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The Local Employment Dynamics Program Information for Workforce and Economic Development

The Local Employment Dynamics Program Information for Workforce and Economic Development. Julia Lane Senior Research Fellow And the LED Staff. Overview. What is the LED program Local Data: The Quarterly Workforce Indicators Workforce Development Economic Development Next Steps.

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The Local Employment Dynamics Program Information for Workforce and Economic Development

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  1. The Local Employment Dynamics ProgramInformation for Workforce and Economic Development Julia Lane Senior Research Fellow And the LED Staff

  2. Overview • What is the LED program • Local Data: The Quarterly Workforce Indicators • Workforce Development • Economic Development • Next Steps

  3. What the LED Program Is

  4. What is LED? • Local – County, Sub County, WIA • Employment and Earnings – demographics (age and sex) • Dynamics – New measures of labor market dynamics • Job Gain and Loss • Hires, Recalls, Separations • Earnings • Uses: Local Labor Market Information • Strategic Planning

  5. LED Fills Key Data Gaps • Universal 98% of employment in partner states • Longitudinal in businesses and workers • Worker Information Date of birth, place of birth, sex, earnings • Firm Information Four digit industry, turnover, growth, sales • CurrentSent quarterly (six months after transaction date) – start date 1990(+) • ComparableSame definitions across states • Detailed Geography: place of residence and place of work to latitude/longitude

  6. The Local Employment Dynamics Program Demographic Surveys Integration RecordPerson-ID Employer-IDData Economic Censuses and SurveysCensus Entity-ID Data Household RecordHousehold-IDData Person Record Household-IDPerson-IDData Business RegisterEmployer-IDCensus Entity-IDData

  7. Confidentiality Protections • Anonymized data • Approved Projects only • Statistical Purposes only • Title 13 ($250,000 fine/5 years in jail if confidentiality breached) • Disclosure review • Firewall within firewall within firewall protection

  8. Quarterly Workforce Indicators “The outcome for Local Workforce Investment Boards..is a portfolio of never before available labor market measures at a level of geography never before available” Deputy Governor of Illinois

  9. Current New Current New Jobs Total payrollGross job gainGross job lossNet jobsNew hiresRecalls Layoffs/quits Individual earnings National State County Sub-county Workforce investment area National State County JobsTotal payroll New New Current Workplace Residence Male Female Age categories 14-18 19-21 22-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ ImmigrantNative born Workplace Current None Clients Questions Businesses Economic development agencies Chambers of commerce Federal, state and local agencies Where are the workers? How much are they paid? Indicators Workforce Investment Boards Chambers of commerce School career counselors Job search professionals Businesses Federal, state, and local agencies Geography Where are the jobs? How much do they pay? Who needs training? Demography Location How can workers get to their jobs? Where should a business locate? Businesses Transportation planners Federal, state and local agencies

  10. What can QWI’s do? • Core Advances • Detailed Demographics • Detailed Geography • New Measures (hires, separations, earnings) • Historic • Relatively Current • Local Labor Market Context for Performance Evaluation • Identification of Trends for Strategic Planning

  11. Improving performance Economic Development => Workforce Development • 1. What are the industries that hire? • 2. What are the stable industries? • 3. What are the key industries for given demographic groups?

  12. “Top Ten” list for All Workers in Denver MSA2003:1 Employment and Hires, 2003:1; Source: CO DLI and US Census Bureau

  13. “Top Ten” Lists for 35-44 year old women in Denver MSA 2003:1 Employment and Hires, 2003:1; Source: CO DLI and US Census Bureau

  14. “Top Ten” Lists for 35-44 year old women in Denver MSA Average Monthly Earnings, 2003:1; Source: CO DLI and US Census Bureau

  15. 1. What’s the workforce composition for key industries?2. What’s the turnover rate in key industries?3. What are the earnings for workers in different areas? Workforce Development => Economic Development

  16. Workforce Composition in Nursing and Residential Care FacilitiesDenver MSA Employment, 2003:1; Source: CO DLI and US Census Bureau

  17. Turnover Rates in Nursing and Residential Care FacilitiesDenver MSA Turnover Rates, 2003:1; Source: CO DLI and US Census Bureau

  18. Monthly Earnings in Nursing and Residential Care FacilitiesDenver MSA Average Monthly Earnings, 2003:1; Source: CO DLI and US Census Bureau

  19. Average Monthly Earnings in Nursing and Residential Care Facilities: Average Monthly Earnings, 2003:1; Source: CO DLI and US Census Bureau

  20. Economic and Workforce Development • Long term trends • 1. Where are the workers located? • 2. What are the looming demographic trends?

  21. What are the Looming Trends?The Aging Population in Motor Vehicles in PA(Proportion of Workforce over 55) Employment by Age Category as Proportion of Total Employment for all industries: Source: US Census Bureau and CO Dept of Labor and Employment

  22. Next Steps • Products • New indicators: multi job holding; cross state flows • Tools for report writing and analysis • Mapping • Welfare Recipient Indicators • Transportation • Program • Expansion • Training

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