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FI3300 Corporation Finance – Chapter 9. Bond and Stock Valuation. Learning objectives. Describe the concepts underlying the cost of capital. Compute the price of a consol and a preferred stock. Compute the price of a zero-coupon bond. Compute the price of a fixed-coupon bond.
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FI3300 Corporation Finance – Chapter 9 Bond and Stock Valuation FI 3300 - Corporate Finance Zinat Alam
Learning objectives • Describe the concepts underlying the cost of capital. • Compute the price of a consol and a preferred stock. • Compute the price of a zero-coupon bond. • Compute the price of a fixed-coupon bond. • Know the pricing properties of a fixed-coupon bond. • Compute the price of common stock under various assumptions about dividend growth. FI 3300 - Corporate Finance Zinat Alam
Cost of capital 1 • Cost of capital • How much the firm is willing to pay to get funds from investors • In other words, it is the cost to the firm for acquiring money from investors • Usually expressed as a percentage FI 3300 - Corporate Finance Zinat Alam
Cost of capital 2 • An investor will provide funds to the firm only if she earns her required rate of return • If investor provides funds to the firm (i.e., a financial security was bought and sold), the following must be true: • Investor earns her required rate of return from the transaction • Firm pays just its cost of capital for the funds • Thus investor’s required rate of return = firm’s cost of capital FI 3300 - Corporate Finance Zinat Alam
Cost of capital 3 Capital can be provided either by issuing debt (e.g., bonds) or equity (common stock). • If debt is issued, Investor’s required rate of return on debt security = firm’s cost of debt • If equity is issued, Investor’s required rate of return on equity security = firm’s cost of equity FI 3300 - Corporate Finance Zinat Alam
Blast from the past: last lecture • Required rate of return on debt security is also known as: • Cost of debt • Yield-to-maturity (YTM for short) • Discount rate • Required rate of return on equity security is also known as: • Cost of equity • Discount rate FI 3300 - Corporate Finance Zinat Alam
Bond Valuation • Consols, Preferred stock • Zero-coupon bonds • Fixed-coupon bonds FI 3300 - Corporate Finance Zinat Alam
Consols 1 • Pays a fixed coupon every period forever. • Has no maturity. • Investor who buys a consol is buying the perpetuity of the fixed coupon. So, use PV formula of a perpetuity to find the present value/price of the consol Price of consol = FI 3300 - Corporate Finance Zinat Alam
Consols 2 • Remember earlier that cost of capital = investor’s required rate of return. So, we can re-arrange the equation to find the firm’s cost of consol capital. • Cost of consol capital • We can apply the same ideas to value preferred stocks. This is because the cash flows from a preferred stock is also a perpetuity! FI 3300 - Corporate Finance Zinat Alam
Preferred stock Pays a fixed dividend forever. Price of preferred stock is simply the present value of a perpetuity. Required rate of return on preferred stock. Preferred stock dividend Price of preferred stock Required rate of return on preferred stock/ cost of capital for preferred stock FI 3300 - Corporate Finance Zinat Alam
Consol problem 1 • Problem 9.2 ABC Corp. wants to issue perpetual debt in order to raise capital. It plans to pay a coupon of $90 per year on each bond with face value $1,000. Consols of a comparable firm with a coupon of $100 per year are selling at $1,050. What is the cost of debt capital for ABC? What will be the price at which it will issue its consols? • Verify that cost of debt = 0.0952 or 9.52% • Use cost of debt from above to find price of consol.Verify that price of consol = 90/0.0952 = 945.38 FI 3300 - Corporate Finance Zinat Alam
Consol problem 2 • Problem 9.3 If ABC (from the problem above) wanted to raise $100 million dollars in debt, how many such consols would it have to issue (to nearest whole number)? • No. of consols = 100 million/ consol price = 105,778 • Problem 9.4 If ABC wanted to issue it’s consols at par, that is, at a price of $1,000, what coupon must it pay? • Use coupon = price x required rate of return • Verify that coupon = $95.20 per year FI 3300 - Corporate Finance Zinat Alam
Zero-coupon bond (ZCB) 1 • Call this ZCB for short. • Zero coupon rate, no coupon paid during bond’s life. • Bond holder receives one payment at maturity, the face value (usually $1000). • Price of a ZCB, PZCB F = face value of the bond N = number of years to maturity cost of ZCB debt capital (in decimals) FI 3300 - Corporate Finance Zinat Alam
Zero-coupon bond (ZCB) 2 • As long as interest rates are positive, the price of a ZCB must be less than its face value. • Why? With positive interest rates, the present value of the face value (i.e., the price) has to be less than the face value. FI 3300 - Corporate Finance Zinat Alam
