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Application using AES data High Growth Firms Project. Background on High Growth Firms Project. Why do research on high growth firms? The Government, through NZT&E, offers a range of business development services to firms with high-growth potential
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Background on High Growth Firms Project Why do research on high growth firms? • The Government, through NZT&E, offers a range of business development services to firms with high-growth potential • Rapidly growing firms have the potential to make an important contribution to economic development • Add to the nascent NZ-specific literature on high-growth firms Methodology • Case Study, Historiographic
Why use AES data? • To better understand the distribution of enterprises according to various measures of growth • As a more objective basis for sample selection • As a by-product, to better understand the utility of AES data
What have we done with AES data? • Designed a Sampling Frame • Postal units in SNZ’s Annual Enterprise Survey • Must have been alive since June 1998 • Data must be available for 1990 -2002 inclusive • Minimum size in 1999 of 5 FTEs and $750,000 of Sales • Maximum size in 2002 of $150 million of Sales • Various industry exclusions
What have we done with AES data? (contd) • Improved our feel for the distribution of enterprises • Produced sample statistics by decile • Produced tables of demographic characteristics by decile • Analysis (limited) of transitions (e.g. between size categories) • Cross-tabulations showing relationships between decile rankings for different combinations of growth measures
What have we done with AES data? (contd) • Examples (not to be cited): • Median firm in the top decile by turnover growth recorded an approximate increase in turnover of 150% over the period 1999-2002 compared with an increase of around 20% for the median firm in our population • The distribution of firms when ranked by turnover growth is skewed at both ends (i.e. it has long tails) as evidenced by intra-decile inter-quartile ranges that increase with the distance from the middle of the distribution • Over the period 1999-2002, firms in the Agriculture (excluding A01) sector are over-represented in the top performing decile
What have we done with AES data? (contd) • Used as the basis for sample selection • Letters going out to 400 firms inviting them to participate in study • Firms selected from top decile (300-320) and near middle of the distribution (around 80) • Depending on the number of consenting firms, will use population distributional characteristics to achieve good coverage
Limitations of AES data-set • Tax units not currently contactable but available for analysis purposes • Data quality is not uniformly good • (e.g. FTEs for Agriculture units not updated on the business frame, overseas activity indicator not frequently updated, balance sheet items often imputed) • Discontinuities in the longitudinal data-set • Issues with recording firm births and deaths
Other potential uses of AES data • Linking Business Practices Survey data to firm performance data from AES • Evaluation of programmes delivered by NZTE • Measuring economic performance of specific sectors/regions