme events in 2040 NMHSs will morph from the weather business into an environmental intelligence enterprise
Outlook of future in 2040: challenges of WMO Members for meeting anticipation Services Requirements in 2040 • The sea level will continue rising, lead to the coastal regions in more risky areas • Average tropical cyclone intensity (maximum wind speed & rainfall) is likely to increase • The frequency of heavy precipitation or the proportion of total rainfall from heavy falls will increase in the 21st century over many areas of the globe. WMO: Dr Zhang
The sea level will continue rising, lead to the coastal regions in a risky area
How the space observations can help the Hurricane intensity forecasting ? • (a) Intensification is not correlated with sea surface temperature (from POES high-resolution infrared data), (b) In contrast, the intensifications correlate well with highs in the ocean dynamic topography (from Jason 1, TOPEX, Envisat, and GFO sea surface height data). CGMS-43, Boulder, CO, May 2015
How the space observations can help the Hurricane intensity forecasting ? • It’s well known that tropical cyclones require warm water to form. Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) must be above 26°C throughout a depth of about 46 metres. • Since SSTs can change rapidly due to mixing processes and correspond to only about the top 10 metres, SST by itself does not provide sufficient information about the heat content stored in the upper ocean to accurately forecast tropical cyclone intensity. • We get far more reliable data from altimeters, since sea surface height anomalies are strongly correlated with the internal thermal structure of the ocean.
Conclusion: Sustain the Altimetry & Ocean Observation Mission !