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Comments for Hungarian and South Africa’s PRESENTATION

Comments for Hungarian and South Africa’s PRESENTATION. Wu Jie Department of Population and Employment National Bureau of Statistics of China 27 – 30 June 2011 New York. Comments for Hungarian. Outline Correlation Compare Question. 1. Outline.

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Comments for Hungarian and South Africa’s PRESENTATION

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  1. Comments for Hungarian and South Africa’sPRESENTATION Wu Jie Department of Population and EmploymentNational Bureau of Statistics of China 27 – 30 June 2011 New York

  2. Comments for Hungarian • Outline • Correlation • Compare • Question

  3. 1. Outline • Vital statistics data and indicators based on census data • Sample surveys as complementary information for vital statistics

  4. 2. Correlation(Ⅰ) • Consistent with Principles and Recommendations, including: • Fertility • Projection of the female population • Healthy life expectancy

  5. 2. Correlation(Ⅱ) • Correlated but inconsistent: • Information on migration • Unmet need for contraception • Voluntary and involuntary childlessness • Childbearing intention and realization

  6. 3. Compare

  7. Difference (Ⅰ) • The source of total population and other majordemographic indicators between two censuses • Projected in Hungary • Estimated through surveys in China

  8. Difference (Ⅱ) • The purpose and content of surveys • More detailed data and further researches in Hungary • Estimate total population and major population data in China

  9. Questions What’s the situation on administrative statistics ?

  10. Comments for South Africa • Outline • Correlation • Compare • Questions

  11. 1. Outline • Introduction on censuses and surveys • Use for vital statistics • meet requirement • Complement register-based statistics

  12. 2. Correlation • The specific indicators changes from 1996 to 2011 • Births • Deaths • Marriages • Divorces

  13. 3. Compare with China

  14. The similar with China • Some birth, death and marital status items • Number of children surviving, etc • Not meet requirement • Seasonal, monthly, quarterly or annul information • Cause of death

  15. The difference • Some census items different • Three surveys have different items in South Africa • The population sample survey items maintain consistency on vital statistics in the past years in China, developing other information

  16. Question How to utilize information from the civil registration system to provide official vital statistics next step?

  17. Conclusion • Census and sample survey are important source of vital statistics • Census is the base of vital statistics，providing independent estimates demographic parameters • Administrative records are necessary to vital statistics • Different data source, different purpose, different use, complementary each other • Not balanced between countries

  18. Suggestion • Evaluation native vital statistics system (Thailand meeting last year, ESCAP, Rapid Assessment Form ) • Country report on vital statistics system organized by UN • Build up a project and an evaluation form of different countries to enhance the system

  19. Thank you!

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