These problems are just basic TVM problems where you receive one lump sum in the future. ZCB Problems 1) Find the price of a ZCB with 20 years to maturity, par value of $1000 and a required rate of return of 15% p.a. N=20, I/Y=15, FV=1000, PMT=0. Price = $61.10 2) XYZ Corp.’s ZCB has a market price of $ 354. The bond has 16 years to maturity and its face value is $1000. What is the cost of debt for the ZCB (i.e., the required rate of return). PV=-354, FV=1000, N=16, PMT=0. Required rate of return/ Cost of debt =6.71% p.a. FI 3300 - Corporate Finance Zinat Alam
Fixed-coupon bond (FCB) 1 • Call this FCB for short. • Firm pays a fixed amount (‘coupon’) to the investor every period until bond matures. • At maturity, firm pays face value of the bond to investor. • Face value also called par value. Unless otherwise stated, always assume face value to be $1000. • Period: can be year, half-year (6 months), quarter (3 months). FI 3300 - Corporate Finance Zinat Alam
Fixed-coupon bond (FCB) 2 • FCB gives you a stream of fixed payments plus a lump sum payment (face value) at maturity. • This cash flow stream is just an annuity plus a lump sum at maturity. • Therefore, we calculate the price of a FCB by finding the PV of the annuity and lump sum. • We use the financial calculator to compute the price of the FCB. FI 3300 - Corporate Finance Zinat Alam
Fixed-coupon bond (FCB) 2 Price of the FCB, PFCB Fixed periodic coupon Number of periods to maturity Face value Cost of debt capital FI 3300 - Corporate Finance Zinat Alam
Find FCB price • A $1,000 par value bond has coupon rate of 5% and the coupon is paid semi-annually. The bond matures in 20 years and has a required rate of return of 10%. Compute the current price of this bond. • PMT = 25. Why? FV=1000, PMT =25, I/Y=5, N=40. CPT, then PV. PV = -571.02. Thus, price = $571.02 < par value FI 3300 - Corporate Finance Zinat Alam
Useful property 1 Go back to the bond in the last problem. • Suppose annual coupon rate = 10%. • Verify that price = $1000 = par value • Suppose annual coupon rate = 12% • Verify that price = $1,171.59 > par value. It turns out that the following property is true. FI 3300 - Corporate Finance Zinat Alam
Useful property 2 Note: discount rate = cost of debt = required rate of return = yield to maturity FI 3300 - Corporate Finance Zinat Alam
Apply what we learnt • A 10-year annual coupon bond was issued four years ago at par. Since then the bond’s yield to maturity (YTM) has decreased from 9% to 7%. Which of the following statements is true about the current market price of the bond? • The bond is selling at a discount • The bond is selling at par • The bond is selling at a premium • The bond is selling at book value • Insufficient information FI 3300 - Corporate Finance Zinat Alam
Try one more • One year ago Pell Inc. sold 20-year, $1,000 par value, annual coupon bonds at a price of $931.54 per bond. At that time the market rate (i.e., yield to maturity) was 9 percent. Today the market rate is 9.5 percent; therefore the bonds are currently selling: • at a discount. • at a premium. • at par. • above the market price. • not enough information. FI 3300 - Corporate Finance Zinat Alam
Find YTM, Coupon rate 1)A $1,000 par value bond sells for $863.05. It matures in 20 years, has a 10 percent coupon rate, and pays interest semi-annually. What is the bond’s yield to maturity on a per annum basis (to 2 decimal places)? Verify that YTM = 11.80% 2) ABC Inc. just issued a twenty-year semi-annual coupon bond at a price of $787.39. The face value of the bond is $1,000, and the market interest rate is 9%. What is the annual coupon rate (in percent, to 2 decimal places)? Verify that annual coupon rate = 6.69% What happens if bond pays coupon annually? Quarterly? FI 3300 - Corporate Finance Zinat Alam
Long FCB question • HMV Inc. needs to raise funds for an expansion project. The company can choose to issue either zero-coupon bonds or semi-annual coupon bonds. In either case the bonds would have the SAME nominal required rate of return, a 20-year maturity and a par value of $1,000. If the company issues the zero-coupon bonds, they would sell for $153.81. If it issues the semi-annual coupon bonds, they would sell for $756.32. What annual coupon rate is Camden Inc. planning to offer on the coupon bonds? State your answer in percentage terms, rounded to 2 decimal places. • Verify that annual coupon rate = 7.01% FI 3300 - Corporate Finance Zinat Alam
Common stock For common stock, the future cash flows are: • Dividends • Selling price These cash flows are highly uncertain. • To find the value of common stock, we make assumptions about how dividends evolve in the future. We look at 3 set of assumptions: • Constant dividend stream • Dividends grow at constant rate (constant dividend growth model) • Non-constant dividend growth FI 3300 - Corporate Finance Zinat Alam
