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More on ANOVA. Overview. ANOVA as Regression Comparison Methods. ANOVA AS REGRESSION. Predict scores on Y (the DV) Predictors are dummy variables indicating group membership. Dummy Variables. Group membership is categorical Need one less dummy variable than the number of groups
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Overview • ANOVA as Regression • Comparison Methods
ANOVA AS REGRESSION • Predict scores on Y (the DV) • Predictors are dummy variables indicating group membership
Dummy Variables • Group membership is categorical • Need one less dummy variable than the number of groups • If you are in the group, your score on that dummy variable = 1 • If you are not in that group, your score on that dummy variable = 0
Regression Equation for ANOVA • bo is mean of base group • b1 and b2 indicate differences between base group and each of the other two groups
COMPARISON METHODS • A significant F-test tells you that the groups differ, but not which groups. • Multiple comparison methods provide specific comparisons of group means.
Planned Contrasts • Decide which groups (or combinations) you wish to compare before doing the ANOVA. • The comparisons must be orthogonal to each other (statistically independent).
Choosing Weights • Assign a weight to each group. • The weights have to add up to zero. • Weights for the two sides must balance. • Check for orthogonality of each pair of comparisons.
Example of a Planned Comparison Group Weight Placebo +2 Treatment A -1 Treatment B -1 This compares the average of Treatments A and B to the Placebo mean.
Another Planned Comparison Group Weight Placebo 0 Treatment A -1 Treatment B +1 This one leaves out the Placebo group and compares the two treatments.
Check for Orthogonality Group C 1 C 2 Placebo +2 0 Treatment A -1 -1 Treatment B -1 +1 0 +1 -1 Multiply the weights and then add up the products. The two comparisons are orthogonal if the sum is zero.
Non-Orthogonal Comparisons Group C 1 C 2 Placebo +2 +1 Treatment A -1 0 Treatment B -1 -1 +2 0 +1 These two comparisons do not ask independent questions
Selecting Comparisons • Maximum number of comparisons is number of groups minus 1. • Start with the most important comparison. • Then find a second comparison that is orthogonal to the first one. • Each comparison must be orthogonal to every other comparison.
How Planned Contrasts Work • A Sum of Squares is computed for each contrast, depending on the weights. • An F-test for the contrast is then computed.
SPSS Contrasts • Deviation: compare each group to the overall mean • Simple: compare a reference group to each of the other groups • Difference: compare the mean of each group to the mean of all previous group means
More SPSS Contrasts • Helmert: compare the mean of each group to the mean of all subsequent group means • Repeated: compare the mean of each group to the mean of the subsequent group • Polynomial: compare the pattern of means across groups to a function (e.g., linear, quadratic, cubic)
POST HOC COMPARISONS • Done after an ANOVA has been done • Need not be orthogonal • Less powerful than planned contrasts
Fisher’s LSD • Least Significant Difference • Pairwise comparisons only • Liberal
Bonferroni • Pairwise comparisons only • Divide alpha by number of tests • More conservative than LSD
Tukey’s HSD • Similar to Bonferroni, but more powerful with large number of means • Pairwise comparisons only • Critical value increases with number of groups
Review Question! Identify two differences between planned contrasts and post hoc comparisons.
Review Question! What comparison method should I choose if I want to test for a linear increase in means over the levels of the independent variable?
Choosing Stats A standardized measure of narcissism is given to members of Congress. You would like to test whether their mean narcissism level is significantly different from the mean for the general population.