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Overall Risks to New Plant Development

A Mid-Process Review Marilyn C. Kray Vice President, Exelon Generation President, NuStart Energy Development Regulatory Information Conference March 10, 2009. Overall Risks to New Plant Development. NRC Licensing Process Review schedule impacts ASLB hearing process ITAAC closeout process

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Overall Risks to New Plant Development

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  1. A Mid-Process ReviewMarilyn C. KrayVice President, Exelon GenerationPresident, NuStart Energy DevelopmentRegulatory Information ConferenceMarch 10, 2009

  2. Overall Risks to New Plant Development • NRC Licensing Process • Review schedule impacts • ASLB hearing process • ITAAC closeout process • Construction • Final design completion schedule • Labor cost and availability • Commodities pricing • Project management • Financing • Cost of plant • Co-owners and partners • Government incentives • Market price forecasting • Overall • Public opinion • Public policy • Economy

  3. First Wave Realities • New process for all parties • Content and level of detail still a challenge • Timing of Applications • Parallel review of multiple COL applications • DCD + ESP = COLA formula not followed • Ongoing design changes • Concurrent DCD and COLA reviews • “Freeze point” strategy • Commercial influences • Technology selections • Economics and timing

  4. Success Factors for First Wave • Ongoing Communication • NEI level • DCWG level • Industry/Staff interactions • Flexibility • Commitment to standardization DCD R-COLA S-COLA

  5. First Wave Indicators to Come • Overall Schedule development and adherence • Draft SER with Open Items • ASLB Hearing Process • ITAAC implementation

  6. Second Wave Potential • Contingent on success of first wave • Regulatory certainty • Construction schedule adherence • Ultimate cost compared to alternatives • Safe operation of new and existing fleet • Need for additional plants based on • Climate change policy impacting alternatives • Need for power • Regulatory considerations • Revisions to the DCDs • Use of Early Site Permits

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