Constant dividend stream • Same amount of dividend is paid for ever. • Cash flow stream resembles a perpetuity. • Thus, we value the common stock in the same way as we value the preferred stock. • Common stock price, Pe • Cost of equity capital, re Common stock dividend Cost of equity capital or required rate of return on equity FI 3300 - Corporate Finance Zinat Alam
Dividends grow at constant rate 1 • Assume that dividends grow at a constant rate, g, per period forever. • Given this assumption, the price of common stock equals Don’t panic. D1 = D0(1 + g) D0 = Dividend that the firm just paid Required rate of return on equity Dividend growth rate FI 3300 - Corporate Finance Zinat Alam
Dividends grow at constant rate 2 Useful properties. • All other things unchanged, • If D0 increases (decreases), Pe increases (decreases). • If g increases (decreases), Pe increases (decreases). • If re increases (decreases), Pe decreases (increases). FI 3300 - Corporate Finance Zinat Alam
Dividends grow at constant rate 2 • By rearranging the above equation, we can find the required rate of return on equity • For the constant growth model to work, re > g. Capital gains yield Required rate of return on equity Dividend yield FI 3300 - Corporate Finance Zinat Alam
Constant growth problems 1 • Jarrow Company will pay an annual dividend of $3 per share one year from today. The dividend is expected to grow at a constant rate of 7% permanently. The market requires 15% What is the current price of the stock (to 2 decimal places)? In this question D1 is already given to you. Verify that Price = $37.5 FI 3300 - Corporate Finance Zinat Alam
Constant growth problems 2 • Johnson Foods Inc. just paid a dividend of $10 (i.e., D0 = 10.00). Its dividends are expected to grow at a 4% annual rate forever. If you require a 15% rate of return on investments of this risk level, what is Johnson Foods’s current stock price? (to 2 decimal places) Straightforward application of price formula. Verify that price = $94.55 FI 3300 - Corporate Finance Zinat Alam
Constant growth problems 3 • The price of a stock in the market is $62. You know that the firm has just paid a dividend of $5 per share (i.e., D0 = 5). The dividend growth rate is expected to be 6 percent forever. What is the investors’ required rate of return for this stock (to 2 decimal places)? Use re = (D1/P) + g. Verify that re = 14.55% FI 3300 - Corporate Finance Zinat Alam
Constant growth problems 4 • A firm is expected to pay a dividend of $5.00 on its stock next year. The price of this stock is $40 and the investor’s required rate of return is 20%. The firm’s dividends grow at a constant rate. What is this constant dividend growth rate (g)? use re = (D1/P) + g Verify that g = 7.5% FI 3300 - Corporate Finance Zinat Alam
Non-constant dividend growth 1 • With this assumption, dividends grow at different rates for different periods of time. Eventually, dividends will grow at a constant rate forever. • Time line is very useful for valuing this type of stocks. • To value such stocks, also need the constant growth formula. • Best way to learn is through an example. FI 3300 - Corporate Finance Zinat Alam
Non-constant dividend growth 2 • Consider ABC Co.’s dividend stream: • Discount rate is 15%. Dividends grow at 5% forever $2.00 $3.00 $3.50 T =1 T = 2 T = 3 T = 4 T = 0 FI 3300 - Corporate Finance Zinat Alam
What to do? • Use constant growth formula to find stock price at the end of year 3. Call this stock price P3. • Add P3 to dividend received at t=3. This sum is the cash flow for t=3. Find PV of this cash flow. • Find PV of dividends at t=1, t=2. • Current stock price = sum of 2 and 3. FI 3300 - Corporate Finance Zinat Alam
Apply the method to find ABC’s stock price • P3 = (3.5 x (1.05))/(0.15 – 0.05) = 36.75 • Find cash flow at t=3 • 36.75 + 3.50 = 40.25 Current stock price, P0 FI 3300 - Corporate Finance Zinat Alam
Another type of non-constant growth problem Malcolm Manufacturing, Inc. just paid a $2.00 annual dividend (that is, D0 = 2.00). Investors believe that the firm will grow at 10% annually for the next 2 years and 6% annually forever thereafter. Assuming a required return of 15%, what is the current price of the stock (to 2 decimal places)? Use timeline to ‘see’ the problem better. Verify that stock price = $25.29 FI 3300 - Corporate Finance Zinat Alam
Summary • Find the price/ present value of debt and equity securities • Consols, preferred stock are valued using the same techniques. • Fixed-coupon bonds are valued as an annuity plus a lump sum (face value at maturity) • Common stocks are valued under 3 different assumptions about dividends • Constant dividends • Dividends grow at constant rate • Dividends grow at different rates FI 3300 - Corporate Finance Zinat Alam